tomcatct Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 1 hour ago, weatherlogix said: No it wasn't. The ECMWF was locked and loaded on that storm 8-9 days out Not saying you're wrong but i could swear the JMA was on it's own seeing that storm...maybe the euro had it ..lost it and got it back..not sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 1 hour ago, CarLover014 said: I remember going on a trip to the city the day after. This was when I was little. I think I remember it was about 6 inches of slush, right? Geez, I feel old reading this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 JB still hawking his 2/15-3/15. I am convinced he is mentally ill, with a condition boxers, football players and wrestlers whose head has slammed the canvas too many times have. Either that or he is able to 'lie passed the truth', better than anyone. btw: SD just canceled anything for March, as he pointed out a SSCE is starting and will be tighten up the PV for good in 3 weeks. The GEFS has produced 75 traveling '16 day periods' which had less than an inch of Snow each in reality, but never ever, even showed something like 2" or 3" with a low probability. Once it reached 17" and a 70% chance! Must have been fed some heaping bad hootch, for that one!! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 9 minutes ago, CIK62 said: JB still hawking his 2/15-3/15. I am convinced he is mentally ill, with a condition boxers, football players and wrestlers whose head has slammed the canvas too many times have. Either that or he is able to 'lie passed the truth', better than anyone. btw: SD just canceled anything for March, as he pointed out a SSCE is starting and will be tighten up the PV for good in 3 weeks. The GEFS has produced 75 traveling '16 day periods' which had less than an inch of Snow each in reality, but never ever, even showed something like 2" or 3" with a low probability. Once it reached 17" and a 70% chance! Must have been fed some heaping bad hootch, for that one!! He might be right. The Mjo still looks great this morning by mid month with high amplitudes into 8 and then 1. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 8 minutes ago, CIK62 said: JB still hawking his 2/15-3/15. I am convinced he is mentally ill, with a condition boxers, football players and wrestlers whose head has slammed the canvas too many times have. Either that or he is able to 'lie passed the truth', better than anyone. btw: SD just canceled anything for March, as he pointed out a SSCE is starting and will be tighten up the PV for good in 3 weeks. The GEFS has produced 75 traveling '16 day periods' which had less than an inch of Snow each in reality, but never ever, even showed something like 2" or 3" with a low probability. Once it reached 17" and a 70% chance! Must have been fed some heaping bad hootch, for that one!! and you probably believe SD the same guy that cancelled March last February - him and Henry make a good team 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 24 minutes ago, CIK62 said: JB still hawking his 2/15-3/15. I am convinced he is mentally ill, with a condition boxers, football players and wrestlers whose head has slammed the canvas too many times have. Either that or he is able to 'lie passed the truth', better than anyone. btw: SD just canceled anything for March, as he pointed out a SSCE is starting and will be tighten up the PV for good in 3 weeks. The GEFS has produced 75 traveling '16 day periods' which had less than an inch of Snow each in reality, but never ever, even showed something like 2" or 3" with a low probability. Once it reached 17" and a 70% chance! Must have been fed some heaping bad hootch, for that one!! JB always hangs on to the bitter end. In Feb 2012 he was still barking that it was coming even though it was obvious by then it was not. Maybe we get a window end of month, but Pac Jet and no Atlantic help bother me. Need an over running pattern. Any decent storm will cut.... - also, when you see it snowing in Seattle, that's usually not a good sign for us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 Icon shows 6 hours of light snow for our region Sunday night into Monday morning 1-2 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 GFS coming in colder this run. initial wave is much weaker. Let's see if it transfers in time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 GFS is much better snow to some drizzle/fr drizzle. Primary much weaker and transfers to the delmarva in time,. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 13 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Icon shows 6 hours of light snow for our region Sunday night into Monday morning 1-2 inches In all seriousness, while the 12z GFS qpf is paltry, that would likely be a slightly snowier solution than depicted based on the low-mid level moisture, some weak fronto, and some not-so-weak DPVA in the upper levels. The case could be made for throwing out a C-1" call for Monday am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 Just now, mikem81 said: GFS is much better snow to some drizzle/fr drizzle. Primary much weaker and transfers to the delmarva in time,. Plus CMC just showed almost identical solution 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 Transfer looks sloppy but pops a weak coastal in time to keep a lot of the area in snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 GFS is 4-6 inches area wide followed by a light mix at the coast, great run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 Gfs is a snowstorm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 2 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Gfs is a snowstorm Hope it looks like that 24 hours out 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 Gfs shows 4-8 inches.... letssss goooooo 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 CMC looks good too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 12gfs snow maps a step backwards from 6z gfs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 2 minutes ago, Animal said: 12gfs snow maps a step backwards from 6z gfs. Who cares it’s a better setup. It never goes over to plain rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
romba Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 12 z suite looks solid so far, big boys coming in soon. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 1 minute ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Who cares it’s a better setup. It never goes over to plain rain I care about it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 Just now, Animal said: I care about it. Its got less qpf overall so yes the far NW areas may get a bit less snow/ice in the flatter scenario but overall it benefits the majority of the area to have the flatter solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 2 minutes ago, Animal said: I care about it. me too... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 ME THREE!!!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 Just now, HVSnowLover said: Its got less qpf overall so yes the far NW areas may get a bit less snow/ice in the flatter scenario but overall it benefits the majority of the area to have the flatter solution. Flat and thread the needle - good luck the real test is when we get within 84 hours when things started to fall apart with all the other systems this winter.... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 I’d rather get a colder solution with less snow than heavier wet snow to heavy rain come on guys. We’re a team 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 Not surprisingly the Gfs is coming back to its senses. The raging cutter solution is very unlikely to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 2 hours ago, tomcatct said: Not saying you're wrong but i could swear the JMA was on it's own seeing that storm...maybe the euro had it ..lost it and got it back..not sure The JMA wasn't around in 1996, at least not in he mainstream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 9 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: I’d rather get a colder solution with less snow than heavier wet snow to heavy rain come on guys. We’re a team Yes especially it's not like anyone is getting really screwed, the GFS gives everyone a solid snowfall the highest amounts are actually still up in Ulster and further north but it keeps basically everyone except parts of LI all snow/frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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