dryslot Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 That weak secondary on the Weds-Thurs system seems to be getting further north now on the last few model cycles, Pretty weak but the 12z Nam now has it too, 1008mb over Ack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Nam has snow pushing farther north and east and a bit earlier now, around 19z tomorrow for here. I'm not sure how far north that initial push could make it, but it is going to make for a horrendous evening commute if it is correct... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 50 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: DC aint getting 6 stop watching the weather channel I’d put money on them getting more than us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 15 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Nam has snow pushing farther north and east and a bit earlier now, around 19z tomorrow for here. I'm not sure how far north that initial push could make it, but it is going to make for a horrendous evening commute if it is correct... Gets 3 to 4 inches of snow and sleet to Fairfield county. With the north trend this year would not be surprised to see another 10 mile northeast jump in next 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 8 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Gets 3 to 4 inches of snow and sleet to Fairfield county. With the north trend this year would not be surprised to see another 10 mile northeast jump in next 24 hours. It was clear this would occur 2-3 days ago. I said watch this become an ABE-NYC snow max and it’s headed that way. I think you’ll see a continued push east and north as well. It’s a combination of 3 things. Models again underestimated the SER so the shortwave is tracking more north across PA. They dampened the shortwave too early in flow that while it was “ridgy and confluent” to quote Crankywxguy wasn’t true meat grinder territory. Finally the models usually don’t generate enough WAA precip near the north edge on these events beyond 48-60. There will be nasty banding somewhere near the edge of the snow shield as well which at this range is hard to predict but it could make it into parts of WRN CT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Sunday looks fugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 16 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: It was clear this would occur 2-3 days ago. I said watch this become an ABE-NYC snow max and it’s headed that way. I think you’ll see a continued push east and north as well. It’s a combination of 3 things. Models again underestimated the SER so the shortwave is tracking more north across PA. They dampened the shortwave too early in flow that while it was “ridgy and confluent” to quote Crankywxguy wasn’t true meat grinder territory. Finally the models usually don’t generate enough WAA precip near the north edge on these events beyond 48-60. There will be nasty banding somewhere near the edge of the snow shield as well which at this range is hard to predict but it could make it into parts of WRN CT I have one office on park ave., another in Stamford and I live in Easton. The gradient between all three locations may be quite large. I may have to go to the City to get the full effect! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 42 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Sunday looks fugly Not for PF Land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 yeah mentioned that last night... PHL-NYC could get 4" of snow (or more) and it cuts by 2/3rds while warming over BOS... At least via the NAM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 15 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Not for PF Land It's pretty ugly up here too. Need to get north of Montreal for the goods. Decent upslope potential on Monday though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 41 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It's pretty ugly up here too. Need to get north of Montreal for the goods. Decent upslope potential on Monday though. Not a fan of that primary over the lakes? lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Jerry's 1960 analog? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Current snow cover SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 9 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Should be back in it’s rightful place of Iowa by 0z tonight. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Man that’s a tasty map....if only! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Just now, Sn0waddict said: Should be back in it’s rightful place of Iowa by 0z tonight. With the longwave ridge moving east, there actually might be some support for actual coastals heading into early March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Nice HP placement on that map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 4 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: Should be back in it’s rightful place of Iowa by 0z tonight. looks like another setting up right after the first one....lets do this and shift to spring afterwards, is that asking too much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: With the longwave ridge moving east, there actually might be some support for actual coastals heading into early March. First time in a long time I can even recall seeing a fantasy range snowstorm of that caliber. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 25 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Works for me. Get it out of the way before I fly to England on the 7th! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 NWS has 1.5 - 2.0" of snow forecast for Wednesday night. Might make 30" for the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 18 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: looks like another setting up right after the first one....lets do this and shift to spring afterwards, is that asking too much? Yes. Yes it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Euro ramping up snow amounts a bit much of CT tomorrow evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Euro has been pretty consistent with qpf amounts here over the last several runs, 4-6" seems to be the number. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Fantasy nuke at day 8 on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 What a bomb........lol, That track would be perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Warm tongue comes in a little closer to H85 this time too so those 10:1 euro maps have more validity. Kinda wish the cold would overperform at this point and just dump 99% snow before the dryslot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Fantasy nuke at day 8 on the Euro. We take...Can this please be one of these systems that the EURO sees way out in time and keep it the whole way through? The days of the old EURO. I guess what I am saying, is this a thread the needle deal 8 days out? Because we know how this will end up if it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: Warm tongue comes in a little closer to H85 this time too so those 10:1 euro maps have more validity. Kinda wish the cold would overperform at this point and just dump 99% snow before the dryslot. Been feast or famine on ratios this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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