#NoPoles Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Per mby station, im sitting at 7.04 inches for January. What is the likelihood that this storm brings me to 8 inches? Gotta have something to track...If ya cant beat em, join em! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:28 PM, #NoPoles said: Per mby station, im sitting at 7.04 inches for January. What is the likelihood that this storm brings me to 8 inches? Gotta have something to track...If ya cant beat em, join em! Expand Low... not much moisture with this, no matter what form. Maybe 0.4"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:29 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Low... not much moisture with this, no matter what form. Maybe 0.4"? Expand Well thats a bummer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 1:54 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Theme of the winter Expand Sounds like the pattern is getting to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:36 PM, dendrite said: Sounds like the pattern is getting to you. Expand By making a statement ? Not a bit. Just feel lucky you’ve had such a great winter up there. You don’t know what you’ve got, till it’s gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:24 PM, ORH_wxman said: NAM is def cooling off some or at least lessening the residence time of the warm nose. That LL warm push gets shunted east pretty quick after brief incursion. NAM even has snow over coastal plain of MA on the backside after the warm push gets shoved east. Expand Might get a small boost with the CF in NE MA too. I don't think the cold is going anywhere fast in the LWM to ORH corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:24 PM, ORH_wxman said: NAM is def cooling off some or at least lessening the residence time of the warm nose. That LL warm push gets shunted east pretty quick after brief incursion. NAM even has snow over coastal plain of MA on the backside after the warm push gets shoved east. Expand Qpf has really been dropping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:24 PM, ORH_wxman said: NAM is def cooling off some or at least lessening the residence time of the warm nose. That LL warm push gets shunted east pretty quick after brief incursion. NAM even has snow over coastal plain of MA on the backside after the warm push gets shoved east. Expand 3km NAM now keeps the sfc low over HVN to just east of ORH. Definitely a shove east. What's interesting to me is that the ECMWF has that burst of QPF just NW of the sfc low but nothing else really does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:39 PM, Ginx snewx said: Qpf has really been dropping Expand Double edged sword but I'll take less qpf if it keeps things a bit colder. If it's gonna be brutal cold, try and cover the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:39 PM, Ginx snewx said: Qpf has really been dropping Expand Quick mover too so only a few good hours to accumulate. Just ride low end of accumulation maps. I still feel good for 3-4" in Greenfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Went through some soundings. Idk about the low levels cold getting scoured out on slight SE winds in interior CT ORH county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:42 PM, Ginx snewx said: Went through some soundings. Idk about the low levels cold getting scoured out on slight SE winds in interior CT ORH county Expand With SE flow it should be pretty easy to scour out that cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:43 PM, CT Rain said: With SE flow it should be pretty easy to scour out that cold. Expand Why is the best guess snow on that sounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 NAM suite look pretty good keeping the CF to southeast of me for 80-90% of event. Would be sweet if we can make that 100% all-snow, but I think what NAM is showing is our best scenario here in SE NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:45 PM, Ginx snewx said: Why is the best guess snow on that sounding. Expand Looks like rain to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:45 PM, Ginx snewx said: Why is the best guess snow on that sounding. Expand Looks like an isothermal +2C up to H95. Must just be an algorithm thing. Or catpaws....yay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:46 PM, CT Rain said: Looks like rain to me. Expand Yea me too First hot take guess NWCT 4 to 6 Tolland hills 2 to 3 SW CT 1 to 2 Rest of CT 1 or less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 I'd bet the under on temps in a place like ORH on that look...but as you get closer to the source of the warm nose in CT, it becomes easier to intrude that 925 layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Lets get those 3K NAM squalls to happen late Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:50 PM, dendrite said: Looks like an isothermal +2C up to H95. Must just be an algorithm thing. Expand Nice burst for Kevin should get him a couple Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:53 PM, CoastalWx said: Lets get those 3K NAM squalls to happen late Wednesday. Expand So the morning commute will suck followed by plummeting temps and squalls for the evening commute...sounds like a great Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:56 PM, Ginx snewx said: Nice burst for Kevin should get him a couple Expand I’m going 1-3” for KTOL. I remember a similar storm to this a few winters ago where there was a gentle SE flow, but we stayed all snow and had 3”. I think the lower Els will struggle .. maybe like under 400 feet or something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:46 PM, CT Rain said: Looks like rain to me. Expand Thoughts on the southwestern portion of the state? 6z EURO and now the NAM look cooler here than previous runs, any chance we can see a quick 2-4 here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 2:53 PM, CoastalWx said: Lets get those 3K NAM squalls to happen late Wednesday. Expand Lapse rates are over 8, crazy sounding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 3:04 PM, Ginx snewx said: Lapse rates are over 8, crazy sounding Expand Wow - no kidding. That's legit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On a southerly wind too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 I like Tolland for 2” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 3:06 PM, CT Rain said: On a southerly wind too! Expand Yeah those winds may help boost convergence and low level RH. For once the srly flow helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 3:13 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah those winds may help boost convergence and low level RH. For once the srly flow helps. Expand Yeah for sure. That's almost always our missing ingredient here for good squalls. Nice look for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 On 1/28/2019 at 3:13 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah those winds may help boost convergence and low level RH. For once the srly flow helps. Expand Late January 1994 we had the squalls from hell. A 15 minute burst in a similar situation yielded an inch at BOS. Traffic nightmare too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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