weathafella Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Ray, you can say shit-no $ needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 47 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Even with this solution...that's gonne be ice for the deeper interior...good luck getting a place like ORH above freezing in this....maybe even cold tuck for coast? Look at mesolow Yea that's a broad triple point brief snow to sleet than like 18 hours of ice, then 12 hours of drizzle at 33 point drip-fest, followed by 20 minute temp spike by 5 or 7 F, followed by a polar wind... The problem is, that flow next week is an unmanned firehose... The flow is fast and it's too fast .... in fact, I almost am starting to think we're looking at this all wrong. The blocking is having trouble getting established because there's like this power-washing going on from all directions... Conjecture... but the bottom line is, without a means to slow down the velocities ...mid and extended ranges tend to spray solutions and that pretty much exactly what the Euro's been doing the last four days... As to ice storming? Kevin...dude, imminent is absurd. You can't predict icing with precision at this range... DEFINITELY not in this pattern/seasonal plague Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Wow the eps is way different at hr 144. Not even close to the op. That’s rare. It’s got a low moving south of Detroit with a mixed bag for us. Don’t see any signs of an op solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yea that's a broad triple point brief snow to sleet than like 18 hours of ice, then 12 hours of drizzle at 33 point drip-fest, followed by 20 minute temp spike by 5 or 7 F, followed by a polar wind... The problem is, that flow next week is an unmanned firehose... The flow is fast and it's too fast .... in fact, I almost am starting to think we're looking at this all wrong. The blocking is having trouble getting established because there's like this power-washing going on from all directions... Conjecture... but the bottom line is, without a means to slow down the velocities ...mid and extended ranges tend to spray solutions and that pretty much exactly what the Euro's been doing the last four days... As to ice storming? Kevin...dude, imminent is absurd. You can predict icing with precision at this range... DEFINITELY not this pattern/seasonal plague Exactly my point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Looks like triple point near cape or south coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Wow the eps is way different at hr 144. Or even close to the op. That’s rare. It’s got a low moving south of Detroit with a mixed bag for us. Don’t see any signs of an op solution. Yeah 1010mb low south of DTW and tracking toward SYR with arctic to our north doesn't exactly inspire a warm outlook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wow the eps is way different at hr 144. Not even close to the op. That’s rare. It’s got a low moving south of Detroit with a mixed bag for us. Don’t see any signs of an op solution. Exactly my point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Exactly my point You really are dense. The whole point is that variability of the solutions offered...which is illustrated by the discrepancy between op and eps. No one ever implied that colder outcomes near the surface are unlikely. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 And imminent means very very very soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You really are dense. The whole point is that variability of the solutions offered...which is illustrated by the discrepancy between op and eps. No one ever implied that colder outcomes near the surface are unlikely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You really are dense. The whole point is that variability of the solutions offered...which is illustrated by the discrepancy between op and eps. No one ever implied that colder outcomes near the surface are unlikely. Tantrums and name calling have always been one of your strong suits 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Reminiscing to the music for weather on the 8's, I have saved some of those classics from the 80's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Reminiscing to the music for weather on the 8's, I have saved some of those classics from the 80's. Wasn't it the charlie brown theme for a while?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Just now, tomcatct said: Wasn't it the charlie brown theme for a while?? You mean like the theme this winter in SNE where Lucy pulls back the football? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Weenie EPS run today....look really good...the goodies are starting inside of D10 now too. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 1, 2019 Author Share Posted February 1, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Weenie EPS run today....look really good...the goodies are starting inside of D10 now too. Oh boy oh boy oh boy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 24 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You really are dense. The whole point is that variability of the solutions offered...which is illustrated by the discrepancy between op and eps. No one ever implied that colder outcomes near the surface are unlikely. You know the guy saying an ice storm is imminent on a Day 6 system isn't an objective observer. Sometimes it's hilarious but he's here for the entertainment, not necessarily the intricacies of the science. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Weenie EPS run today....look really good...the goodies are starting inside of D10 now too. Gradient pattern which can be very good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: You know the guy saying an ice storm is imminent on a Day 6 system isn't an objective observer. Sometimes it's hilarious but he's here for the entertainment, not necessarily the intricacies of the science. hilarious`???? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Goodies will start mid week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: You know the guy saying an ice storm is imminent on a Day 6 system isn't an objective observer. Sometimes it's hilarious but he's here for the entertainment, not necessarily the intricacies of the science. That Was Bait by him. And ya, Certainly not any Science. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 We’re heading to JFK to drop our daughter off Thursday. Plan is to return that night-wife has to work Friday-thankfully I planned the day off. Hoping it goes ok-daughter has a long international flight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 So much anger from folks. Not enough time. You were warned about the ice. Proceed at own risk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: We’re heading to JFK to drop our daughter off Thursday. Plan is to return that night-wife has to work Friday-thankfully I planned the day off. Hoping it goes ok-daughter has a long international flight. Where's she off to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Goodies will start mid week. For some... It's just a hunch but I'm feeling OK with the late week system for the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 9 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: hilarious`???? I do chuckle at some of the stuff he says, so yes. Can't be angry all the time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: For some... It's just a hunch but I'm feeling OK with the late week system for the interior. I said that earlier, But that was for myself, Brian and Scott.................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 19 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Weenie EPS run today....look really good...the goodies are starting inside of D10 now too. Hopefully New England's winter is like the Patriots games/playoffs, mediocre until it counts.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Glad some don't have to worry about crippling ice storms where they live. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 13 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Where's she off to? Kathmandu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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