bristolri_wx Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 2 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: GFS and Canadian say next system, early next week, cuts so far West we just get showers and warm breezes. I mean Jeezuz, that look has Green Bay in the warm sector. Yeah, can't often remember seeing a forecasted 981 MB low over the western Great Lakes in early February in recent memory. Such an odd pattern this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Shut em down for 10 days or so. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 8 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Today's snow squall's were fun.....but: Futility lives! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Backdoored next week. 1-2 mild days and screen doors slam shut and are frozen in place by Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 We’ll get a naper or two. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 42 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Backdoored next week. 1-2 mild days and screen doors slam shut and are frozen in place by Thursday Heckuva ice storm on the Euro 174 to 190. Close to a snowstorm 196 plus . 1994 knocking on your door? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We’ll get a naper or two. Man if I could ski Monday would be the day to enjoy some freshies and warming temps. Looks like we could near 55 next week down here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Heckuva ice storm on the Euro 174 to 190. Close to a snowstorm 196 plus . 1994 knocking on your door? I think we’d all sign up for that. Nice to see it now under 8 days on both the ensembles And op. Just get thru Tuesday then we door and winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Yeah nothing screams winter like a back door front. Enjoy your naper next week, and the countdown to end this horrific winter is on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Rain next Thursday?Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 What a meltdown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 16 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It was my favorite analog...expected less RNA and less NAO version, but picked 1978 because 1969 was so extreme RNA and NAO. I should have just went with it anyway, and specified its limitations. I was talking all fall about how the MEI was meager just like 1969, so it makes sense that nino has been late and null. Not sure if that season came off of a nina, as well, but this one did....so there you go. I think 2012-13 is a decent analog too, especially based on how the pattern has been proceeding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 16 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Another -20C 850 airmass behind the cutters. 1980s pattern. yep, in storm tracks and frequency of arctic shots- we went below zero a few times in the 80s, including on Christmas morning one year (1980). The Jan 1985 arctic shot was the coldest I've ever experienced with lows below zero and highs in the single digits. None of those winters had much snow lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: yep, in storm tracks and frequency of arctic shots- we went below zero a few times in the 80s, including on Christmas morning one year (1980). The Jan 1985 arctic shot was the coldest I've ever experienced with lows below zero and highs in the single digits. None of those winters had much snow lol. I remember a Christmas in the 80's and the temp never got above 0; brutal day trying out my new sled but worth it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Heckuva ice storm on the Euro 174 to 190. Close to a snowstorm 196 plus . 1994 knocking on your door? 1994 has knocked in the door alll season in the medium range only to get lost when told to come back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Shut em down for 10 days or so. When were we not shut down, cutters ended in late December per damage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 18 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The death knell to my season totals was when the first half of February went to crap...that's when I waived the white flag on my seasonal totals..I still think we'll have a nice ending, but I could not afford to lose the peak week of climo to a crap pattern and I am. I was convinced we'd see a juggernaut during that stretch, and instead its a rusty coat hanger. Sorry Ray, but losing the first half of the month could be the difference between getting one KU and two. I know you still hold hope for the 1968-69 analog to work out but I think that one also had the Lindsey storm earlier in the month. This time around it might be more like 2012-13 and there may be only one KU event rather than two. Still, much better than what we have right now! *March had a significant event in 2013 too, which can also happen this time around, but not on the same level as the historic Feb 2013 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 18 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: There are always going to be exceptions and outliers....but I'll bet that this would have been a great season 7-8/10 times. The only reason I have to think otherwise is that we did have this pattern 7-8 times in the 80s and it always sucked lol. These kinds of patterns are very stable and hard to dislodge- you need a really strong el nino to do it, not the kind we have right now. Cold/dry with a southern storm track interspersed with cutters/huggers in between cold shots is a very familiar pattern that we had for a decade or more. a big change a la Feb 2013 could do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Tell ya whats going to be in the news is California. 978 sitting and spinning off the N Cali coast then Arctic air brings snow way down the coast. 6 to 8 feet of snow in the Sierras 4 to 5 inches of rain the entire Cali coast 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 1980-89 had an average snow at BOS of 32.3 https://w2.weather.gov/climate/xmacis.php?wfo=box 1990-99 was 49.7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Liberty-2012-13 delivered 65 inches to BOS thanks to a rocking February and March 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: 1994 has knocked in the door alll season in the medium range only to get lost when told to come back. thats what I was thinking too! 1994 also had two zero or below Arctic shots in NYC and we got down to 4 degrees a week ago and now it's 2 degrees! Very close to 1994 levels This is basically 1994 with cold and storm frequency but about 4 degrees warmer- so instead of the two below zero Arctic outbreaks we have the two below five Arctic outbreaks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Lots of folks on here giving up this morning. Usually when that happens is when winter settles in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: Liberty-2012-13 delivered 65 inches to BOS thanks to a rocking February and March Yes and the rest of the pattern matches up well too, we had some cold and dry stretches after the pattern flipped around Jan 20 but the big snows waited until Mid February. That was our first decent snow since November. And we had another one in March! What was the date of that big snow in Feb 2013, Jer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: 1980-89 had an average snow at BOS of 32.3 https://w2.weather.gov/climate/xmacis.php?wfo=box 1990-99 was 49.7 Check out the Jan temp averages, Jer- the 80s were usually very cold in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Tell ya whats going to be in the news is California. 978 sitting and spinning off the N Cali coast then Arctic air brings snow way down the coast. 6 to 8 feet of snow in the Sierras 4 to 5 inches of rain the entire Cali coast ugh they're going to have the same problem they had a few years ago with landslides and mudslides come warm season and then a big burst of foliage again and then a bigger fire season- rinse/repeat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 15 minutes ago, Modfan said: I remember a Christmas in the 80's and the temp never got above 0; brutal day trying out my new sled but worth it! I think there was a big snow squall with an arctic frontal passage that day too with temps below 0, might have been the coldest temp I've ever seen with snow falling. Christmas 1980! NYC -1 BOS -8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 23 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What a meltdown Totally lost it, just banging on the keyboard so hard he broke it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 16 minutes ago, weathafella said: 1994 has knocked in the door alll season in the medium range only to get lost when told to come back. Jerry is on the verge, expect a few muthafukahs to come flying across your screen any day now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 January 31st, 3F, and barren frozen ground. Need to break out the makeup and glitter and go 80s glam band to fit the pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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