MJO812 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 Gefs and EPS has the mjo going into 8 at a high amplitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 Not sure how much winteris left, but the birds are chirping and the sun feels really warm...i want a big blizzard like everyone else but if that aint gonna happen..then bring on some nice weather.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 Sunny and 51. feels great. However as expected this time of yr anywhere near even a small body of water is much cooler. Facing the Hudson by the West Side Hwy feels more like 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 28 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gefs and EPS has the mjo going into 8 at a high amplitude. They look good. The pattern will probably start to respond if they keep it up. EPS would still be the winner here. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 51 minutes ago, bluewave said: You know it’s a warm pattern in February when NYC reaches 50 degrees at 10 am. That is a 9 degree temperature jump in only 2 hours. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/meteogram/link.shtml?choice=Knyc we'll likely over-perform all week. Have to say it feels great-the stronger sun angle is already evident.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 1 minute ago, bluewave said: We could beat the record high for Friday which was set in 2017. NYC 2/8 62 in 2017 61 in 1965 60 in 1933 Another 50+ degree drop is possible from there to the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 1 minute ago, bluewave said: Areas that radiate well may have the best chance with the big high rolling through. Definitely but I think other places may see it too. I feel many places will get to 65 or better Friday, 850 temps are through the roof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Definitely but I think other places may see it too. I feel many places will get to 65 or better Friday, 850 temps are through the roof. front passes early and there will be plenty of low clouds around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 6 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: front passes early and there will be plenty of low clouds around. Cloud cover is always the wildcard with these winter torches... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 The coast is really feeling the influence of the colder SST’s following the Arctic outbreaks on a day like today. Central Park FAIR 55 Breezy Point N/A 39 NY Harb Entrance 37 38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 Had to deuce this morning for frost at JFK. It was ironic given the hazy sunny morning that developed quickly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 2 minutes ago, jfklganyc said: Had to deuce this morning for frost at JFK. It was ironic given the hazy sunny morning that developed quickly. I'm going to hope that is deice. I mean I typically drop a deuce in the morning, but usually the frost plays no roll in my deucing ability. I have heard though that rapid pressure drops can cause pregnant women to go into lab. Where do you typically fly to or everywhere? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 Is it just me or are January thaws turning more into February torches these past few years? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 Feels great out. The MJO looks great for later this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 We should definitely see overperforming temps away from the water this week. But closer to the water spring type seabreezes will kick in mid morning. The difference in “feel” from my house on the SS and the city is pretty incredible. Moving forward winter comes back this weekend. But the pattern isn’t condusive for big snows along the coast. At least not yet. We could see an advisory type event next week, but we need to work on the -PNA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 So nice out, I think I'm gonna lay on the roof and work on a tan! Sun feels great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 48 minutes ago, TwcMan said: Feels great out. The MJO looks great for later this month. The MJO going into phases 7 and 8 might not be what people think it is when there’s a weak stratospheric polar vortex like we have. Check this out: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 1 minute ago, snowman19 said: The MJO going into phases 7 and 8 might not be what people think it is when there’s a weak stratospheric polar vortex like we have. Check this out: Also, looks like the AO is going positive, the SSW did not workout as planned. From Dr. Butler: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 3 minutes ago, snowman19 said: The MJO going into phases 7 and 8 might not be what people think it is when there’s a weak stratospheric polar vortex like we have. Check this out: Negative epo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Negative epo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 warm out their today i felt like i was suffering from heat exhaustion.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 7 minutes ago, nycwinter said: warm out their today i felt like i was suffering from heat exhaustion.... Unfortunately you can't even escape inside. So many buildings still have the heat on like it is 10 degrees outside. It was brutal in my office this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 The temperature reached 60° today in Central Park for the first time since December 28, 2018 The high of 61° through 1 pm, was New York City's warmest reading since December 21, 2018 when the temperature also hit 61°. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 33 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Also, looks like the AO is going positive, the SSW did not workout as planned. From Dr. Butler: if the trough ends up like that, we'll have a bunch of cutters. No Atl Blocking is really killing us this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 4 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: if the trough ends up like that, we'll have a bunch of cutters. No Atl Blocking is really killing us this year. There hasn’t been any semblance of Atlantic blocking since November nor does it look like any will be forming through mid month and beyond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 According to this, the AO will trend back to neutral/negative territory by the middle of the month. I’m more concerned about what the pacific does over the Atlantic. EPO can stay negative, with the PNA rising to neutral territory by the middle of February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 9 minutes ago, TwcMan said: According to this, the AO will trend back to neutral/negative territory by the middle of the month. I’m more concerned about what the pacific does over the Atlantic. EPO can stay negative, with the PNA rising to neutral territory by the middle of February. Look at the WPO, that’s what has been driving the raging PAC jet. It’s strong ++WPO and getting stronger throughout the period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 Just now, snowman19 said: Look at the WPO, that’s what has been driving the raging PAC jet. It’s ++WPO and getting stronger throughout the period Pac-jet wins this winter? Does it 'trump" other forces(epo/ao?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 Euro looks good for hours 192-216... looks cold and snowy with some ice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now