WinterWxLuvr Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 I agree. Want that low as far east as Cincy. East Tn, east Ky and you get a really good slug of precip thrown into the cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Just now, LP08 said: Thump to ice. 12z suite was basically the same for wed next week. That is nice to see. Nice 12z suite across the board pretty much. Ji though may complain about how much snow the EURO prints out on this run though lol compared to the 00z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ji said: 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: There are some serious changes going on with the long range guidance right now, and I actually like most of it...but I will save that for after the euro play by play. Wasn't winter over yesterday lol yesterday here or yesterday in Australia? I can't keep it straight anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Don't get me wrong...that isn't bad at all... but if you get that surface low just a little further east into TN it would increase the WAA forcing into our area even more and maybe get a better thump...but it would also probably encourage the low to jump to the coast from there...if its coming up that far west its going to continue to want to press north west of the mountains into the weakness there. I am NOT debbing this look...its a good look for some front end action, just saying if we wanted this to be even bigger getting that primary into eastern TN instead of western would be one way to do it. So in other words...perhaps this run isn't that far from that higher scenario? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 1 minute ago, snjókoma said: Ian is calling it a "clobbering" on his twitter. I wonder if he means the ice component Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 1 minute ago, snjókoma said: Ian is calling it a "clobbering" on his twitter. Link to those who want to see https://mobile.twitter.com/islivingston/status/1096475786088009728 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Ice isn't done until 7pm Wed. The CAD is mean on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15, 2019 Author Share Posted February 15, 2019 Ice isn't done until 7pm Wed. The CAD is mean on the EuroWhen does it actually start? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 LOL, almost a foot. But yes, we all know it's counting sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: So in other words...perhaps this run isn't that far from that higher scenario? sure...shift the boundary east a little and this becomes a BIG storm. Of course shift it west some and suddenly its just a little frozen to rain again. I would be happy with what its throwing out there now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Just now, stormtracker said: LOL, almost a foot. But yes, we all know it's counting sleet Almost a foot of snow before the ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ji said: 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Ice isn't done until 7pm Wed. The CAD is mean on the Euro When does it actually start? Prolly like 9z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 1 minute ago, yoda said: Almost a foot of snow before the ice? No, total frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Just now, stormtracker said: No, total frozen. Ah okay, thanks. Nice run overall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Its probably still counting too much sleet and stuff as snow but..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Just now, LP08 said: Its probably still counting too much sleet and stuff as snow but..... probably more reasonable, I was using 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 How much ice we talking about on top of the snow? Like a quarter inch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 1 minute ago, yoda said: Almost a foot of snow before the ice? Having to punt Saturday seems less painful now even though Euro looked solid for that too. CAD is something we don't suck at if we have the right tools. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 4 minutes ago, yoda said: Almost a foot of snow before the ice? like 6-10" for me and you... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Ice isn't done until 7pm Wed. The CAD is mean on the Euro Mids hang on a bit longer too, compared to 12Z yesterday (looking at TT output, limited amount of detail). At 12Z Wed. in today's run, 850 line is still well south of here...yesterday's 12Z had it already long gone at the same time. And even last night's 00Z, it was north of us (around the M/D line) at 00Z Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Just now, Deck Pic said: like 6-10" for me and you... Thanks and good to see you posting again. Ice on top of that for a glacier would be fun... as long as its not like half an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Any indication of surface temps through the time we have any ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Not often do you see strong CAD on d5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 1 minute ago, Always in Zugzwang said: Any indication of surface temps through the time we have any ice? Upper 20s to around 30? At 132 the 32 degree line is basically paralleling I 95 just to its east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 7 minutes ago, yoda said: How much ice we talking about on top of the snow? Like a quarter inch? Weatherbell is showing over .25" of fzrn for the entire subforum. .7" for DC proper with up to 1.2" to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 that's a clobbering Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15, 2019 Author Share Posted February 15, 2019 probably more reasonable, I was using 10:1Euro stays ice till 1am thur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Just now, packfan98 said: Weatherbell is showing over .25" of fzrn for the entire subforum. .7" for DC proper with up to 1.2" to the west. 1.2"? that would be a lot of broken trees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15, 2019 Author Share Posted February 15, 2019 The icon man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Let's shift this baby east a bit, lock in the transfer to the coast and turn it into a big one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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