#NoPoles Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/26/2019 at 3:08 PM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I just want an all out snowstorm Expand I havent done any statistical analysis, but, my hunch is the Cape really does need a -NAO to get a snowstorm...now Im going to wait for Ray or Will to tell me my perception is wrong... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/26/2019 at 3:31 PM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: No I hate having rain during the mid-winter part of the year. I need some snow, to help my dad. Expand Tough way to make a living when you avg 35"/yr. Move to Cape Bretton instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/26/2019 at 3:33 PM, CoastalWx said: Tough way to make a living when you avg 35"/yr. Move to Cape Bretton instead. Expand Actually he is a landscaper, so for most of the year the weather is great and cooperates, then the winter months have been rather nice the last four or five years, we are due for a dud winter, but I wish it wasn't this year. I need one great snowstorm, then I will leave it alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/26/2019 at 3:33 PM, #NoPoles said: I havent done any statistical analysis, but, my hunch is the Cape really does need a -NAO to get a snowstorm...now Im going to wait for Ray or Will to tell me my perception is wrong... Expand It helps. But we basically had no -NAO in 2015 and you and James were buried under 5 feet of snow by mid February. So yeah...it isn't needed. But it helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/26/2019 at 3:33 PM, #NoPoles said: I havent done any statistical analysis, but, my hunch is the Cape really does need a -NAO to get a snowstorm...now Im going to wait for Ray or Will to tell me my perception is wrong... Expand It helps, but it's not that important. We had a -NAO in 10-11 and storms hugged the Cape. A well placed ridge out west likely supersedes any necessity on the -NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Will, I will take the Ocean storm and the rest of SNE can have the next storm a day later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/26/2019 at 3:37 PM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Actually he is a landscaper, so for most of the year the weather is great and cooperates, then the winter months have been rather nice the last four or five years, we are due for a dud winter, but I wish it wasn't this year. I need one great snowstorm, then I will leave it alone. Expand I know landscapers who are loving this. Still building outdoor walls etc. Snow and cold are disruptive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/26/2019 at 3:39 PM, CoastalWx said: I know landscapers who are loving this. Still building outdoor walls etc. Snow and cold are disruptive. Expand Not for someone who plows as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Ya know....the pattern is eerily similar to immediately before the big snow blitz beginning on 1/26/15. Now all we need is a 60 hour hook and latter with that big ocean low. woke up on Saturday and suddenly the euro (on its own at that point) had us buried late Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/26/2019 at 3:40 PM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Not for someone who plows as well. Expand They all plow in winter. My landscaper does my snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/26/2019 at 3:44 PM, weathafella said: They all plow in winter. My landscaper does my snow. Expand cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Looks like the GFS is east with the srn system. It's either wrong, or the continued bending over of SNE continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/26/2019 at 3:46 PM, CoastalWx said: Looks like the GFS is east with the srn system. It's either wrong, or the continued bending over of SNE continues. Expand Likely the latter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 GFS looks like hot azz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Regression aggression? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2019 Author Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/26/2019 at 3:29 PM, #NoPoles said: The pattern has changed, the storm track was not greatly affected by said changes...sure we get intrusions of the PV, now...but currently it is still a gradient pattern favoring NNE. Expand 100% agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2019 Author Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/26/2019 at 3:16 PM, CoastalWx said: A little, but I'd rather be in HFD than PWM if you know what I mean. They'll be onshore flow ahead of this. Expand Not sure I agree if the system is rapidly developing as it moves northeast, which is in question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2019 Author Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/26/2019 at 3:38 PM, CoastalWx said: It helps, but it's not that important. We had a -NAO in 10-11 and storms hugged the Cape. A well placed ridge out west likely supersedes any necessity on the -NAO. Expand Yes. 2015 it was perfectly placed, this season its too far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/26/2019 at 3:56 PM, CoastalWx said: GFS looks like hot azz. Expand I thought you agreed not to look at it or use it after it’s skill scores and performances this winter ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/26/2019 at 4:03 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yes. 2015 it was perfectly placed, this season its too far west. Expand too late in season for that to change? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Gfs is prob a few inches for interior once you adjust for the crap BL handling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2019 Author Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/26/2019 at 4:05 PM, 512high said: too late in season for that to change? Expand Not at all. But if we are still searching for the mo-jo after the first week of February, its safe to say my snowfall totals are going down in flames. Certainly in peril right now, but I still see an avenue to verification. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 The NW New England revenge tour continues? Can't even make this stuff up at this point. GFS is a dense half a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/26/2019 at 4:13 PM, powderfreak said: The NW New England revenge tour continues? Can't even make this stuff up at this point. GFS is a dense half a foot. Expand Pretty much you to Alex. Even Maine is getting porked. Regression is a bitch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/26/2019 at 4:13 PM, powderfreak said: The NW New England revenge tour continues? Can't even make this stuff up at this point. GFS is a dense half a foot. Expand Save a horse toss the GFS as far as you can Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/26/2019 at 4:16 PM, CoastalWx said: Pretty much you to Alex. Even Maine is getting porked. Regression is a bitch. Expand GFS has been too warm here on essentially every storm this season. PF will do better, but we should be okay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Foothills, Mtns and NW Maine will make out in this one if you want to take the GFS and run with it which i don't or wouldn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/26/2019 at 4:20 PM, tamarack said: GFS has been too warm here on essentially every storm this season. PF will do better, but we should be okay. Expand I’m just speaking independent of the gfs. It’s their own world up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/26/2019 at 4:20 PM, tamarack said: GFS has been too warm here on essentially every storm this season. PF will do better, but we should be okay. Expand Yeah you aren't getting rain. I'm even skeptical for interior SNE. GFS is also the northwest outlier on the secondary frontal redevelopment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/26/2019 at 4:19 PM, Ginx snewx said: Save a horse toss the GFS as far as you can Expand All the Mets said they weren’t using it or looking at it anymore. But it looks like one or two still are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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