DC2Winston Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 My betting over/under would be just a trace at KGSO. But at least snaps the snowless streak. Technically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 27, 2019 Author Share Posted January 27, 2019 This NWS map seems reasonable. 15Z SREF and 12Z EPS are .5-1" for Atlanta. New NAM a bit over 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 15z SREF with a SNOW Mean of 1" here, with several members at 2" + Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tanith Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 On 1/27/2019 at 8:53 PM, Cheeznado said: This NWS map seems reasonable. 15Z SREF and 12Z EPS are .5-1" for Atlanta. New NAM a bit over 1. Expand Weirdly, my little corner of GA (Lumpkin County) always--always--is on the edge of things during these events. We're either on the edge of the forecast precip itself or else we're on the edge of expected amounts. It's unsettling, as if forecasters don't know how to classify us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 On 1/27/2019 at 9:19 PM, Tanith said: Weirdly, my little corner of GA (Lumpkin County) always--always--is on the edge of things during these events. We're either on the edge of the forecast precip itself or else we're on the edge of expected amounts. It's unsettling, as if forecasters don't know how to classify us. Expand Lumpkin looks pretty solid for an inch plus. In a much better spot than counties like Hall, Habersham, and Rabun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Not sure how accurate this is, but I'll take it and run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 The RGEM wants no part of this one down in AL and GA. It hasn’t been doing well this winter though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 27, 2019 Author Share Posted January 27, 2019 18Z FV3 has .8 in Atlanta. Models now very consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/27/2019 at 9:56 PM, BornAgain13 said: Not sure how accurate this is, but I'll take it and run... Expand I’d take this in a heartbeat and be good with January. Have to say when I heard the winter forecast I was expecting some measurable snow in January. Kind of disappointed on this month. Weve had cold enough temps and plenty of moisture. I still have a good feeling about February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Touchet Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Does anyone really know what is gonna happen Tuesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 1:57 AM, Touchet said: Does anyone really know what is gonna happen Tuesday? Expand Yeah it’s going to snow in north ga. Just a matter of how much. We are 24-36 hours to the event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 1:57 AM, Touchet said: Does anyone really know what is gonna happen Tuesday? Expand No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Touchet Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 1:59 AM, LithiaWx said: Yeah it’s going to snow in north ga. Just a matter of how much. We are 24-36 hours to the event Expand Been hearing on FB they are salting roads in Alabama. My friend was completely taken aback. She had no idea it was gonna snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 1:57 AM, Touchet said: Does anyone really know what is gonna happen Tuesday? Expand Only thing we can be sure of is that the colder air will be moving in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:02 AM, CAD_Wedge_NC said: Only thing we can be sure of is that the colder air will be moving in. Expand Down here , imby, that happens after moisture is gone! Cold chasing moisture, with a flash freeze, best I can hope for! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:14 AM, mackerel_sky said: Down here , imby, that happens after moisture is gone! Cold chasing moisture, with a flash freeze, best I can hope for! Expand On 1/28/2019 at 2:14 AM, mackerel_sky said: Down here , imby, that happens after moisture is gone! Cold chasing moisture, with a flash freeze, best I can hope for! Expand That counts as freezing rain right? Rain that falls and then freezes. Gotta make the most of a bad situation. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 No, freezing rain is when the rain freezes on contact. This will be a freeze of whatever puddles are still around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:21 AM, PackGrad05 said: No, freezing rain is when the rain freezes on contact. This will be a freeze of whatever puddles are still around.I'm pretty sure that was a joke...Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Yes it was a joke. I've never been very good at it. I guess I'm pretty bad at it in person as well as on the keyboard. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/27/2019 at 9:56 PM, BornAgain13 said: Not sure how accurate this is, but I'll take it and run... Expand You need to use the Kuchera maps, because it will not involve high ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 NAM moves the precip through before the cold air really arrives. Shows a small band north of the Triangle into southern VA, but that's less pronounced than at 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:27 AM, tarheelwx said: Yes it was a joke. I've never been very good at it. I guess I'm pretty bad at it in person as well as on the keyboard. TW Expand haha sorry! I should've picked up on the sarcasm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 1:57 AM, Touchet said: Does anyone really know what is gonna happen Tuesday? Expand No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/27/2019 at 8:53 PM, Cheeznado said: This NWS map seems reasonable. 15Z SREF and 12Z EPS are .5-1" for Atlanta. New NAM a bit over 1. Expand Nice to see some winter weather in my ol' TAG stomping grounds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 The NAM looks craptastic, too warm and even very light amounts in WNC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:51 AM, wncsnow said: The NAM looks craptastic, too warm and even very light amounts in WNC. Expand Someone’s hacked your account. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 28, 2019 Author Share Posted January 28, 2019 00Z NAM and 3KM both have basically no accumulations in Atlanta but the 21Z SREF amounts went up a bit. So not changing my .5-1" forecast yet but I will say that since all models have at least some sunshine by Tuesday afternoon the chance of any major road problems in the metro have decreased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 1:57 AM, Touchet said: Does anyone really know what is gonna happen Tuesday? Expand No, but we’ll know on Wednesday. —- On a serious note, this looks like rain chasing the moisture east of the Appalachians, which usually never turns out well. The models do seem to favor a period of snow for the NC Piedmont, though, so we’ll see. Looks like a better storm for N MS/AL/GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 the high-res NAM seems to have slowed down the frontal passage for central NC by 1-3 hours. The only thing this really affects is the amount of time the moisture has to evaporate before freezing for the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 11:43 AM, PackGrad05 said: the high-res NAM seems to have slowed down the frontal passage for central NC by 1-3 hours. The only thing this really affects is the amount of time the moisture has to evaporate before freezing for the morning. Expand It did increase snow accumulations for our area. Not a lot (trace-half inch maybe), but it's now showing some coverage for the northern Triangle - northeastward. Also the Fv3 continues to be bullish with 1-2" of actual accumulations from RDU westward: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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