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February 2019 Discussion I


NorEastermass128

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You just knew it was Chris from GYX when you read this phrasing about the sprawling and arcing.  He shoulda just went full banana.   

Could you imagine if Scott were writing these?  “ a scooter high will lock in the cold”. “A poopy streak is all that is between us and SECS”.  “It is so cold even burly men will cry for their mommas”.  

 
Late in the week could see greater impacts from the next
approaching storm system. Sprawling high pressure will be arcing
over the top of the Northeast...and a deep trof will be swinging
thru the central CONUS. It is a favorable set up for overrunning
precip...with predominantly wintry ptypes on the front end
followed by dry slotting. We are still over 120 hrs out from any
potential impacts though...so significant changes are still
possible with trof still over the NE Pacific.
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DT after looking at the indicies

 

"HERE IT IS !! MAJOR PATTERN CHANGE UNDERWAY - Even though Models keep forecasting -NAO/ Greenland Block it has YET to show up. After FEB 9-10 if the -NAO/ Greenland Block still does NOT show up... Winter in eastern US will end early"

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  On 2/2/2019 at 10:29 PM, Snow88 said:

DT after looking at the indicies

 

"HERE IT IS !! MAJOR PATTERN CHANGE UNDERWAY - Even though Models keep forecasting -NAO/ Greenland Block it has YET to show up. After FEB 9-10 if the -NAO/ Greenland Block still does NOT show up... Winter in eastern US will end early"

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I feel better now.

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  On 2/2/2019 at 10:09 PM, #NoPoles said:

Dont drive Angry! I should try to rephrase- the geographical areas that needed big positive changes to salvage winter, have not had any big positive changes...the pattern is always more optimistic at D11 and beyond...but nothing really comes to fruition...Meteorological Winter is D, J, F...we are now into Feb and some red tags have posted things akin to punting the first 10 days of Feb

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You’ll probably get 3 feet on April 5. Your roof will leak, your ac will break, and 4 days later it will be 88/69 with a fluke heatwave.

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  On 2/2/2019 at 9:39 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

Dismissing what ...? 

not sure what you're addressing in deference to me ... I was just being a wise-ass before.  haha

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The idea that we could just keep getting porked.

I know you were being tongue in cheek...just saying.

  On 2/2/2019 at 10:09 PM, #NoPoles said:

Dont drive Angry! I should try to rephrase- the geographical areas that needed big positive changes to salvage winter, have not had any big positive changes...the pattern is always more optimistic at D11 and beyond...but nothing really comes to fruition...Meteorological Winter is D, J, F...we are now into Feb and some red tags have posted things akin to punting the first 10 days of Feb

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Oh, yea...hell, I punted the first 10 days of february as far as big sne snow goes....days ago.

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That's not that far out there in time. 

That could conceivably start around 90 or 96 hours and run out  to 144… Basically two straight days of plausible accretion.

It'll be interesting if the Euro op continues to deny the flatter colder scenario of the GFS tonight.  Seems like each model is still playing into their own bias and haven't budged in the other direction

 

 

 

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  On 2/3/2019 at 5:04 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

GFS is a string of SWFE's after the late week interior icing.

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Interior icing gone on 6z GFS.  Nice long overrunning rains, excect for damaging ice Northern Champlain Valley with cold air surface drain.  

Then more SWFE but it is amazing how these models engineer any way for it not to snow in the populated parts of this regional forum.

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  On 2/3/2019 at 11:21 AM, powderfreak said:

Interior icing gone on 6z GFS.  Nice long overrunning rains, excect for damaging ice Northern Champlain Valley with cold air surface drain.  

Then more SWFE but it is amazing how these models engineer any way for it not to snow in the populated parts of this regional forum.

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Time time put winter 2018-19 into the ash heap  of the shitty winter hall-of-fame.

Hopefully Worcester will cash in on some good things in Winters of Fore.

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  On 2/3/2019 at 11:21 AM, powderfreak said:

Interior icing gone on 6z GFS.  Nice long overrunning rains, excect for damaging ice Northern Champlain Valley with cold air surface drain.  

Then more SWFE but it is amazing how these models engineer any way for it not to snow in the populated parts of this regional forum.

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It just doesn't want to snow in SNE

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