moneypitmike Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, wait and see on that... The head-fake run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, wait and see on that... That 144hr mean looks strange given the 980s lows in WV/OH. The eastward ones look pretty weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 19 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Hard to imagine most if not all ski areas are boiler plate. Good timing on their refresher Depends on snowmaking. Berkshire East is making snow on Outback and Roundabout, but I'd prefer to ski trails without snowmaking in your face. Just skied Big Chief and it's edgable ball bearings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 12z GFS with a rainy 976mb sitting on James' head at 144. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 9 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: 12z GFS with a rainy 976mb sitting on James' head at 144. GFS bringing us our rainy stemwinder again...maybe it has legs given the 6z EPS spread. Too bad we ridge to high hell from the primary before we back in a bomb. That would be a nice track for the interior with cold air in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 These are some weird solutions being spit out for Friday. I wouldn't trust really anything right now including the cold EPS mean. Most solutions are pretty torchy right now even if they are bizarre. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 You start to wonder if we end up with a stronger type coastal , minus the cold air. I think we had one like that in Dec and all the comments were “if this was a month or two later ,we’d be buried” . Except again we don’t have a ton of cold 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: These are some weird solutions being spit out for Friday. I wouldn't trust really anything right now including the cold EPS mean. Most solutions are pretty torchy right now even if they are bizarre. It's another cutter, pretty simple as we have had them since December in this remarkablely stable winter pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: These are some weird solutions being spit out for Friday. I wouldn't trust really anything right now including the cold EPS mean. Most solutions are pretty torchy right now even if they are bizarre. The only thing I trust is that it will rain ....couldn't care less how we get there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 8 minutes ago, qg_omega said: It's another cutter, pretty simple as we have had them since December in this remarkablely stable winter pattern. Winter pattern?. I think winter has become late spring this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The only thing I trust is that it will rain ....couldn't care less how we get there. Yeah. Defintely a consensus there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah. Defintely a consensus there. Minus that weird EPS run at 06z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Minus that weird EPS run at 06z Yeah but are those eastern lows redeveloping secondaries backing into a torched airmass like the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Minus that weird EPS run at 06z Wish we could see the members and how strong they are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah but are those eastern lows redeveloping secondaries backing into a torched airmass like the GFS? Although those thicknesses are fairly cold. Hard to tell how it’s getting the lows in the spread where they are. We’ll just wait for 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Wish we could see the members and how strong they are. Steve posted them for 144hr? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: Steve posted them for 144hr? Oh I didn’t see that. Thanks. Yeah strange. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 32 minutes ago, dendrite said: GFS bringing us our rainy stemwinder again...maybe it has legs given the 6z EPS spread. Too bad we ridge to high hell from the primary before we back in a bomb. That would be a nice track for the interior with cold air in place. 29 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You start to wonder if we end up with a stronger type coastal , minus the cold air. I think we had one like that in Dec and all the comments were “if this was a month or two later ,we’d be buried” . Except again we don’t have a ton of cold Yeah--we've had a few that tracked beautifully and the sensible reality was something that just sucked the big one. Wasn't that the case of the really big rainer in early January? This could be something similar. Just sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Man thats a ton of vorticity on the GFS 490 ULL in the GOM. This aint no joke. Oh me oh myos can keep on keeping on but we watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Man thats a ton of vorticity on the GFS 490 ULL in the GOM. This aint no joke. Oh me oh myos can keep on keeping on but we watch. If wishes were horses, we'd have a semblance of cold air. Alas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 37 minutes ago, dendrite said: Although those thicknesses are fairly cold. Hard to tell how it’s getting the lows in the spread where they are. We’ll just wait for 12z Yeah it can't just be redeveloping lows in the warm sector. We wouldn't have 534 thicknesses over the pike if that was the case. Regardless, tossed for now. Maybe if we see it again at 12z it can be taken more seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Looking more closely at the 06z EPS, it is stalling Tuesday's system just to the northeast of us much longer than other guidance. So it never allows the downstream ridging and prevents the torch. It's definitely a total outlier and even a big change from 00z. So there's reason to be skeptical. If 12z doubles down then maybe it's worth more scrutiny but I'm kind of expecting it to go back to the previous solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Just sayin the Tobin jumpers might want to cancel their party Things that make you go Hmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 10, 2019 Author Share Posted February 10, 2019 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Looking more closely at the 06z EPS, it is stalling Tuesday's system just to the northeast of us much longer than other guidance. So it never allows the downstream ridging and prevents the torch. It's definitely a total outlier and even a big change from 00z. So there's reason to be skeptical. If 12z doubles down then maybe it's worth more scrutiny but I'm kind of expecting it to go back to the previous solutions. I tend to agree that it will revert back to blah. However, I also feel we’re due for something that finally breaks our way. We’ll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Ukie is interesting. Probably too much warm air here initially, but a good looking low in the Mid Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 12z OP euro is def going toward the 06z EPS. It won't be as cold I don't think but that is a big change from 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: 12z OP euro is def going toward the 06z EPS. It won't be as cold I don't think but that is a big change from 00z. Yeah was just gonna post. That’s gonna be a nuke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Its starting to get that Miller B look to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Pretty much a cold rain but has some CAD sig to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Definitely a colder solution initially it seems inbound, Still has work to do but i nice direction it seems to be going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now