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February 2019 Discussion I


NorEastermass128
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3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

12z Euro on weather.us gives SNE a little snow... nothing major, but nice (for Monday)

 

I think you are looking at 00z....12z is a whiff. Euro is the only model not giving us snow for Monday....lol. Figures it would look like crap this season.

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1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Did it weaken/dampen the shortwave or just flat out miss south but remain a decent event? I've been a little worried about that one flattening a bit as it reached our region, but I didn't really expect a whiff.

The shortwave looks good at 84 hours but it runs into that PV lobe and gets shredded....it maintains its integrity on other guidance much better since it doesn't run into that pv lobe diving down.

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12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Euro has a scooter shitstreak diving down that the other models don't have at 96 hours....which is why it gets compressed south and the other guidance hits us.

Not a shadow of a doubt that it will nail that at 4-5 days out, while it missed the mid level warm tongue yesterday from 4-5 hours out.

F^ck this winter, and the limp a$$, impotent mehdoki that it rode in on.

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1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

If that doesn't get us, that tough over Bejing that is progged to be here on Easter morning has some nice vorticity rounding the base.

Pretty sure there will be some kind of lemur torque out of Madagascar that will cause wave interference.

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