Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't think it was obvious beforehand. If you are that good, write it out next time. I only know of one individual (met or hobbyist) who articulated his work and was reasonably accurate...lots of Monday QB, hindsight warriors who knew it all along. Just don’t engage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 34 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just don’t engage Did Toolland JR high have a snow day??? And great call by you last week saying the snow season was over with. You're wrong so often you do not even know what right is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Although this winter has been mediocre at best I have sure spent a lot of caloric energy moving snow from the systems we have had. I certainly don't recall of the paltry 80s having so many events that ended with glaze. If it wasn't a vacation week I'm sure today would have been another two hour school delay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Another D7++ coastal there on the euro, awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Yeah guidance all over with that pig EPO ridge. Good luck getting consensus on storm threats. All you can say is that we remain favorable for a few events over the next 2 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Euro tries to plunk a chunk of vortex down but stalls it in the upper OV... Need that to get south but ...that's about in the right spatial-temporal window there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah guidance all over with that pig EPO ridge. Good luck getting consensus on storm threats. All you can say is that we remain favorable for a few events over the next 2 weeks. Ridge is way east of where it has been....so there's definitely more longwave support for something interesting. No guarantees of course. All we can say is a coastal has a better shot in this pattern than it did the rest of this month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 That icy look continues for my hood on Sunday...yuck. That is a big storm...could be full of surprises 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 45 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: What was wrong with 15-16???.....Nothing was wrong except for a blow torch month of December. Followed by a Jan-Mar period that had well above normal temps. Any snow that fell that winter quickly vaporized. People walking around in shorts and sandals. Ideal New England winter weather. That's the best kind of winter, Above average snows and temps with no pack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 20 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Ray, think of the pattern leading into the fall/winter. Go back and take a look at the pattern that developed in late November. As I said wrote back then, I did not like the parade of storms that was hitting the west. I even commented in the El Nino sub forum that many forecasters had down played the El Nino and the overall state of the Pacific. Cool. You should do a short outlook next year...maybe we can all learn something. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Icy getting icier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: That icy look continues for my hood on Sunday...yuck. That is a big storm...could be full of surprises Bank on it, We know how CAD is modeled at this lead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Cool. You should do a short outlook next year...maybe we can all learn something. You are being overly sensitive. Nothing I wrote was directed at you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 I’m starting to buy into this upcoming period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 15 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’m starting to buy into this upcoming period And it’ll probably last longer than everyone thinks. I know everyone is buying into the indice slash weeklies collapse after 3/7-3/10 but as we often see this will probably hang in for another 1-2 weeks longer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Here's a quick illustration of how the longwave positions are more favorable for EC cyclogensis....you can see the western longwave ridge (marked in red) is actually just onshore rather than well offshore and the long wave trough (marked in bright green) is centered over the Lakes/OH Valley/Southeast.....12z EPS for March 1-2. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 For comparison, here's what the pattern looked like mid-month.....Feb 8th run of the EPS valid Feb 16-17...more classic gradient La Nina pattern. We can do ok in these, but they are generally hostile to coastals. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: For comparison, here's what the pattern looked like mid-month.....Feb 8th run of the EPS valid Feb 16-17...more classic gradient La Nina pattern. We can do ok in these, but they are generally hostile to coastals. It feels like the entire period from 1984-1991 that was the dominant pattern during winter for whatever reason. Even when we had west coast ridging it tended to be too far west. The coldest periods tended to have the same evolution, December 89 the ridge was largely too far west part of the month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 28 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’m starting to buy into this upcoming period You’re a $150 richer so go ahead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You’re a $150 richer so go ahead. Until the money is in my account , I’m not lol. I’m just happy the ceiling for a snow storm is likely going higher than what we’ve had Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You’re a $150 richer so go ahead. Why not a 2 footer next week and 36 for March FTW for Ray? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 49 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: You are being overly sensitive. Nothing I wrote was directed at you. I think you are the one being overly sensitive...I was serious. There isn't a poster on this forum whom I haven't learned from...hell, even Kev has taught me the value of the ignore function. 1 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Why not a 2 footer next week and 36 for March FTW for Ray? I’ll be doing drive-by de ice treatments on your lawn should Boston Sniff 55” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’ll be doing drive-by de ice treatments on your lawn should Boston Sniff 55” And remember-my house is Boston for verification purposes and we’re at 24 now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 23 minutes ago, weathafella said: Why not a 2 footer next week and 36 for March FTW for Ray? Not happening James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 15 minutes ago, weathafella said: And remember-my house is Boston for verification purposes and we’re at 24 now. Well, it’s 3rd and 28 on our own 25yd line down by 11 with 2:10 to go. We have the 2min warning and 1 timeout left. Pick up 14-16 inches, i mean, yards...and go for it on 4th down. Get the first, get into fg range and knock it through. Then the onsides, recover that....and we have a shot with 35sec to go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 26 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think you are the one being overly sensitive...I was serious. There isn't a poster on this forum whom I haven't learned from...hell, even Kev has taught me the value of the ignore function. You take weather a lot more seriously than I do. Honestly there are more important things in life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Moved the scotch discussion to banter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Well, it’s 3rd and 28 on our own 25yd line down by 11 with 2:10 to go. We have the 2min warning and 1 timeout left. Pick up 14-16 inches, i mean, yards...and go for it on 4th down. Get the first, get into fg range and knock it through. Then the onsides, recover that....and we have a shot with 35sec to go. My money's on we get butt tackled. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 38 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think you are the one being overly sensitive...I was serious. There isn't a poster on this forum whom I haven't learned from...hell, even Kev has taught me the value of the ignore function. I think a few folks thought that meant you had me on ignore. Whoosh on them lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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