aldie 22 Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 This isn't going to mess with my trip to Boston on the 19th is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 10 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: This isn't going to mess with my trip to Boston on the 19th is it? No you’ll be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 36 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: CAD signal at range. Lol Nice sig. Lets just hope its not in front of another cutter lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 21 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Nice sig. Lets just hope its not in front of another cutter lol. Eps says waves day 9 & 12 stay under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Wow, welcome to early Spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 18z has a different look after the cold front goes thru next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 4 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: 18z has a different look after the cold front goes thru next weekend. Good different or your wife decided on a new hairstyle different? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 18z gfs setting up for a big storm day 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 4 minutes ago, Chris78 said: 18z gfs setting up for a big storm day 9 Yes sir. That look is what we all like to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 10 minutes ago, Chris78 said: 18z gfs setting up for a big storm day 9 Hard to imagine it would get so cold in that 500mb pattern. (Maybe a GFS bias.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Looks like snow/ice to rain on gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 1 minute ago, CaryWx said: Looks like snow/ice to rain on gfs But it takes a while to get to rain. Long while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Check out this SE ridge.. +NAO/-PNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 next week has my attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 1 minute ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: Check out this SE ridge.. +NAO/-PNA. Hey Chuck its dinner time...go eat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 26 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Eps says waves day 9 & 12 stay under. That is what we would expect/hope given the advertised h5 look and expectation of how the pattern should evolve. I am optimistic about this period, but the proof will be in the pudding as they say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Of course it gets washed away by rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 just looked at the gfs...next weekend has a rain to snow look/potential. maybe that it'll be the start of a better pattern to close out winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 7 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Hey Chuck its dinner time...go eat Maybe 80s if we can hit it right.. one year from Feb 21, 2018 record breaking (It probably won't verify) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 1 minute ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: Maybe 80s if we can hit it right.. one year from Feb 21, 2018 record breaking Hit what right? Nothing close to 80s next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: Hit what right? Nothing close to 80s next week. Stop encouraging him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 4 minutes ago, 87storms said: just looked at the gfs...next weekend has a rain to snow look/potential. maybe that it'll be the start of a better pattern to close out winter. I think the whole setup can easily be all snow or even miss us south. Too early to know. All hinges on what appears to be a pretty wound up rainstorm before it. Eps favors a colder/souther/frozener solution and it's under day 10. We'll prob see many different op looks over the coming days. My biggest question regardless of track/ptype is does it come out in one big piece or multiple waves? Either is possible and both come with pros and cons. One prediction I'm confident in is it's going to get very busy in this thread this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: My biggest question regardless of track/ptype is does it come out in one big piece or multiple waves? Either is possible and both come with pros and cons. One prediction I'm confident in is it's going to get very busy in this thread this week. Busy = and more coffee, maybe even reach for the Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 27 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Hey Chuck its dinner time...go eat I was going to suggest that its time for meds............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PCT_ATC Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: I was going to suggest that its time for meds............. TAKE THE RED PILL CHUCK! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Don’t worry about the exact track that far out on the gfs. It also won’t handle cad well. It had PD2 as a big rainstorm 7 days out, even at penn state where I was at the time. I remember bumming around with my friends who were still in the meteorology program and one of the professors was saying that’s not going to be rain. Something about the epo and 50/50 lol. The key is getting a wave to eject before the se ridge has too much time to recover, and the strength of any NAO 50/50 combo. There are lots of ensemble members that suppress the wave south of us even. There is disagreement on those features. But the flow is way less amplified in the west next week and more suppressive so it’s not as bad a setup as this week was for a big storm. ETA: we could even get back to back hits if the first wave ejects day 8/9 and suppresses the flow behind it for the next wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Gefs just produced the weenie run of the year. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Gefs just produced the weenie run of the year. Lol lol with -PNA through the entire run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 5 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: lol with -PNA through the entire run. We can snow with a -pna. It’s not the easiest way but late in winter it becomes more possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Gefs just produced the weenie run of the year. Lol Like I said yesterday run to run consistency and overall improvements are the keys to watch for. Three days now in a row with an overall better look. And, it is not often you will see those light white greys move South and get close to DC. Impressive. The look too follows HM's animation of the Pac jet as well, and it also follows what wxUSA mentioned that the look in the Pac out in time appeared decent, with just a bit of tweaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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