CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 11:33 AM, weathafella said: How is eps like gfs? It looked like warmth and light rain to me looking quickly earlier. Expand He didn’t even look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 11:30 AM, NorEastermass128 said: Aren’t we supposed to ignore the GFS? Expand We are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 11:33 AM, weathafella said: How is eps like gfs? It looked like warmth and light rain to me looking quickly earlier. Expand Plenty of spread with a camp colder with the cold press Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 eps is pretty bad..my feeling is next week is close the shades, week of feb11th we start to have some fun.. good thing because my travel starts week of 27th and won't be around the NE much till late March so hopefully I can see some winter before that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 11:40 AM, CoastalWx said: Expand How’s your forecast of 50’s much of next week looking? How about offering a revision or thoughts of how end of week storm might play out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 50's or not if you go by the EURO.. we are cooked next week.. blah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 11:47 AM, Bostonseminole said: 50's or not if you go by the EURO.. we are cooked next week.. blah Expand 2 mild days. But not a full week like some said . That’s one hell of a cold backdoor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Got down to -12.2 last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 11:52 AM, Damage In Tolland said: 2 mild days. But not a full week like some said Expand yeah, that's true but from a snow/ice perspective, not much to look forward to, maybe GFS is on to something, have not looked at other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 1, 2019 Author Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 10:59 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Eps more like GFS. Op tossed Expand On 2/1/2019 at 11:30 AM, NorEastermass128 said: Aren’t we supposed to ignore the GFS? Expand On 2/1/2019 at 11:37 AM, Damage In Tolland said: We are Expand Do you attend the Donald J Trump School of Spin? Do you see how your statement and response don't quite logically make sense? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 11:47 AM, Bostonseminole said: 50's or not if you go by the EURO.. we are cooked next week.. blah Expand I have always figured it would trend better for a day or two, then just flip right back. FU event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 11:41 AM, Bostonseminole said: eps is pretty bad..my feeling is next week is close the shades, week of feb11th we start to have some fun.. good thing because my travel starts week of 27th and won't be around the NE much till late March so hopefully I can see some winter before that. Expand If that is the same kind of "fun" we were supposed to have the week of 1/19 up until now I'd rather go straight to spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 12:04 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have always figured it would trend better for a day or two, then just flip right back. FU event. Expand This is the kind of event that flips in the models very quickly depending on what is happening up north. Pretty volatile. I could see either scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Tip has been all over this. Said Euro would flip back warm , then last few days prior it will continue seeing the cold press, and adjust cold ..Just like last weeks storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 12:30 PM, ORH_wxman said: This is the kind of event that flips in the models very quickly depending on what is happening up north. Pretty volatile. I could see either scenario. Expand At least something to follow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 11:53 AM, ineedsnow said: Got down to -12.2 last night Expand perfect snow for radiating...-9 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 1, 2019 Author Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 12:38 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Tip has been all over this. Said Euro would flip back warm , then last few days prior it will continue seeing the cold press, and adjust cold ..Just like last weeks storm Expand I could see that. At some point, one of these things has to break our way...just has to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 11:45 AM, Damage In Tolland said: How’s your forecast of 50’s much of next week looking? How about offering a revision or thoughts of how end of week storm might play out? Expand There is an ice threat inland. But it needs work for a lot of the rest of SNE. Looks warm Monday and Tuesday. Someone will tickle 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 12:56 PM, CoastalWx said: There is an ice threat inland. But it needs work for a lot of the rest of SNE. Looks warm Monday and Tuesday. Someone will tickle 60. Expand Much better . Agreed on all counts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 1:03 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Much better . Agreed on all counts Expand Threat does not mean forecast. Could easily be cold rain. Wouldn’t bank on ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 1:08 PM, CoastalWx said: Threat does not mean forecast. Could easily be cold rain. Wouldn’t bank on ice. Expand Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 11:52 AM, Damage In Tolland said: 2 mild days. But not a full week like some said . That’s one hell of a cold backdoor Expand You're the only one calling for a full week torch. I haven't seen anyone else reference anything more then a couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 1:26 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: You're the only one calling for a full week torch. I haven't seen anyone else reference anything more then a couple days. Expand No I don’t agree with you. I don’t think it’s more than a 1-2 day thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 The difference between wxbell and cpc calculation of NAO is over 2 stdev lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 12:56 PM, NorEastermass128 said: I could see that. At some point, one of these things has to break our way...just has to. Expand Here's the thing....nothing has to break our way. You would think it would/law of averages etc etc....but it doesn't have to at all. I've seen/we've all seen where it just never gives in. 11-12 perfect example. And I know this is nothing like 11-12 in every way...but the results are the same. So this doesn't have to change at all. I'm hoping it does at some point in the next 7-10 days, but my gut is not too confident in that....just doesn't have a good feeling to me. Hasn't since November 15th to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 1:51 PM, OSUmetstud said: The difference between wxbell and cpc calculation of NAO is over 2 stdev lol. Expand Does weatherbell give their NAO calculation methodology? I can sort of see why the CPC is "meh" on it....there's still some low heights near Iceland/Norwegian Sea which actually does factor into the domain of the CPC calculation. That pattern itself to me doesn't look like a classic +NAO though....it's got ridging over northern and central Greenland...so even if some lower heights over iceland, it's not really that important to us if there's ridging to the west of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 12:56 PM, CoastalWx said: There is an ice threat inland. But it needs work for a lot of the rest of SNE. Looks warm Monday and Tuesday. Someone will tickle 60. Expand Should we start a thread so we can wish-cast it our way? Honestly though I don't see how there's going to be any substantial ice when we'll have warm ground and trees from 60 degree temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 On 2/1/2019 at 2:05 PM, Whineminster said: Should we start a thread so we can wish-cast it our way? Honestly though I don't see how there's going to be any substantial ice when we'll have warm ground and trees from 60 degree temps. Expand The day before the 2008 icestorm had a high of 57F at ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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