CoalCityWxMan Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Well that NAM run was better than I expected, the bleeding needed to be stopped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whoosh Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Picking up GOM moisture perhaps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 23 hours ago, CoalCityWxMan said: Well that NAM run was better than I expected, the bleeding needed to be stopped Definitely more positives than negatives out of that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Just now, Stebo said: Shearing out too fast IMO. I'd disagree. The Hudson PV lobe was farther west this run, and with a faster system, it had nowhere to go...and it still had the PV lobe coming down immediately behind it. Have to watch for that in future runs, as that could be another potential issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 At least it stopped shifting north let's start a south trend! Ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 1 minute ago, StormChaser4Life said: At least it stopped shifting north let's start a south trend! Ha Random question, what do you personally think the max amount you can see iyby is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/25/2019 at 9:47 PM, Chicago Storm said: I'd disagree. The Hudson PV lobe was farther west this run, and with a faster system, it had nowhere to go...and it still had the PV lobe coming down immediately behind it. Have to watch for that in future runs, as that could be another potential issue. Yeah that is the issue with the vort splitting is the clipper is the first piece and that trailing piece gets wasted. Would much rather the vort stay consolidated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said: Random question, what do you personally think the max amount you can see iyby is? I'm not expecting much at this point given current trends. But one can be hopeful. 12z euro had like 3in here. Some other models gave a few inches with the snow associated with the cf. So at this time I think 1-3in is possible. I already acknowledged earlier that I80 north would be my best guess for jackpot zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 0z RGEM only goes out to 48hr...but it would be way north. At 48hr SLP is just west of Fargo, ND...and is on a heading to go towards MSP. Yes, I said MSP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 3 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: 0z RGEM only goes out to 48hr...but it would be way north. At 48hr SLP is just west of Fargo, ND...and is on a heading to go towards MSP. Yes, I said MSP. Chicago is becoming the new DC. It’s coming for you too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 3km NAM with a look on this clipper for the start of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Heaviest snow may go north of the IN/MI state line but the lake-effect response in the storm's wake looks like it could be impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 4 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said: Heaviest snow may go north of the IN/MI state line but the lake-effect response in the storm's wake looks like it could be impressive. Hoping to get in on that here for a brief period. Will need a farther south low track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 36 minutes ago, geddyweather said: Mesoscale Convective Snow? about 10 years ago or so we has a severe-thunderstorm warning(high winds) with an arctic front (actually Marshall county just north of me but I could see the lightning from here) ....and yes it was wet snow and rain mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 1 minute ago, janetjanet998 said: about 10 years ago or so we has a severe-thunderstorm warning(high winds) with an arctic front (actually Marshall county just north of me but I could see the lightning from here) ....and yes it was wet snow and rain mix Remember it well. February 2003... right before the big storm out east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 21z SREF plumes are a touch south of 15z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 6 minutes ago, CoalCityWxMan said: 21z SREF plumes are a touch south of 15z Disagree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 13 minutes ago, CoalCityWxMan said: 21z SREF plumes are a touch south of 15z Snowfall lower on the 21z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Just now, SchaumburgStormer said: Snowfall lower on the 21z That is true, I was looking at snowfall mean which did shift south but actual amounts are lower. My mistake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 0z GFS is coming north. System in Canada is stronger and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: 0z GFS is coming north. System in Canada is stronger and east. Runs east along IA/MN border...which likely means it will pass over or north of MKE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 It's 4th down in Iowa City. Sounds oddly familiar.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 3 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Runs east along IA/MN border...which likely means it will pass over or north of MKE. ..ques up Queen's "Another one bites the dust" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 4 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Runs east along IA/MN border...which likely means it will pass over or north of MKE. Noice. Only storm to of the season to trend north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 0z GGEM came north. Tracks along IL/WI border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
n1vek Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Do we wait for tomorrow's full sampling before writing this off as a northern track? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Just now, Chicago Storm said: 0z GGEM came north. Tracks along IL/WI border. and then there was 1 left. When will/if the Euro cave to every other model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Just now, ILSNOW said: and then there was 1 left. When will/if the Euro cave to every other model? It doesn't read clippers well, it'll fold tent at the last minute in epic fashion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 1 minute ago, ILSNOW said: and then there was 1 left. When will/if the Euro cave to every other model? It bumped north on the 18z run, so wouldn't be surprised if it continued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 00z CMC instead over ORD more like MKE at 18z Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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