weatherpruf Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 13 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Dude with that track and intensity that’s not rain, you should know this! Edit: You should know that gfs sucks with the thermals. take a look at the gfs para same system it looks like Are ye new here Skipper? everyone here knows I don't know jack.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 2 hours ago, weatherpruf said: Rain for most of us if it even happens at all. that's 14 days away...Jesus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowheavyattimes Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 3 hours ago, Snow88 said: Gefs and EPS looks very good mid month. Things might get rolling soon. Stop teasing us weenies. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 I still like the 29th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 39 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: that's 14 days away...Jesus. Can we forecast for next winter yet? Just as likely to verify.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 5 hours ago, weatherpruf said: Rain for most of us if it even happens at all. Looks like snow out towards Bermuda. Lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 Next 8 days averaging 42degs., or 8 degs. AN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 Models looked boring overnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 Mild -PNA pattern set to dominate over the next week. The MJO lingering so long in phase 6 set up a more La Niña looking pattern to start February. We need the -EPO to press mid-February so we have a shot at a gradient or SWFE type event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 Meh, honestly better to expect nothing for the rest of Winter, that way anything we do get would be a pleasant surprise. As a bonus, it will allow me to actually enjoy the mild temps this week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowheavyattimes Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 Watch the pattern change in late March or April. Just to torture us in this cruel winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, snowheavyattimes said: Watch the pattern change in late March or April. Just to torture us in this cruel winter. Always a worry. Nothing like drizzle and 40 in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 Gfs actually shows the possibility of 70s first half of Feb, the 06z op showed record warmth. Another top 5 warmest Feb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Models looked boring overnight That's the best sign so far this winter. Since December first the models have been looking great10-14 days out, let's bring on the opposite, maybe it will change our luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: Gfs actually shows the possibility of 70s first half of Feb, the 06z op showed record warmth. Another top 5 warmest Feb? If the MJO stays in the warm phases, I would not be surprised.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 Record breaking warm up with this extreme pattern change from late January. Moline, IL established a new 58 hour temperature rise at 78 degrees. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=169&network=IL_ASOS&zstation=MLI&hours=58&month=all&dir=warm&dpi=100&_fmt=png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 Yeah I’m kinda tired of being disappointed as soon as the models look good in the long range the next runs disappoint Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 14 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Gfs actually shows the possibility of 70s first half of Feb, the 06z op showed record warmth. Another top 5 warmest Feb? I’ll be honest with you the chances of that are very slim I think we don’t really get spring here until late April early March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
romba Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 Bring on 70’s for a day or two, would be beautiful! The models are finally being honest and showing zilch, nada. Only took them 3 months to get a clue past day 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 0z eps has a deep negative epo. Way different than the gefs. Hopefully the eps has a clue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 Temp going up pretty fast here this morning, current temp 35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 I wish the warmth had sped up and arrived today and Not in a day or so as I would have had the fire pit going along with watching the Super Bowl outside later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 11 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: I wish the warmth had sped up and arrived today and Not in a day or so as I would have had the fire pit going along with watching the Super Bowl outside later. Today is going to be a decent day, it’ll feel balmy to be honest it’s supposed to go up to 43 in the city that’s above average isn’t it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 Wouldn’t shock me if temps over perform today. Its already 41 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 25 minutes ago, bluewave said: Big MJO improvements today on the models. All the models now get to phase 8 by mid-February. Hopefully, we see the GEFS and CMC join the EPS with the more -EPO mid-February. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/CLIVAR/ecmm.shtml The 00Z Canadian ensemble mean and 06Z GEFS made a nice improvement towards what the EPS is showing for the EPO. PNA sucks but it's nice to see the cutoff N/E of Hawaii and the lower heights S of Greenland/E of the Canadian Maritimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 3, 2019 Author Share Posted February 3, 2019 1 hour ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Today is going to be a decent day, it’ll feel balmy to be honest it’s supposed to go up to 43 in the city that’s above average isn’t it going to push 50 here and near 60 tomorrow and tuesday. Average is 41 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 46 minutes ago, bluewave said: Big MJO improvements today on the models. All the models now get to phase 8 by mid-February. Hopefully, we see the GEFS and CMC join the EPS with the more -EPO mid-February. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/CLIVAR/ecmm.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 45 minutes ago, bluewave said: Big MJO improvements today on the models. All the models now get to phase 8 by mid-February. Hopefully, we see the GEFS and CMC join the EPS with the more -EPO mid-February. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/CLIVAR/ecmm.shtml HM just pointed it out but the real problem has been the raging ++WPO all winter long. It’s the reason the PAC jet has been an unrelenting firehose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 You know how winter 2005 - 2006 sucked and then all of a sudden we got a record-breaking snowstorm? We're gonna do that again, aren't we? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 3, 2019 Author Share Posted February 3, 2019 1 minute ago, TriPol said: You know how winter 2005 - 2006 sucked and then all of a sudden we got a record-breaking snowstorm? We're gonna do that again, aren't we? Dec 05 was pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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