OceanStWx Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z EPS caving back to the torch look for next Friday. Looks like it was indeed just a brief burp on them. It's still trying to transfer for NNE but that run definitely regressed from previous. A little bit of a bifurcated set of solutions. Some stemwind up the St. Lawrence and there are others that stemwind into the Maritimes. So a mean solution may not be the best play. Either we torch or we don't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 The 3 EOFs for the ensemble sensitivity are all different low locations. Usually you can find one that is like a speed difference. You have your St. Lawrence runner, your Delmarva redeveloper, and you DTW tuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 It supports what Will has been saying though: tamp down the ridging following Tue/Wed and you get a better chance as a southern track low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 To bad its the GGEM but this certainly would be a better look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 36 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: It supports what Will has been saying though: tamp down the ridging following Tue/Wed and you get a better chance as a southern track low. There is ridging in Quebec too that may play a role. That could help with any confluence up north. 6z eps did like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Yea, NNE has a shot, but I couldn't care less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Tip gets his Cleveland Bomb towards the end of the GFS range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 5 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Tip gets his Cleveland Bomb towards the end of the GFS range. I think that would be a great way to round out met winter, with a Great Lakes blizzard filling up the creeks and streams locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 hour ago, dryslot said: To bad its the GGEM but this certainly would be a better look. Can only hope, the flying squirrel, found it's nut stash in winter, with wings a mile long! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 I only see 6-hour increments, but the 06z GFS appears to be less of a disaster. Not quite as much rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 12 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I only see 6-hour increments, but the 06z GFS appears to be less of a disaster. Not quite as much rain. Just a cold front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Just a cold front. I'll take that over the disaster shown elsewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 We don’t again next Monday and Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: We don’t again next Monday and Tuesday Monday and Tuesday look sunny and cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Really bad timing for Presidents week skiing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 When phone has muthufuka in its vocabulary you know you’ve arrived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 So there really is no chance the ski areas are salvaged? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Let's really ripen the Northern pack and get some 1936 type river flooding downstream with a torching Sou'Easter in March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Just warm dry the spring and get gypsy moth crushing things early. Gypsies trending north to NNE this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just warm dry the spring and get gypsy moth crushing things early. Gypsies trending north to NNE this year Agree. Ideal for an great start to golf season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just warm dry the spring and get gypsy moth crushing things early. Gypsies trending north to NNE this year Fortunately not as many oaks up that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just warm dry the spring and get gypsy moth crushing things early. Gypsies trending north to NNE this year Welcome to the dark side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 lol, Tossing the towel in by some of you here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: lol, Tossing the towel in by some of you here. It’s tossed. Already getting some Tip nape action going on with warm car season. Good luck tracking the mixed abominations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s tossed. Already getting some Tip nape action going on with warm car season. Good luck tracking the mixed abominations. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 NAO PNA and MJO all looking better. AO another story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 26 minutes ago, dryslot said: lol, Tossing the towel in by some of you here. Tomorrow will be 3 weeks between accumulating snows. Before that it was 65 days. So that works out to one accumulating snow event per month this"winter". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Unfortunately, those hoping to end winter are gonna have to deal with the cold shots still. Big -EPO is going nowhere. Looks like it reloads again too near end of euro ensemble run. So better hope we score some snow events. It's either that or 1980s pattern....dreams of dancing through crocuses in 67F February sun like the past two years will remain just a collection of sonnets and haikus in Tip's poetry collection gathering dust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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