LibertyBell Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Everything you outlined is correct. I'm just frustrated, bored silly with this season. Gotta hang in there, because I still think some fun times lay ahead. a 2012-13 type reversal would be good enough! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Coastal front starting to show up on radar just offshore York County, ME. Does it mean anything for sensible weather impacts? Popped open the radar and was surprised to see that showing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Tough winter when you root for a squall line. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2019 Author Share Posted January 29, 2019 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: 2”? No one will get that. Many will get 0.5” or so pretty quickly. Just like a quick thunderstorm. Nothing amazing but cool if you get it. If I miss it I will be fine... Exactly my point. I'd be more captivated by a fart entirely preserved under the blankets. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, tunafish said: Coastal front starting to show up on radar just offshore York County, ME. Does it mean anything for sensible weather impacts? Popped open the radar and was surprised to see that showing up. That will probably hug the coast for a bit this morning, Its been modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Everything you outlined is correct. I'm just frustrated, bored silly with this season. Gotta hang in there, because I still think some fun times lay ahead. Yea. Agreed. Was hoping this vortex would produce a bomb. Another great opportunity, squandered. That said, being how anomalous this setup is, I think there’s a much greater than usual chance of surprises inside 48 hrs...Worth watching for this reason alone... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 9 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: U kno what the comical thing is nam temps didnt change at all from 3z to 7z for Merrimack valley they still bring 32.5 degree air to SENH /Merrimack valley they still bring 925 taint during the height of precip (8 runs in a row) for about 4 hours ....granted to say Merrimack /MHT area and this is still an underwhelming storm there regardless of temps bc of a continually modeled dry slot from at least 495 Se perhaps extend that 10 miles NW There are about 3 flags waving for ASH SE to 495 and frankly if people can’t see them at this point they are wishcasting You aren't sniffing 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 There is a steep gradient on the vast majority of guidance Between a LINE from say Dover to say Candia to MHT to NH/ma coast to 495 I mean , when this shows up on 8 consecutive runs over multiple model guidance why anyone would forecast different is perplexing ...925’s and dry slot are biggest flags for S NH the meso’s are not tracking this low south of Boston.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: You aren't sniffing 32. Yeah any solution that had above freezing NW of 495 into NW Middlesex, ORH county, and S NH is garbage. The limiting factor IMHO is QPF there...not temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Pickles, pickles, pickles. Just enjoy a few inches like your squat partners do, and accept it. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yeah any solution that had above freezing NW of 495 into NW Middlesex, ORH county, and S NH is garbage. The limiting factor IMHO is QPF there...not temps. Right. Have we not learned from 10 days ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Love the fact we are all hoping to somehow squeeze a few inches out between the slop and the squalls. Its humbling to realize you really can take what you get and make the most of it. Now if a parade of storms comes our way some time this winter and we are on the snowy side of them we'll look at an event like this as barely worth commenting on. Of course blinding snow squalls and frigid temps can produce a real bad time on the highways. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You aren't sniffing 32. Between 925 and relative dry slot this is not my worry that being said hi res nam has me 31-32 for 6 straight hours When do u suppose the nam and BTV wrf would catch on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Pickles, pickles, pickles. Just enjoy a few inches like your squat partners do, and accept it. Like I said I’ll be lucky to see 2 i kno your raining so you don’t really care if someone NW of you is trying to facilitate a realistic number WPC gives me 20% chance of 4 inches excuse me for being detail oriented 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Like I said I’ll be lucky to see 2 i kno your raining so you don’t really care if someone NW of you is trying to facilitate a realistic number WPC gives me 20% chance of 4 inches excuse me for being detail oriented I would love 2". Even if that's all you get (it will likely be a bit more than that) enjoy it. Signed, Those that drip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Pickles going to take out his frustrations on some 50+ old class today, Those poor ladies have no idea. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2019 Author Share Posted January 29, 2019 10 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: There is a steep gradient on the vast majority of guidance Between a LINE from say Dover to say Candia to MHT to NH/ma coast to 495 I mean , when this shows up on 8 consecutive runs over multiple model guidance why anyone would forecast different is perplexing ...925’s and dry slot are biggest flags for S NH the meso’s are not tracking this low south of Boston.... Bc nothing will do the low level cold justice. Last system was a mid level issue...different ballgame. That warmth is usually underestimated. It was 12* when I left my house this morning...good luck with 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Bc nothing will do the low level cold justice. Last system was a mid level issue...different ballgame. That warmth is usually underestimated. It was 12* when I left my house this morning...good luck with 32. Yeah that stuff ain't budging must past 128. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2019 Author Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Yeah that stuff ain't budging must past 128. The system is weak sauce..think about lack of QPF...that ties into WAA. QPF is meager bc WAA is. Cold and boring is the way to go here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Bc nothing will do the low level cold justice. Last system was a mid level issue...different ballgame. That warmth is usually underestimated. It was 12* when I left my house this morning...good luck with 32. I realize what the issue was with the last system , you have to be Helen Keller not to. Some areas were 0f and pelting in N central NH . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Trying to understand and follow along as best as possible, so I appreciate all the discussion. If the cold isn't budging past 128, where is the modeled rain coming from for coastal Maine? I'm assuming the cold budges once the low finally tracks overhead, yes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, tunafish said: Trying to understand and follow along as best as possible, so I appreciate all the discussion. If the cold isn't budging past 128, where is the modeled rain coming from for coastal Maine? I'm assuming the cold budges once the low finally tracks overhead, yes? Beaches of maine will get above 32, but won't get much past there. The low will go along the path of least resistance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just checked out guidance for the first time on this one. Wouldn't have even hoisted the WWA in SE NH. What a garbage system outside of W NE and Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 The melt of all melts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 SNE the areas that get porked from this system tonight could see snow from a clipper on Friday. South of a Hartford, CT to Boston, MA line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Jesus take 2-4" and call it a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Jesus take 2-4" and call it a day. I’m glad James doesn’t cry like this living somewhere even warmer We average 60 and sit at less than 10 for Met winter . Nobody in ASH is seeing 4” so take your four and sit on it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’m glad James doesn’t cry like this living somewhere even warmer We average 60 and sit at less than 10 for Met winter . Nobody in ASH is seeing 4” so take your four and sit on it lol Might be 2-4 there, but a good whitener at least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Beaches of maine will get above 32, but won't get much past there. The low will go along the path of least resistance. Thanks, this is helpful. 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Jesus take 2-4" and call it a day. No complaints, just trying to learn! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, tunafish said: Thanks, this is helpful. No complaints, just trying to learn! Oh not you, I mean pickles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now