snowdude Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 CMC is also slower, high pressure still good, but storm totals not as intense as 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 I don't like the slower onset of precip. GFS followed the icon in regards to less snow thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Don’t want to commit until I can see the pretty TT maps but the NCEP map looks sweet. Pivotal is quicker than TT. 3-4” for you and I and heavy ice verbatim to dry slot. Would be a fun event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Just now, nj2va said: Pivotal is quicker than TT. 3-4” for you and I and heavy ice verbatim to dry slot. Would be a fun event. Arlington not McHenry I assume? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Just now, nj2va said: Pivotal is quicker than TT. 3-4” for you and I and heavy ice verbatim to dry slot. Would be a fun event. Sounds good. Would have thought it was more from looking at the NCEP map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 one run. 100+ hours out. everyone breathe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, Deer Whisperer said: one run. 100+ hours out. everyone breathe. We’re good. We survived this run without any major catastrophe. A few tweaks here or there but the basic setup remains. On to the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, MountainGeek said: Arlington not McHenry I assume? Yeah, Arlington. Snowmaps have 6” in Garrett and 4-5” for your area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 CAD is usually under-represented at this point on models and southern storms TYPICALLY come in faster than modeled. But this year has done its own thing. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 The weenies trying to bring this one home without the pros. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 27 minutes ago, yoda said: But how's the 546dm line!!!11!! It’s further SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 8 minutes ago, jaydreb said: The weenies trying to bring this one home without the pros. Got to keep the idea alive until Sunday evening and then things will get serious in here! But until then it’s going to go back and forth on the models and surely we all know that. yes and don’t call me Shirley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Fv3 looks so good with the CAD! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 i don't know what to think about the next week tbh. yea, there's no bowling ball 500 low moving under us, but there's a lot of precip (important part of the equation). i guess we need to rely on the cad being legit. the thing that has me uneasy is the lack of arctic air, but that could be a product of the se ridge and/or further west than ideal track of the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16, 2019 Author Share Posted February 16, 2019 Storm is 100 hours out...models will waffle a bit with onset/timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 fv3 has got to be the worst model of the bunch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 GEFS looks good. Looks like less whiffs than 18z but less huge hits too. Take snowfall maps with a huge grain of salt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Just now, jaydreb said: GEFS looks good. Looks like less whiffs than 18z but less huge hits too. Take snowfall maps with a huge grain of salt. right now id rather see no whiffs vs big hits. juice in short range is always on the table, just dont wanna lose the snow chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 00z UKIE is major thump to ice to light rain/drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, jaydreb said: GEFS looks good. Looks like less whiffs than 18z but less huge hits too. Take snowfall maps with a huge grain of salt. Can we widen the view to include the RIC area? TYIA if so! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, ATreglown said: Can we widen the view to include the RIC area? TYIA if so! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New York Blizzard Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Anyone has the ukmet weeniemap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, yoda said: 00z UKIE is major thump to ice to light rain/drizzle I thought that was the case from what I saw but I don’t have access to snow map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Just now, snowdude said: I thought that was the case from what I saw but I don’t have access to snow map. Truewx has it, but it's kind of a weenie map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 1 minute ago, yoda said: Thank you Yoda! I really appreciate it!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Just now, New York Blizzard said: Anyone has the ukmet weeniemap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Yoda is great at delivering!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Snowing at DCA at 108 (12z Wednesday) already on 00z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Nice Euro run... 6 to 10 for most looking at the snow map then some ice on top Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 any chance you could post kuchera yoda? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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