dendrite Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 6:42 PM, wxextreme said: Big difference between reality and a wishcast. I agree with you, there is no way we will be able to mix down 60-70kt winds. Mt. Washington, sure, but they wont be mixing down...they will just be in the heat of it. Expand Where are the winds anyway? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxextreme Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 6:44 PM, dendrite said: Where are the winds anyway? Expand Very, very true, I was looking at a similar wind field, and was extremely confused as to where this was even coming from. I honestly thought I was missing something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 6:37 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: No WWA’s flying for 495 ? stay safe folks box 1pm disco mentions possible expansion of WAA for Tolland county and Far Ne Mass. Expand They should be up down to NW RI. They’ll fix it at 4:00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 6:17 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Lol call it a hunch you gusting to 65mph, no !There ...see that was easy Expand I don’t think my house ever had that. I live in a wind hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxextreme Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 6:44 PM, dendrite said: Where are the winds anyway? Expand There might be a slight arguement for Central to Eastern MA looking at these plots. Grasping at straws here trying to figure out the wishcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxextreme Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 6:51 PM, weathafella said: I don’t think my house ever had that. I live in a wind hole. Expand I have had a 70mph wind gust at my house in Ashby, MA. This was due to a very strong gust front. I also live in a wind tunnel and have three RM Young anemometers and a Downeaster Anemometer set up at my house (well sited) and get 40-50mph winds, but 60+ has only happened once in 3 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 You have to go up to like 700mb to even find 60kt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 6:50 PM, Damage In Tolland said: They should be up down to NW RI. They’ll fix it at 4:00 Expand Too low confidence for 3"+ in NW RI....I'd put one up for your county I think though. Middlesex county is close...QPF concerns, but that is low confidence too. Solid difference on model guidance. My hunch is they prob lean toward 3"+ though because of some CF enhancement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spaizzo Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Light Flakes flying sitting at 35 in Ansonia... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 6:55 PM, ORH_wxman said: Too low confidence for 3"+ in NW RI....I'd put one up for your county I think though. Middlesex county is close...QPF concerns, but that is low confidence too. Solid difference on model guidance. My hunch is they prob lean toward 3"+ though because of some CF enhancement. Expand Yeah TOL and Windham counties will be in it at 4:00. I think KGAY gets into one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxextreme Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 6:55 PM, dendrite said: You have to go up to like 700mb to even find 60kt. Expand Like I said, grasping at straws here trying to figure out how this was even brought up. I see a 50kt at 900mb, but that is about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 6:51 PM, wxextreme said: There might be a slight arguement for Central to Eastern MA looking at these plots. Grasping at straws here trying to figure out the wishcast. Expand Pretty sure Wiz didn’t wish cast and pretty sure no one said they expect those winds. You guys have a way of making mockery out of a basic question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 7:06 PM, Ginx snewx said: Pretty sure Wiz didn’t wish cast and pretty sure no one said they expect those winds. You guys have a way of making mockery out of a basic question. Expand lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 6:57 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah TOL and Windham counties will be in it at 4:00. I think KGAY gets into one Expand Lets discuss why we call Ray KGAY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 7:14 PM, mahk_webstah said: Lets discuss why we call Ray KGAY Expand Why do we? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxextreme Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 7:06 PM, Ginx snewx said: Pretty sure Wiz didn’t wish cast and pretty sure no one said they expect those winds. You guys have a way of making mockery out of a basic question. Expand Oops, didnt mean to call anyone out, but trying to understand how it was even brought up. Sorry about that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 squall line tomorrow might be the highlight of this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 7:14 PM, mahk_webstah said: Lets discuss why we call Ray KGAY Expand Years ago on the old Eastern forums I thought it was just an airport code I couldn't find the location of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 7:28 PM, Bostonseminole said: squall line tomorrow might be the highlight of this winter Expand What time are we looking at for tomorrow's squalls? Earliest/latest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 7:31 PM, NorEastermass128 said: What time are we looking at for tomorrow's squalls? Earliest/latest. Expand looks like 4-6pm out this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 HRRR finally figuring out the low wont' track NW of ORH....colder as a result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 7:35 PM, ORH_wxman said: HRRR finally figuring out the low wont' track NW of ORH....colder as a result. Expand Ugly area of low qpf around ORH...more to the NE and SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxextreme Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 7:35 PM, ORH_wxman said: HRRR finally figuring out the low wont' track NW of ORH....colder as a result. Expand Looking fairly good for me north of KFIT. Interesting to see how orographic enhancements set up as I live on the side of a fairly large hill adjacent to a mountain (Mt Watatic). Usually for these types of storms it aids in snow totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 7:06 PM, Ginx snewx said: Pretty sure Wiz didn’t wish cast and pretty sure no one said they expect those winds. You guys have a way of making mockery out of a basic question. Expand That was my point. I thought pickles inadvertently was slamming Paul and I thought it was uncalled for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 7:51 PM, wxextreme said: Looking fairly good for me north of KFIT. Interesting to see how orographic enhancements set up as I live on the side of a fairly large hill adjacent to a mountain (Mt Watatic). Usually for these types of storms it aids in snow totals. Expand Ashby is a very good spot in general...esp western half of town. You'll do well in this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 7:35 PM, ORH_wxman said: HRRR finally figuring out the low wont' track NW of ORH....colder as a result. Expand Yeah, Not happening, 18z Nam a few tics colder at the surface even tracks the low over SE MA, Just E of PWM then thru Mid coast ME Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 8:02 PM, dryslot said: Yeah, Not happening, 18z Nam a few tics colder at the surface even tracks the low over SE MA, Just E of PWM then thru Mid coast MEWe gonna taint?Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 8:06 PM, Lava Rock said: We gonna taint? Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Expand No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 I actually think I may do OK here. 27/17 at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Even snowier down to CT coast. Enjoy this one folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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