weathafella Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 Lol...WXA up while we bask in the 60s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 On 2/5/2019 at 10:02 PM, weathafella said: Lol...WXA up while we bask in the 60s Expand And just a few days ago I had 3 days where part of the day was below zero. Today...sunroof open Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 Gfs lost the lakes cutterrer for next week. Hits the mid atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 Nice long lead look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 On 2/5/2019 at 10:02 PM, weathafella said: Lol...WXA up while we bask in the 60s Expand Fickle winter, can you get me some flakes on the Bday Sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 On 2/5/2019 at 10:26 PM, Snow88 said: Gfs lost the lakes cutterrer for next week. Hits the mid atlantic. Expand Keep going in the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 On 2/5/2019 at 10:29 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Keep going in the run. Expand So we have the EURO hugging and the GFS doing the GFS thing offshore with a crazy Norlun...we might actually have something this time.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JKEisMan Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 If nothing else, something to track for around mid next week with both the euro and gfs showing some interesting activity. Seems like the big ones always start like this, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 On 2/5/2019 at 10:26 PM, Ginx snewx said: Nice long lead look. Expand Some real good solutions mixed in the EPS. Even some Feb 1969 type deals in Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 I know that this the Feb thread, but does anyone have a decent temp anomaly map for January? TIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 That could easily trend north into a storm similar to what we had last week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 On 2/5/2019 at 7:57 PM, ORH_wxman said: Has some good synoptics going for it...the high position especially. But there's also a few negatives...SE ridge will limit the amount the trough can dig for oil....but hopefully we still have some good discussion 3-4 days from now. Expand Yup... this was my target for the day ... a semblance of a nod from the EPS toward the oper more amped look... That's definitely an nod- but an important one for actually getting it done... Lots of time and peregrinations to go through but not a bad table set for D7 - considering... that's good for any ensemble mean to have the coherency in structure at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 For what it's worth ... comparing hourly intervals ...the 18z GEFS is way amped compared to it's 12z mean for that D7-9 time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 The oper. version shift whole field scale in favor of a more Euro-esque evolution ... hour 168. May not end up exactly the same way but the fact that it moved in that direction is the take away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 Beautiful sunset this evening. Reminds me of one I took in Florida over during Christmas. 71 here. A shame its gonna drop to the 40s tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 On 2/5/2019 at 11:24 PM, Damage In Tolland said: That could easily trend north into a storm similar to what we had last week Expand What storm are you referring to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 On 2/5/2019 at 11:39 PM, powderfreak said: What storm are you referring to? Expand Where we had 4-7” in SNE . Last Tuesday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 On 2/5/2019 at 11:40 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Where we had 4-7” in SNE . Last Tuesday night Expand Ah yeah. I was confused about what you meant trend north because as it is the EURO has it track over SE New England. The EURO was plenty north and you don't want that any more north.... just interested in why you'd want this to trend further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 On 2/5/2019 at 3:05 PM, CarLover014 said: I want to know how that happened, and if it's pretty common. Mesmerizing to watch. Expand Yeah I hear ya ... Any thing that swirls, right - Ah that's commonly referred to as a Fuji Wara effect, named after the scientist that first identified that phenomenon of a two distinct cyclones locked inside the same general ambit of lower pressure/larger cyclonic circumvallate ... Usually given enough time, one will become dominant ...usually by gobbling up the potential vorticity feeding the general system ...and then the other gets absorbed as an echo rotation ... vanishing. The exception in using this definition is that Fuji's model was concerning Tropical Cyclones I believe ...but the phenomenon is extendable to other atmospheric events ... that time sensitive loop now gone being one such occurrence. In this case, I'd surmise the anchoring low pressure is probably in the 700 mb level Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 On 2/5/2019 at 11:48 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah I hear ya ... Any thing that swirls, right - Ah that's commonly referred to as a Fuji Wara effect, named after the scientist that first identified that phenomenon of a two distinct cyclones locked inside the same general ambit of lower pressure/larger cyclonic circumbrium ... Usually given enough time, one will become dominant ...usually be gobbling up the potential vorticity feeding the general system ...and then the other gets absorbed as an echo rotation ... vanishing. The exception in using this definition is that Fuji's model was concerning Tropical Cyclones I believe ...but the phenomenon is extendable to other atmospheric events ... that time sensitive loop now gone being one such occurrence. In this case, I'd surmise the anchoring low pressure is probably in the 700 mb level Expand Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 On 2/5/2019 at 11:42 PM, powderfreak said: Ah yeah. I was confused about what you meant trend north because as it is the EURO has it track over SE New England. The EURO was plenty north and you don't want that any more north.... just interested in why you'd want this to trend further north. Expand I wouldn’t . I think it could with the SE ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 Gfs para is a mecs im a Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 On 2/6/2019 at 12:44 AM, NYCweatherNOW said: Gfs para is a mecs im a Expand Too bad that model sucks sh*t lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 Two pics of Mammoth summit , they received 129 inches at the summit this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 Also Mammoth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 On 2/5/2019 at 8:20 PM, SnowGoose69 said: I know I’m echoing JB but 2/11 sure does look like 2/8/94. The Euro is pretty weak sauce on the overrunning right now but the setup is nearly identical Expand I buy it, really loving the slow progression through phase 8 on the EPS. It's pretty ideal for mid-late Feb. I'm quite optimistic that the snow threats will return and I wouldn't be shocked to see models trend more south overtime. Do not think the overly amped, cutting solutions will verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 On 2/6/2019 at 3:49 AM, SnoSki14 said: I buy it, really loving the slow progression through phase 8 on the EPS. It's pretty ideal for mid-late Feb. I'm quite optimistic that the snow threats will return and I wouldn't be shocked to see models trend more south overtime. Do not think the overly amped, cutting solutions will verify. Expand Wow...you’re usually quite pessimistic. I’m liking your optimism lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 On 2/6/2019 at 3:49 AM, SnoSki14 said: I buy it, really loving the slow progression through phase 8 on the EPS. It's pretty ideal for mid-late Feb. I'm quite optimistic that the snow threats will return and I wouldn't be shocked to see models trend more south overtime. Do not think the overly amped, cutting solutions will verify. Expand My main concern is the se ridge poking up enough to increase the gradient and make a sloppier/delayed phase more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 Looks like the GFS op now showing some light snow Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 GFS going bigly next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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