Damage In Tolland Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Epstein cancels the rest of winter Or maybe Tip is Epstein? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Epstein cancels the rest of winter Or maybe Tip is Epstein? Good thing we have the mostly frozen event coming this weekend then! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Holy crap on the 6z gfs with a 956 in the GOM lol PF with 3 feet plus in a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Holy crap on the 6z gfs with a 956 in the GOM lol PF with 3 feet plus in a week. We toss long and far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Holy crap on the 6z gfs with a 956 in the GOM lol PF with 3 feet plus in a week. Looks like a clown solution. Would be awesome since it flashes SNE over to heavy snow but I highly doubt that evolution. Most likely even powderfreak is putting the speedo on and pond skimming in this one...just in time to produce glare ice everywhere for vacation week. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 The FV3 serves as the GFS' designated driver. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 12 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: We toss long and far You forgot 'and way out of bounds'. on a separate note, how does one insert a gif in here? Mine only show up as images. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: You forgot 'and way out of bounds'. on a separate note, how does one insert a gif in here? Mine only show up as images. I just copy the image address and paste in the media gui. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 19 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Most likely even powderfreak is putting the speedo on and pond skimming in this one...just in time to produce glare ice everywhere for vacation week. Lol. Hopefully we can follow it up with a day or two of freight train winds to close the upper lifts. I should know better than to make ski plans for Presidents weekend since the Grinch loves to visit then. His 2nd favorite ski holiday to ruin. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 36 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Hopefully we can follow it up with a day or two of freight train winds to close the upper lifts. I should know better than to make ski plans for Presidents weekend since the Grinch loves to visit then. His 2nd favorite ski holiday to ruin. Not saying it's right, but the 06z EPS just had a monster shift for next Friday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Not saying it's right, but the 06z EPS just had a monster shift for next Friday. Oh please---I want it more for my roof than anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 That would be awesome to have something finally change for the better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Yeah, we'll wait for 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 For the benefit of those without access, what’s the driver of the change and what’s the spread of the members? Tia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Hopefully we can follow it up with a day or two of freight train winds to close the upper lifts. I should know better than to make ski plans for Presidents weekend since the Grinch loves to visit then. His 2nd favorite ski holiday to ruin. I'm at Berkshire East right now. Icy frozen granular snow conditions. Base depths are not very deep with lots of frozen ice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 39 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Not saying it's right, but the 06z EPS just had a monster shift for next Friday. KevFTW?! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Looks like a clown solution. Would be awesome since it flashes SNE over to heavy snow but I highly doubt that evolution. Most likely even powderfreak is putting the speedo on and pond skimming in this one...just in time to produce glare ice everywhere for vacation week. Lol. Heh... I suggested yesterday the end week evolution was in flux. I realize there is an extra-double top secret unpopularity, auto-pilot trashing of the parallel GFS thing that goes around here.. but that model did make a funky whole scale shift south with the total wave-space ... 18z. Personally ... I didn't/don't see why it could not do that. Just because we have consensus, doesn't make that consensus right - you know this...just sayn'. At D7, consensus can be coincidental more so than physically precise. So the last four cycles of the GFS, click-click-click-click ...and the whole structure with that evolution repositions farther SE each time. As is...both it and it's native parallel runs across the 00z and 06z solutions, show that the deeper layer (mid u/a) wave space and quasi-closed low are now already reasonably well position relative to climatology, for redevelopment/Miller-B... But as you've very saliently noted (...or maybe it was Chris?), merely not having the BL forcing with cold/CAD'ing it ends up being one of those bizarrely inverted structural lows that wraps the warm air and rain on the N arc of the lower levels, trying to accommodate a cold conveyor wrapping around the the SW/S arc. I got new for folks... that structure on a deeper mid-range model is almost always a signature for a solution in flux - lows so rarely do that unless they are cut-off weakening gyres in April, and the quadrants are pallid and showery at best. That's not what this is, with an absolute super-nova of mid and upper air mechanics to work with. Boy...I'll tell ya ...if this thing did have llv frontal slopes to work with? Whole winter in one storm, period. So, here's what I'm thinking is possible... both the GFS and the parallel run have a quasi-convectively induced 'hook' low formulating somewhere astride the Carolinas ... as the power wheel of the mid levels is approaching the cordillera of NY/PA latitudes... The heights down over the Gulf and Florida and SW Atlantic Basin do something unusual between Wed-Fri relative to present winter trends: the gradient actually slackens some. The winds drop some 15 or so knots and the spacing between isohypses widen just a little. Those crucially are indications that there is compression available there, and troughs are thus more able to actually dig and not summarily absorb/shear. - this whole factor is under-the-radar most likely... But, we may see this pinwheel deepening sub 522 dm! as it moves over or even in the case of the parallel, under LI ... effectively capture the hook low and ... "legitimizing" it. Thing is... that hook/convective low may not be real, no .. but, the general idea of a kink point on the trailing/leading cfront as it collocates along the EC or off shore is certainly plausible in my mind, and perhaps a correction. Seeing the EPS at 06z is a red flag not to ignore the potential... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 18 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: I'm at Berkshire East right now. Icy frozen granular snow conditions. Base depths are not very deep with lots of frozen ice. Isn’t most ice frozen? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 16 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: KevFTW?! Will just locked it in! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Looks like a clown solution. Would be awesome since it flashes SNE over to heavy snow but I highly doubt that evolution. Most likely even powderfreak is putting the speedo on and pond skimming in this one...just in time to produce glare ice everywhere for vacation week. Lol. You discounting upslope even after. I am not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 I can't copy the image, but this map is a wintry-looking one. https://www.weather.gov/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 2 hours ago, OceanStWx said: We toss long and far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Colder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Colder It’s coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 33 minutes ago, mreaves said: Isn’t most ice frozen? Should have said ice floes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Just sayin the Tobin jumpers might want to cancel their party 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 8 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Should have said ice floes. I knew what you meant. Just having a little fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 11 minutes ago, mreaves said: I knew what you meant. Just having a little fun Hard to imagine most if not all ski areas are boiler plate. Good timing on their refresher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Not saying it's right, but the 06z EPS just had a monster shift for next Friday. Yea, wait and see on that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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