HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 44 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Will and I have been covering the ice potential for days ... wtf - Boy, that GFS para run at 18z was a dream wave... God I love those waves that break that way.. The beauty of that whole evolution is that the flow over Florida and adjacent areas is actually relaxed/compressible ... probably the first time this year I've personally seen that... There's no inhibition on that wave. It's only D7/8 too ... ha! only ... Still, better than a D10er We know. So has Kevin...lol. I think he meant in the general public Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 2 hours ago, ineedsnow said: I would do anything for that to happen here! 1 hour ago, dendrite said: I would do anything to prevent it. I at least want my snowblower running first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 29 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Well, looks like the weeklies finally caved to persistence and went away from epic looks and -nao. Still looks decent, but different than it has the last few weeks. The weeklies have morphed into the weaklies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 The hi res nam really chills E Ma coast down to cape on Wed late evening as precip moves in . 30 in PYM at 6pm likes frzr for SE mass to coast west to S of pike area and sleet for NE mass / N of pike crowd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: The hi res nam really chills E Ma coast down to cape on Wed late evening as precip moves in . 30 in PYM at 6pm Not much QPF anyways pretty meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Not much QPF anyways pretty meh Lol story of this 1980’s winter...something is always Meh. Wow what a stinker it’s been in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 9 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Not much QPF anyways pretty meh 3km NAM has like 1/2" of ZR here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 10 minutes ago, CT Rain said: 3km NAM has like 1/2" of ZR here Factor in the 3/4 NAM output Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 NAM thermals tossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 NAM has a pellet-fest around here up to into S NH at least for a while...that's a pretty deep cold layer. Closer to what the GFS showed. 18z Euro trended colder too but not as cold as NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: NAM has a pellet-fest around here up to into S NH at least for a while...that's a pretty deep cold layer. Closer to what the GFS showed. 18z Euro trended colder too but not as cold as NAM. I wonder how much QPF this thing can produce. Seems pretty nasty around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 Sleet is boring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 2 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: We know. So has Kevin...lol. I think he meant in the general public Will has but there are like 50 posters who are affected and all they do is whine about the lack of snow. Tip covers all bases so you never know what he is keen on or just another soliloquy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 39 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I wonder how much QPF this thing can produce. Seems pretty nasty around here. Yeah some guidance is actually spitting out like 3 quarters of an inch in the first wave...while others are like 1/3rd to half that...not a lot of consistency. It def could be pretty ugly though if there's more than half an inch of QPF....even a 0.50-0.60 accretion efficiency would produce over a quarter inch of ice which can start to cause problems on limbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 Anyone remember '06/'07 in SNE? I recall that being really horrible up until Valentines Day when we had a nice SWFE ( Snow and ice in Dedham). Then on St Pattys Day there was another nice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah some guidance is actually spitting out like 3 quarters of an inch in the first wave...while others are like 1/3rd to half that...not a lot of consistency. It def could be pretty ugly though if there's more than half an inch of QPF....even a 0.50-0.60 accretion efficiency would produce over a quarter inch of ice which can start to cause problems on limbs. Is this a similar situation even down here like the last one? Most models had us getting well above freezing, but in the end 32.5 was all we could get to. We ended up with 30% of our town without power from that storm, prefer not to repeat that. I think we had about .4" accretion... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 5 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Is this a similar situation even down here like the last one? Most models had us getting well above freezing, but in the end 32.5 was all we could get to. We ended up with 30% of our town without power from that storm, prefer not to repeat that. I think we had about .4" accretion... I'm not sure how far south the ZR is going to get this time. The high setup isn't quite as favorable...as there are some lower pressures trying to protrude up toward upstate NY...and the antecedent airmass isn't as good. But....it's still a close call even there for a while. Could be nowcast type stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 It's going to be icy here Thursday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 It's pretty suprising how cold the GFS is at the surface. Basically keeps BOS near 32F through 9-10z Thirsday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 Euro trying to nuke vday. eps disagrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 6 hours ago, Spanks45 said: Is this a similar situation even down here like the last one? Most models had us getting well above freezing, but in the end 32.5 was all we could get to. We ended up with 30% of our town without power from that storm, prefer not to repeat that. I think we had about .4" accretion... It won’t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Euro trying to nuke vday. eps disagrees. Eps looks good for the 11th. Something is going to give. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 Euro is frigid and very robust with qpf for the ice . Ginx sniffing it out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 Gfs is also very close with the 11-12th storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 next week could finally get interesting again as models showing something around 13-14.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 Color me skeptical of anything that's more than 36 hours out. #thisyearblows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 39 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It won’t. I agree, let's keep it warm until Friday...Hoping to go out on top the last few weeks of the winter. There is at least a glimmer of hope coming from the EURO and other pieces of guidance for next week. But we know how that has gone this year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 #bigicewut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 #bigicewut I expect number will change, during the last storm their ice forecast changed like 15 timesSent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2019 Share Posted February 5, 2019 Might want to keep an eye on Sunday night and Monday too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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