WxUSAF Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Just about everything is onboard with a fun arctic fropa Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Posting this here instead Just now, nj2va said: Kuchera is 3-5”. Ji gets 5.5” but he’ll complain about losing 3” from 4 days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Every run has a small wobble but it always seems to end up like this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Every run has a small wobble but it always seems to end up like this CHO hole =( It's a solid run though. Not even sure that the WxBell Kuchera is counting all the precip as snow -- for whatever reason the Ptype depiction has spots flipping to rain at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Curious if showme has thoughts on the latest run and if we are seeing better development of the low to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Curious fellas can you show Connecticut on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said: Curious fellas can you show Connecticut on the Euro It isn't pretty. Trace - 1" except for far NW corner with 2-3". This run is an I95 snowhole from NYC to BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Just now, Bob Chill said: It isn't pretty. Trace - 1" except for far NW corner with 2-3". This run is an I95 snowhole from NYC to BOS. Ok cool...I'd rather my house get smoked anyway. Something pretty to come home to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Just now, leesburg 04 said: Ok cool...I'd rather my house get smoked anyway. Something pretty to come home to I’m not sure the mrs. would appreciate that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Will this one bring the true "flash freeze?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Just now, Chase said: Will this one bring the true "flash freeze?" Mythical. Like the backend crush job...only happens in fantasyland...and San Quentin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 10 minutes ago, Chase said: Will this one bring the true "flash freeze?" Flash freezes don't happen in real life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inthepines Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 11 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Mythical. Like the backend crush job...only happens in fantasyland...and San Quentin I used to live in Pocahontas County, WV and flash freezes are def real usually accompanied by snow showers but not always. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Wagons north. SNE ain’t the place to be if you want winter this year... You just moved up there this year didnt you?.......Just saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 2 minutes ago, Inthepines said: I used to live in Pocahontas County, WV and flash freezes are def real usually accompanied by snow showers but not always. Mythical outside Pocahontas County, WV. And John Smith County of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Unmitigated catastrophe this winter (so far) You doing ok? This can all end quickly if you wish. I know a guy..carries a sickle...hood...he is gentle but determined Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 NAM looks good for 2-4” at 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 NAM looks like a squall line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 14 minutes ago, nj2va said: NAM looks good for 2-4” at 84. yea, pretty interesting nam run to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 2 hours ago, osfan24 said: Curious if showme has thoughts on the latest run and if we are seeing better development of the low to the south. Wife dragged me out shopping so I only just now got a chance to look. Didn't dive too deep into the Euro/Eps but what I saw wasn't very promising for a stronger southern low/coastal. Though the Euro op has been very consistent of late, which is very hard to dismiss at this range, I was hoping that the EPS was throwing up a red flag on it with so many different evolutions in the east on the 00z run many of which were favorable for something more. But the latest EPS run actually made what I thought was a pretty strong move towards the op which is pretty telling. Also didn't see much if any support from the other models as well. I am not one to give up so easily especially with a somewhat difficult setup so i will see this through. But I admittedly am starting to hear the Fat Lady sing in the distance in regards to anything more then what the Euro op has to offer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 LOL. Just finished my post then saw the NAM with picking up on a stronger southern low moving up to off our coast. Shame it's the NAM at range and probably not worth the time to even look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Nam'ed....If I was up in NE I would be salivating over what the NAM is showing. Of course it is the NAM at range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 What the nam shows would be awesome and I think the high end scenario for us. 3 to 6 inches of over an 8 hour period with falling temps. Trough going negative early enough to really benefit us. TO bad it's the nam at 84 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 I don't think people realize how practically every model is close to worthless at the end of their ranges. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 12K would be sweet. 5-6 hours of puke. I was playing with the soundings and I dont think Anyone Leesburg west would see any rain. Just a wall of snow if it verified. Could really be a fun little event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 4 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: I don't think people realize how practically every model is close to worthless at the end of their ranges. You don't say? Thank you for enlightening us. #CaptainObvious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Not sure why I am really looking into the NAM but for whatever it is worth we did see what was needed for a better solution. A sharper, deeper trough drop and a stronger shortwave rounding the base of that trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 1 hour ago, BristowWx said: Mythical. Like the backend crush job...only happens in fantasyland...and San Quentin And The Day After Tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 I will take that Euro map posted above and RUN with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Gfs is backing flow more than 12z even at short leads. Obvious as 54-60 hours. If anything like the nam is going to happen, that's what can do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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