nj2va Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 15 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Wow really good run of FV3, models going different directions, really hope it’s right. I’d say. 0.4-0.5” QPF and we lose very little if any QPF to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: I’d say. 0.4-0.5” QPF and we lose very little if any QPF to rain. It gets it done differently than those good euro runs from the last few days which had the precip hanging around until Wednesday am. This is all a quick hitter Tuesday afternoon/evening. It would be an excellent outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 4 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: It gets it done differently than those good euro runs from the last few days which had the precip hanging around until Wednesday am. This is all a quick hitter Tuesday afternoon/evening. It would be an excellent outcome. At least Bob is getting rewarded for all the great work and analysis he gives us. He has been in the jackpot all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 40 minutes ago, snowmagnet said: FV3 gives Fairfax Co around 4”. Works for me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 25 minutes ago, ravensrule said: At least Bob is getting rewarded for all the great work and analysis he gives us. He has been in the jackpot all winter. I always treat all models nicely and with repsect because you never know which one is going to give or steal all your snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Tuesday in the Northern Plains is going to be primo jebwalk weather, temps around ~ -18 for HIGHS with a refreshingly cool 18mph northerly breeze. It may feel like ~ -63 at times up there! They are also going to get 12 inches of fresh snow before the cool front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 1 minute ago, Jebman said: Tuesday in the Northern Plains is going to be primo jebwalk weather, temps around ~ -18 for HIGHS with a refreshingly cool 18mph northerly breeze. It may feel like ~ -63 at times up there! I'd have to think about a jacket..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 well the euro is definitely better than 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 1 minute ago, wxdude64 said: I'd have to think about a jacket..... Girlfriend is in Madison for the winter. Honestly considered going over there for the cold snap, don't know when I'll ever experience something like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Wow looks like the FV3, we’re back in business baby! Put the cutlery away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Euro looking way better. I don’t trust the SV snow maps but its showing a swath of 4-6” for DC. QPF nearing 0.5”...wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Just now, nj2va said: Euro looking way better. I don’t trust the SV snow maps but its showing a swath of 4-6” for DC. QPF nearing 0.5”...wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 @Ji it's roaring back dude. You know what comes next... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 27, 2019 Author Share Posted January 27, 2019 Giddy the f-ck up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 4 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Actually, every storm this year has looked good in medium range, crapped out in the 48-72hr range, then come back strong in the last 36-48hrs. Not saying it will happen like that again, but... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Did we seriously just get NAM'd by the Euro? Relatively speaking of course! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Just now, WxUSAF said: Giddy the f-ck up Wish i had euro soundings. Hr 60 looks like a potential +sn setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Giddy the f-ck up Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 If we somehow manage a solid event Tuesday then temps could be interesting post front. Fresh snowpack and air mass can yield interesting temperature departures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 9 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Here’s a higher res map of QPF. Giggity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Surface temps at onset make me skeptical but this looks too mf'ing good not to post. Not everybody is cheering but most of us are. Rockville columbia psu deathband on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 I'm telling you, some years it just likes to snow in the city! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 I'm huggin this until the nam does what the nam does best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 13 minutes ago, weathercoins said: Girlfriend is in Madison for the winter. Honestly considered going over there for the cold snap, don't know when I'll ever experience something like that. Yep, I hear you. A -55 to -65 WC is something I'd like to experience. Coldest I've ever enjoyed was -44. That was up at Jay VT with the air temp -14. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Back in the saddle again! Awesomeness. I’m pumped!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Surface temps at onset make me skeptical but this looks too mf'ing good not to post. Not everybody is cheering but most of us are. Rockville columbia psu deathband on this run. Yep, not a lot for here, but I am over climo, y'all can have this one if it happens that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: If we somehow manage a solid event Tuesday then temps could be interesting post front. Fresh snowpack and air mass can yield interesting temperature departures. Would be great to take advantage of snow cover and see how low we go down. Been waiting for that combo for years ! Last Jan no snow cover , last couple years, nada, this past MLK Day, super cold, but no snowcover. This would be great for the spirits if the Euro was right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Just now, wxdude64 said: Yep, not a lot for here, but I am over climo, y'all can have this one if it happens that way. I need about 6-7" to hit climo so won't hit it with this one. Kuchera is overdone because temps are upper 30s at onset. There's going to be some wasted qpf. Very interesting though as now all globals and even the nam are hinting at some heavy snow for a time and surface should be good by then. A blend of all guidance right now is very encouraging for the 95 and close burb corridor. DCA may have a legit shot at topping climo. Not bad for a "disaster" winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 7 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Surface temps at onset make me skeptical but this looks too mf'ing good not to post. Not everybody is cheering but most of us are. Rockville columbia psu deathband on this run. 12z was great all around. I wish I could lock that up. The frontal wave trended better across guidance. One thing that worries me some is that the wave has trended east consistently the last 48 hours. Yea i know this one euro run was left of 6z but overall the trend is east. 72 hours ago this was going mostly west of us. If that trend continues we could be left watching philly and nyc celebrate. It’s already becoming a bummer for the western 1/3 of this region. I’d like to see that east trend stop before I feel confident enough to get my hopes up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Just now, Bob Chill said: I need about 6-7" to hit climo so won't hit it with this one. Kuchera is overdone because temps are upper 30s at onset. There's going to be some wasted qpf. Very interesting though as now all globals and even the nam are hinting at some heavy snow for a time and surface should be good by then. A blend of all guidance right now is very encouraging for the 95 and close burb corridor. DCA may have a legit shot at topping climo. Not bad for a "disaster" winter. So true...our winters are rarely if ever wall to wall cold and snowy. We have been and always will be a take what you can get region in winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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