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February 2019 Discussion I


NorEastermass128
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2 hours ago, Tiktock said:

It has become clear how this winter will go for me.  From Dec through mid March we'll get no huge storms...clearly caused by my acquiring a Kubota with front snowblower and thus preventing all major events requiring such a machine from occurring.  I've chalked this up to my wife working with nature to say "see you didnt need that tractor anyways!"

On or around March 15th everything will change because my wife has a scheduled C-section planned for the 20th.  As my winter lust for snow is replaced by paranoia about roads and conditions whenever we have to get to the hospital, I KNOW the biggest hum-dinger of a storm will come barreling our way and I wont have the time or mental power to track or enjoy it.

Thats how it works.

I'll take responsibility for the SNE snow drought as I upgraded from an open station John Deere with a snow blower to a cabbed John Deere with a snow blower.

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1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Euro is looking a lot colder for middle of next week so far through 144

oscillations are probably not too bad considering we (as in the royal we) shouldn't really have modeling expectations this far in advance... Particularly in this gradient rich high velocity pattern... 

That said, the big warm up's never sat well with me... then I post about it, then it summarily goes back only to, what?  do it again the other way seemingly because I am posting this statement now? 

It's been a very bizarre year of being dealt reverses... Anomalies relative to patterns finding ways to occur as though smiting clad insights - ha.  Seriously though - very strange.  

What that really means is that something is going on that is more or less interfering with longer term correlations.  Interesting... 

In any case... I still feel my expecations from three or whenever days ago are right  ... er, but, I don't have a lot of confidence where this is going... That run is short duration icer though -

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1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

oscillations are probably not too bad considering we (as in the royal we) shouldn't really have modeling expectations this far in advance... Particularly in this gradient rich high velocity pattern... 

That said, the big warm up's never sat well with me... then I post about it, then it summarily goes back only to, what?  do it again the other way seemingly because I am posting this statement now? 

It's been a very bizarre year of being dealt reverses... Anomalies relative to patterns finding ways to occur as those smiting clad insights - ha.  Seriously though - very strange.  

What that really means is that something is going on that is more or less interfering with longer term correlations.  Interesting... 

In any case... I still feel my expecations from three or whenever days ago are right  ... er, but, I don't have a lot of confidence where this is going... That run is short duration icer though -

Human nature I guess... Like the belief many people have that if they wear the certain Patriots sweatshirt that they wore when they won a football game played 17 years ago it will affect the outcome of the game Sunday...

But yeah...the overall cluster that we have seen is really making me scratch my head.  Things look like they should be positive in the long run, and the exact opposite happens.  Flipping tails 10 times in a row...

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2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Human nature I guess... Like the belief many people have that if they wear the certain Patriots sweatshirt that they wore when they won a football game played 17 years ago it will affect the outcome of the game Sunday...

But yeah...the overall cluster that we have seen is really making me scratch my head.  Things look like they should be positive in the long run, and the exact opposite happens.  Flipping tails 10 times in a row...

Well ... heh, I wouldn't focus on that.. 

that was pretty clearly sarcasm for humor alone - just in case you may be taking that seriously :)  

But the commiseration I was seeking is more like flipping tails on a two headed coin hahaha

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4 minutes ago, weathafella said:

That’s a beautiful eps run in the long range!

That PAC ridge is getting pretty ridiculous now. NAO didn't like quite as good, but still fine. But the flow is definitely more meridional with the PAC ridge going bonkers.

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21 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Nice CAD look on that Euro run, That would turn into a decent SWFE up here in CNE/NNE if that continues next week.

That was a great run for a week I had written off.  

Any other year I'd say no way but who knows, the bounces have been breaking our way since October.

Today's Mansfield Stake reading at 98" is 8" higher than it's ever been to end January (old record 90" in 1969).  Gotta keep piling it up.

IMG_2123.thumb.PNG.ce009c96b6b74755a4db7f66eca9e86a.PNG

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6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

You would hit this Euro run day and night 

download (1).png

I would take some cialis to go that distance

3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Consistent with GYX optimistic tone overnight discussion 

We have been near the gradient all winter, Just been on the fence on several occasions.

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

That was a great run for a week I had written off.  

Any other year I'd say no way but who knows, the bounces have been breaking our way since October.

Today's Mansfield Stake reading at 98" is 8" higher than it's ever been at the end of January (old record 90" in 1969).  Gotta keep piling it up.

IMG_2123.thumb.PNG.ce009c96b6b74755a4db7f66eca9e86a.PNG

Looks like a couple warm days then we cool off, Look for that to build as we get closer too, Don't have to look far to see how yesterdays ended up as we got closer in.

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