NorEastermass128 Posted February 23, 2019 Author Share Posted February 23, 2019 0z GFS is rain for Wednesday. For reference, the 12z EURO was 0F and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 On 2/23/2019 at 4:13 AM, NorEastermass128 said: 0z GFS is rain for Wednesday. For reference, the 12z EURO was 0F and dry. Expand No it isn’t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 23, 2019 Author Share Posted February 23, 2019 On 2/23/2019 at 4:22 AM, weathafella said: No it isn’t. Expand Ehh...pretty weak sauce anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 On 2/23/2019 at 7:19 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Expand I assume the 00z Euro was not like the 00z GFS for Wednesday into Thursday and had a cutter or sheared out mess for the following weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 6z GEFS and 0z EPS much better than the respective ops for end of next week potential. GEFS continues to be very amplified, while EPS more progressive and flat. Subforum still at a decent middle ground 180 hrs out... All we should hope for at this point.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 I have a feeling i’ll keep the tenure of this season rolling with a sloppy inch Wednesday and a massive cutter to follow for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 We blow Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 I was considering raising this winters grade, then I saw another 33F Rainer for Sunday . F no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 Gfs still has the day 5 snow. Euro nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 On 2/23/2019 at 11:47 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: I was considering raising this winters grade, then I saw another 33F Rainer for Sunday . F no. Expand Don’t go soft on me, keep the hate flowing. We are approaching Lucy’s final act of 2018/19. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 On 2/23/2019 at 11:47 AM, CoastalWx said: We blow Monday. Expand Yea I’m thinking this is widespread 50-60 mph gusts down to the coast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 On 2/23/2019 at 11:47 AM, CoastalWx said: We blow Monday. Expand I honestly cannot wait . Wild day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 On 2/23/2019 at 11:48 AM, CoastalWx said: Gfs still has the day 5 snow. Euro nothing. Expand That’s how this past Monday was. Run after run after run GFS had it and Euro didn’t. Then suddenly one run.. Euro brought it back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 On 2/23/2019 at 11:59 AM, Damage In Tolland said: That’s how this past Monday was. Run after run after run GFS had it and Euro didn’t. Then suddenly one run.. Euro brought it back Expand Yup. And almost everyone was dismissing the GFS and riding the EC. We all know how wrong that decision was. Meanwhile, I just realized our power lines run along our back boundary. As there are no utility poles on the street I thought perhaps ORH had run things underground since I had last lived here. Not sure what that means for outages, but I imagine there is less effort to keep trees pruned when it requires going on folks' properties than it does when they're on the street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 On 2/23/2019 at 4:04 AM, Typhoon Tip said: Try 43 ... I'd a given anything to feel 50 in that three straight weeks of May 2005. Expand God I remember that stretch. Absolutely brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 I thought I asked Scott yesterday if the Euro ridge has weakened in last couple runs ....(ya kno the one will was posting about w graphics) how it’s a monster and centered over land in west and the downstream trough was over OHIO valley ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 The only shot we have for us to have a series of sizeable snow events is if I opt to NOT buy a snow-blower. Given the date, I'm tempted to postpone until next year--though perhaps I can get an end-of-the season blow-out blitz deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 Nothing exciting on the models at all. Looks like the good pattern that people thought that was coming is going to fail. Hopefully things change but this winter has been awful with tons of busts. Bring on baseball. First game is today =) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 On 2/23/2019 at 12:31 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: I thought I asked Scott yesterday if the Euro ridge has weakened in last couple runs ....(ya kno the one will was posting about w graphics) how it’s a monster and centered over land in west and the downstream trough was over OHIO valley ... Expand The ridge didn't. The problem is what Tip and I said. The zonal trough sandwich across the CONUS with ridging in Canada and Mexico. So picture pretty oranges and reds in Canada and across the TX,SW US area...with blues in between, That's usually not good. What may change is for next weekend as a piece of the PV dives into the Plains while one of the s/w troughs out west retros enough to pump ridging into the Rockies (albeit weak). This allows that piece of the PV to dive into the Plains and give us some sort of precip perhaps next weekend. Everything is low confidence because the pattern is a clusterphuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 Monday is consistent 40-47kts on NAM and GFS for mixing weakest winds. That's about as good as it gets. Upper echelon mixing is over 60kts. I wouldn't go that high, but 45-50kts (55-60mph) looks very attainable. Not often you can say that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 On 2/23/2019 at 12:37 PM, CoastalWx said: The ridge didn't. The problem is what Tip and I said. The zonal trough sandwich across the CONUS with ridging in Canada and Mexico. So picture pretty oranges and reds in Canada and across the TX,SW US area...with blues in between, That's usually not good. What may change is for next weekend as a piece of the PV dives into the Plains while one of the s/w troughs out west retros enough to pump ridging into the Rockies (albeit weak). This allows that piece of the PV to dive into the Plains and give us some sort of precip perhaps next weekend. Everything is low confidence because the pattern is a clusterphuck. Expand The Pac is just horrendous. The models were showing it getting better with a huge epo ridge. Now the models are backing off that idea and it's back to cutter city. Don't worry , we will get out -NAO during spring . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 Trough sandwich with fast zonal flow across the CONUS. But yeah, looks like there will be cold and wintry events for the next 10-14 days. Hopefully we can spring it up a bit after 3/10-15 and get into a pattern where if it’s going to snow...it’s just barely cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 On 2/23/2019 at 11:47 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: I was considering raising this winters grade, then I saw another 33F Rainer for Sunday . F no. Expand This winter is absolutely an F...a low one at that. Just to get a D- we need a KU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 On 2/23/2019 at 12:07 PM, moneypitmike said: Yup. And almost everyone was dismissing the GFS and riding the EC. We all know how wrong that decision was. Meanwhile, I just realized our power lines run along our back boundary. As there are no utility poles on the street I thought perhaps ORH had run things underground since I had last lived here. Not sure what that means for outages, but I imagine there is less effort to keep trees pruned when it requires going on folks' properties than it does when they're on the street. Expand No way will ORH run underground lines...that would cost insane money. Maybe in new housing areas, but not retrofitting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 On 2/23/2019 at 12:45 PM, CoastalWx said: Monday is consistent 40-47kts on NAM and GFS for mixing weakest winds. That's about as good as it gets. Upper echelon mixing is over 60kts. I wouldn't go that high, but 45-50kts (55-60mph) looks very attainable. Not often you can say that. Expand Is it all day morning to dark? Or is it centered on warmest part of day in afternoon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 Bring on the mud Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 23, 2019 Author Share Posted February 23, 2019 On 2/23/2019 at 1:00 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Bring on the mud Expand Bring on sand and waves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 On 2/23/2019 at 12:35 PM, Snow88 said: Nothing exciting on the models at all. Looks like the good pattern that people thought that was coming is going to fail. Hopefully things change but this winter has been awful with tons of busts. Bring on baseball. First game is today =) Expand On 2/23/2019 at 12:48 PM, dendrite said: Trough sandwich with fast zonal flow across the CONUS. But yeah, looks like there will be cold and wintry events for the next 10-14 days. Hopefully we can spring it up a bit after 3/10-15 and get into a pattern where if it’s going to snow...it’s just barely cold enough. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 On 2/23/2019 at 12:46 PM, Snow88 said: The Pac is just horrendous. The models were showing it getting better with a huge epo ridge. Now the models are backing off that idea and it's back to cutter city. Don't worry , we will get out -NAO during spring . Expand EPO is massive. It’s just that it’s a ball shaped ridge with troughing under it. It’s actually a true block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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