bluewave Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/15/2019 at 5:03 PM, nzucker said: Yes, I've also had 2.3" here in the Bronx during the entire meteorological winter. The biggest event, aside from November, was the 1 3/4" snowfall that I recorded on Tuesday that was combined with sleet and ice. Incredible to think in some winters we see this amount of snow in an hour; others it takes a whole season to accumulate a few measly inches. If we have a benign ending to the winter, this will be the least snowiest winter I've experienced since 01-02 when Dobbs Ferry only received 8" all winter. (I was in New Hampshire for the 11-12 winter, where we were well below average but still had over 50" with 25" coming in the October storm.) I've been incredibly lucky...had almost 50" in the Bronx last year, 58" in Southern Brooklyn in 13-14, nearly 70" in Dobbs Ferry in 09-10 and 10-11. But averages are averages for a reason, and we were due for a ratter. We're also seeing a continuation of the extremes where NYC sees fewer winters with 20-30", as was common in the 1980s, and more winters with 40"+ or <15". Expand Yeah, I recently mentioned the lack of 20-30” snowfall seasons this decade. ISP is yet to have a single season in this range for the 2010’s. Most of the years this decade were 40” and above. ISP snowfall 1 2019-04-30 7.2 75 2 2018-04-30 65.9 0 3 2017-04-30 39.3 0 4 2016-04-30 41.4 0 5 2015-04-30 63.7 0 - 2014-04-30 63.7 0 7 2013-04-30 46.9 0 8 2012-04-30 4.7 0 9 2011-04-30 55.3 0 10 2010-04-30 53.8 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/15/2019 at 5:15 PM, bluewave said: Yeah, I recently mentioned the lack of 20-30” snowfall seasons this decade. ISP is yet to have a single season in this range for the 2010’s. Most of the years this decade were 40” and above. ISP snowfall 1 2019-04-30 7.2 75 2 2018-04-30 65.9 0 3 2017-04-30 39.3 0 4 2016-04-30 41.4 0 5 2015-04-30 63.7 0 - 2014-04-30 63.7 0 7 2013-04-30 46.9 0 8 2012-04-30 4.7 0 9 2011-04-30 55.3 0 10 2010-04-30 53.8 0 Expand How did ISP get so much last year? I had 48" in the Bronx. Did they get a lot more in the January 950mb megastorm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 it's been along time since we had a snow less winter like this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/15/2019 at 5:23 PM, nzucker said: How did ISP get so much last year? I had 48" in the Bronx. Did they get a lot more in the January 950mb megastorm? Expand ISP picked up 15.8 with the 950 mb benchmark blizzard. They were also in a prime location for the heaviest late season snows. ISP 17-18 Dec....6.0 Jan.....22.0 Feb.....1.4 Mar.....31.9 Apr.......4.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/15/2019 at 4:23 PM, SnowGoose69 said: The Euro is the best right now. Most other guidance has the coastal areas as rain Expand Canadian is a hair away from a 4-6" deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowheavyattimes Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/15/2019 at 6:00 PM, Ericjcrash said: Canadian is a hair away from a 4-6" deal. Expand For what day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/15/2019 at 6:21 PM, snowheavyattimes said: For what day? Expand Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 What does the 12z euro show for the Wednesday storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/15/2019 at 6:27 PM, David-LI said: What does the 12z euro show for the Wednesday storm? Expand Several inches than ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Are we talking Wednesday at day or Wednesday night into Thursday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/15/2019 at 6:34 PM, White Gorilla said: Are we talking Wednesday at day or Wednesday night into Thursday? Expand Wednesday day into night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Euro looks nice for Wednesday. Juicier storm and the stronger high. If we could get the secondary to pop a little sooner it would be a nice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Another day that the highs beat guidance. 60 degrees at Newark now. 3rd 60 degree day this February. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/meteogram/link.shtml?choice=Kewr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 The Euro would also appear to be all snow at the coast with the first system though I didn’t check soundings. Definitely less mild than the GFS or CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/15/2019 at 7:22 PM, bluewave said: Another day that the highs beat guidance. 60 degrees at Newark now. 3rd 60 degree day this February. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/meteogram/link.shtml?choice=Kewr Expand That was a given, idk why forecasters never go over on days like this. I think we will score some light events next week. There's a ton of confluence that's acting like a 50/50 low helping to keep systems from getting too amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Nao is taking a dip to negative next week. EPO is negative and mjo 8. A lot of favorable things for this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/15/2019 at 7:39 PM, Snow88 said: Nao is taking a dip to negative next week. EPO is negative and mjo 8. A lot of favorable things for this storm. Expand Using sound meteorology to prognosticate, not just model hug. Thumbs up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/15/2019 at 7:49 PM, White Gorilla said: Using sound meteorology to prognosticate, not just model hug. Thumbs up. Expand The southeast ridge is still there so there will be a fight between the ridge and confluence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/15/2019 at 7:29 PM, SnoSki14 said: That was a given, idk why forecasters never go over on days like this. I think we will score some light events next week. There's a ton of confluence that's acting like a 50/50 low helping to keep systems from getting too amped. Expand 63 now at Newark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/15/2019 at 7:22 PM, bluewave said: Another day that the highs beat guidance. 