ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 Euro has a really strong cold tuck Thursday PM into evening for E MA. It's showing at like 34F but that could easily be 29-30F. Something to watch. It does have some icing for Wednesday night/early Thursday over the interior of MA and N CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 On 2/4/2019 at 6:00 PM, OSUmetstud said: Lol Expand Thing is ... the recent negative AO did time reasonably well with the SSW lag correlation ... when looking at the other years with the SSW --> leading AO response. Not sure why she's [apparently] not connecting the dots there... but (SSW + 30 days) lends to the recent 10 days of neggie AO just fine.. It's funny someone brought this up. I was thinking about writing about this, this morning .. on a day actually still inside the temporal bounds of said -AO ...where the 55+ temperatures and spring like crocus weather abounds ... (ironically), that the +AO out there really appears to be a hemispheric "slosh" back now that the forcing is actually on the other side of an AO response and is attenuating ... But, you know - conjecture is conjecture. I just don't personally see anything amiss... We had an SSW... some weeks later, we had a -AO... embedded in which there was a historic or near historic cold wave.. I suspect there are assumptions/expectations being made as to the longevity of forcing and probably ... I mean there's multiple reasons why either that, and any magnitude of cold delivery to middle latitudes (and where for that matter) ... have other factors contributing and/or offsetting. It's not like "SSW ... oh my god!" every year... She's a doctorate ... one would assume that when she's not fielding questions for hoi polloi and/or charlatans ...she prooobably has a broader pallet of awareness in said matters. There's that too - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 On 2/4/2019 at 6:21 PM, Sugarloaf1989 said: Nice day to cut the grass. Expand It’s all a dream soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 This euro run is mighty cold after this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 On 2/4/2019 at 6:28 PM, weathafella said: This euro run is mighty cold after this week. Expand Good, want some winter conditions for skiing next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 On 2/4/2019 at 6:22 PM, ORH_wxman said: Euro has a really strong cold tuck Thursday PM into evening for E MA. It's showing at like 34F but that could easily be 29-30F. Something to watch. It does have some icing for Wednesday night/early Thursday over the interior of MA and N CT. Expand NWS has freezing rain here on Wednesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 On 2/4/2019 at 6:22 PM, ORH_wxman said: Euro has a really strong cold tuck Thursday PM into evening for E MA. It's showing at like 34F but that could easily be 29-30F. Something to watch. It does have some icing for Wednesday night/early Thursday over the interior of MA and N CT. Expand decent amount of QPF too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 On 2/4/2019 at 6:13 PM, dendrite said: More confused than Goff? Expand Nah. No one is that confused lol. Amy is good...not a hypster like judah. It just speaks to our general lack of knowledge on the subject and a perfectly hilarious metaphor that everyones' winter hopes and dreams ended up manifested in a non-stormy 10 day negative ao period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 On 2/4/2019 at 6:26 PM, CoastalWx said: It’s all a dream soon Expand Look at you just melting everyone’s snow just cuz you haven’t had any Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 Cobalt blue sky and completely cloudless. 57F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 On 2/4/2019 at 6:46 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Look at you just melting everyone’s snow just cuz you haven’t had any Expand Full cover and 1-2" depth here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 KBOS with a 61 at 1pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 How much snow on the euro on 196-216hrs that looks like a snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 Where are the “torch!!” posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 2pm BOS at 63. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 On 2/4/2019 at 6:53 PM, NYCweatherNOW said: How much snow on the euro on 196-216hrs that looks like a snowstorm Expand That storm was a Chicago threat at one point lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 On 2/4/2019 at 6:53 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Where are the “torch!!” posts. Expand Hit 64 here! It was 80 in the greenhouse, sauna in there. Garlic sprouted in there last week despite the frigid temps outside, the sun is now doing its dirty work... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 62 at OWD. Gotta get outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 On 2/4/2019 at 6:22 PM, ORH_wxman said: Euro has a really strong cold tuck Thursday PM into evening for E MA. It's showing at like 34F but that could easily be 29-30F. Something to watch. It does have some icing for Wednesday night/early Thursday over the interior of MA and N CT. Expand I'm liking the uptick in amplitude of the D7.5 ejection out of the west/S of ORD there... Regardless of the "winter ending index" doom and clatter abounding the e-wave memes of the day ... that may be true but that system has been off and on in the GEFs fwiw - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 On 2/4/2019 at 6:46 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Look at you just melting everyone’s snow just cuz you haven’t had any Expand Enjoy the low 60s with the 1 inch pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 On 2/4/2019 at 7:02 PM, Snow88 said: That storm was a Chicago threat at one point lol Expand It still is. It hits both Chicago and New England on that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 On 2/4/2019 at 7:10 PM, ORH_wxman said: It still is. It hits both Chicago and New England on that run. Expand You got me there lol I meant to say cut into Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 On 2/4/2019 at 7:10 PM, ORH_wxman said: It still is. It hits both Chicago and New England on that run. Expand How much snow for central park? I am a should I Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 On 2/4/2019 at 7:14 PM, NYCweatherNOW said: How much snow for central park? I am a should I Expand I dunno, a couple inches before it flips? It's 8+ days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 On 2/4/2019 at 4:12 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Hmm ...that's an interesting question - Firstly, the pattern changed to a snowier one. The problem? It just didn't snow. While not necessarily intended to point at you, per se... I have noticed a tendency to conflate the weather people want to see in the models, with the pattern ...which is understandable, but unfortunately there's more to it and there is a disconnect there. The pattern doesn't dictate whether it actually storms or not. The pattern only indicates favorable regimes. It may be hard to for some to really grasp or understand what that means... but, think of it this way ... with a superior organization, an NFL football team is in a better probability for winning on any given Sunday. But, that doesn't guarantee a win. Same here... When the pattern changed after the December debacle ... it changed for the better, but your team still lost. It just didn't snow in a pattern that had ample ingredients supplied to make that happen. So the cause for why it did not actually "do" x-y-z exists elsewhere. To that...I don't know what to say or add. We can be adult about that... or we can kick and scream and flop like five year-olds (proverbially speaking) because we're not getting what we want - which is a metaphor for the impatience and vitriol that happens among the neurotic usership of this site - haha. Anyway, the pattern this week ...not so much ...no. But this is a well-advertized thaw that's merely going according to plan. A pattern that is likelier to produce events more in sync with winter enthusiasts is out there... oh, D7 to 10 ... but it's really more like "returning," ...which again, following from this logic, doesn't not mean it will produce. Expand Thanks Tip. I am still a neophyte when it comes to meteorology. I get the 850 and 925 bit when a storm turns to rain or freezing rain or sleet, but when it comes to looking at the MJO and other charts I'm lost. Basically, we had a good pattern for snow, but the storms just didn't happen. Sometimes the opposite happens. I get that. Plain and simple. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 That 12z Euro run was 12" here but out in fantasy land, Something to watch though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 On 2/4/2019 at 7:09 PM, CoastalWx said: Enjoy the low 60s with the 1 inch pack. Expand Enjoy the next 4-6 weeks of winter after you just tiptoed thru the tulips. Sorry it’s not spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 Eps after toning it down a bit at 0z appears to be back to gang busters at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 On 2/4/2019 at 6:59 PM, weathafella said: 2pm BOS at 63. Expand YORE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 On 2/4/2019 at 7:35 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Enjoy the next 4-6 weeks of winter after you just tiptoed thru the tulips. Sorry it’s not spring Expand The groundhog has differing opinions on your definition of Spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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