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February 2019 Discussion I


NorEastermass128
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Just now, CoastalWx said:

Still snow.  Maybe not deformation delight, but a dump of snow verbatim. Anyways, here I go talking about something beyond day 7..but hey...it looks good. 

They always look good from a distance this year.  But kind of sounds like what happened down hear 1/19/11.

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I thought this was kind of funny from BOX's AFD:

Midweek onward ...

Continued signal for a midweek disturbance, however model run-to-run
trends have been inconsistent. Give it time, let things iron out. An
eye on it for now but very low forecast confidence with respect to
specific outcomes/impacts. Yes, acknowledging what more than likely
everyone wants, the 06.0z GFS. The 05.12z and 06.0z EC interesting
as well. A wait and see at this point. Perhaps seasonable and dry
for the late-week period
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9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I favor something like that.

Yeah I'm not buying the bomb scenario either given the SE ridge still there. There's a small window to fit in more of a bomb but that obviously means more things have to go right.

This could be a pretty hefty SWFE type event though.  

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