60 degrees at Newark now. 3rd 60 degree day this February. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/meteogram/link.shtml?choice=Kewr Expand yeah I was a little surprised at how mild it felt outside in lower Manhattan now. Big spread in temps though. Staten Island is 61 while Queens Mesonet is 49. That not by the Rockaways either that's Queens College off the LIE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/15/2019 at 7:39 PM, Snow88 said: Nao is taking a dip to negative next week. EPO is negative and mjo 8. A lot of favorable things for this storm. Expand Slop to all rain setup once again, only this time the antecedent air mass isn’t as cold. It is not favorable for this storm either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/15/2019 at 8:09 PM, dWave said: yeah I was a little surprised at how mild it felt outside in lower Manhattan now. Big spread in temps though. Staten Island is 61 while Queens Mesonet is 49. That not by the Rockaways either that's Queens College off the LIE. Expand Cooler along the shores with the southerly flow and 41 degree ocean temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/15/2019 at 7:54 PM, Snow88 said: The southeast ridge is still there so there will be a fight between the ridge and confluence. Expand But if teles are more favorable this time around, let's hope the confluence is stronger than last go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/15/2019 at 8:25 PM, snowman19 said: How many times are you going to keep doing this, this winter? Serious question? You’ve been super hyping everything into a snowstorm for going on 4 months now, with less than 2 inches total to show for it Expand What about other winters though? I've noticed for years you downplay every snow threat. It has worked well for you this winter, but other recent winters when we had way above normal snowfall you were wrong most of the time. The way you post makes it seem as if you hate snow, yet your name is snowman. You have every right to like whatever type of weather you like, but I'm just curious ...... do you like snow or not? If you don't then maybe you should change your name to summerMan or something like that lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/15/2019 at 8:39 PM, winterwx21 said: What about other winters though? I've noticed for years you downplay every snow threat. It has worked well for you this winter, but other recent winters when we had way above normal snowfall you were wrong most of the time. The way you post makes it seem as if you hate snow, yet your name is snowman. You have every right to like whatever type of weather you like, but I'm just curious ...... do you like snow or not? If you don't then maybe you should change your name to summerMan or something like that lol. Expand New contest: Pick an alternate name for Snowman 19. I sorta like the one he has. As always .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 15, 2019 Author Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/15/2019 at 7:29 PM, SnoSki14 said: That was a given, idk why forecasters never go over on days like this. I think we will score some light events next week. There's a ton of confluence that's acting like a 50/50 low helping to keep systems from getting too amped. Expand My forecast was actually lowered this morning from upper 50s to low 50s. Meanwhile it's 63 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/15/2019 at 8:39 PM, winterwx21 said: What about other winters though? I've noticed for years you downplay every snow threat. It has worked well for you this winter, but other recent winters when we had way above normal snowfall you were wrong most of the time. The way you post makes it seem as if you hate snow, yet your name is snowman. You have every right to like whatever type of weather you like, but I'm just curious ...... do you like snow or not? If you don't then maybe you should change your name to summerMan or something like that lol. Expand I have no clue how he said the airmass this upcoming Wednesday will be worse than this past storm yet the models today show more snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Nam still showing a little snow for Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 On 2/15/2019 at 8:10 PM, snowman19 said: Slop to all rain setup once again, only this time the antecedent air mass isn’t as cold. It is not favorable for this storm either Expand That's very surprising you would say that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Upton has 1-2 inches for the area Sunday night into Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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