mimillman Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Also just thought of something. This is a classic case of American guidance vs rest of world...not like the Euro is a southern outlier amongst the globals... CMC and Ukie are also further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 9 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: I think you and me are lined up about the same for this, so we may be in the same boat whatever that is lol. The trend definitely doesn't seem to be our friend, but having the Euro on our side is somewhat encouraging. Obviously the QC has had an exceptional lucky streak that started last March, so you gotta figure our luck would run out sometime lol. Cyclone you need to share the love. You have cashed in on almost every storm. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 9 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Cyclone you need to share the love. You have cashed in on almost every storm. Lol You must not have been here when cyclone suffered through the “great 6” drought” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 It seems like the problem for Iowa may be up in Canada. The models keep starting the southeast dive farther eastward in Canada. The GFS almost has this thing into Manitoba before it enters the US. Iowa does not get Manitoba Maulers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Does anyone here think this has any similarities to what happened on February 7-8, 2013? I seem to recall that was a clipper, and it gave Toronto over a foot of snow...a real rarity for this city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 31 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: It seems like the problem for Iowa may be up in Canada. The models keep starting the southeast dive farther eastward in Canada. The GFS almost has this thing into Manitoba before it enters the US. Iowa does not get Manitoba Maulers. Agreed. Stebo mentioned earlier that this shift has a lot to do with more emphasis being placed on the northeast side of the disjointed vort as opposed to the S/SW side of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 What watching the models is actually like... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 5 minutes ago, hlcater said: Agreed. Stebo mentioned earlier that this shift has a lot to do with more emphasis being placed on the northeast side of the disjointed vort as opposed to the S/SW side of it. What exactly is causing more emphasis on that portion versus the S/SW side? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 1 minute ago, StormChaser4Life said: What exactly is causing more emphasis on that portion versus the S/SW side? I have no idea lol. I'm not smart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 1 hour ago, cyclone77 said: I think you and me are lined up about the same for this, so we may be in the same boat whatever that is lol. The trend definitely doesn't seem to be our friend, but having the Euro on our side is somewhat encouraging. Obviously the QC has had an exceptional lucky streak that started last March, so you gotta figure our luck would run out sometime lol. Yeah, looks like it. Hopefully your hot steak keeps going. Need a little December 2010 magic. And I was 31 for V Day 2007. LAF with 17.0”. Coupled with the Feb 6 clipper that dropped 6” and one that had 2.5” a couple days after the blizzard, just over 2 feet of snow in a 10 day span. Those were the days... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 IND calling for rain and high near 40 Monday. Wagons north! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 2 minutes ago, Indystorm said: IND calling for rain and high near 40 Monday. Wagons north! Been a non winter event for your back yard for awhile now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 2 minutes ago, Indystorm said: IND calling for rain and high near 40 Monday. Wagons north! You just can't buy a break down there. I had to laugh at my point forecast this evening. It's as clear as mud: Monday Snow, possibly mixed with freezing rain before 4pm, then snow between 4pm and 5pm, then rain after 5pm. High near 33. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Little or no ice accumulation expected. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 21 minutes ago, Chicago WX said: Yeah, looks like it. Hopefully your hot steak keeps going. Need a little December 2010 magic. And I was 31 for V Day 2007. LAF with 17.0”. Coupled with the Feb 6 clipper that dropped 6” and one that had 2.5” a couple days after the blizzard, just over 2 feet of snow in a 10 day span. Those were the days... Good memories. What a stretch that was... that was like an entire season's worth of snow in 10 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 3 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Good memories. What a stretch that was... that was like an entire season's worth of snow in 10 days I grew up on the east coast. Sucks to be there most of the time, but every now and then, you’d rather be nowhere else... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 0z NAM coming in stronger and faster in Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 The combination of the PV lobe south of the Hudson being further west, plus the wave/storm faster and a bit south likely means this run comes in south overall with the system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 13 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: The combination of the PV lobe south of the Hudson being further west, plus the wave/storm faster and a bit south likely means this run comes in south overall with the system. Definitely south. Over Galena at hr 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Just now, SchaumburgStormer said: Definitely south. Over Galena at hr 60 Good deal south of 18z, but still on the northern edge of guidance along with the GFS. One can hope the 00z suite will respectively follow suit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Just now, SchaumburgStormer said: Definitely south. Over Galena at hr 60 Then rides due east along the state line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Baby steps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 The bleeding definitely stopped on that run, though the evolution is a bit NAMish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Just now, Stebo said: The bleeding definitely stopped on that run, though the evolution is a bit NAMish. Definitely some strange surface action happening once it gets out of IA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Grand Rapids looks good for 8-14" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 At 69 it almost turns into a squall line of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Just now, Stebo said: At 69 it almost turns into a squall line of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Agreed. That was a strange run. Curious to see other guidance now. Nam was definitely very amped with surface low. One thing I did notice was it had less rain and more frozen precip for my area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Just now, SchaumburgStormer said: Mesoscale Convective Snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 2 minutes ago, Stebo said: At 69 it almost turns into a squall line of snow That's been shown for a while now. Main system shears out as it's squashed by both PV lobes, however that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 23 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: That's been shown for a while now. Main system shears out as it's squashed by both PV lobes, however that run. Shearing out too fast IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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