SchaumburgStormer Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 8 minutes ago, ChiTownSnow said: Any thoughts on current radar trends? Things appear to be unfolding appropriately and as modeled. We will want to pay close attention to when the turn from SE to E begins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 17 minutes ago, Jim Martin said: Not often you see my area under a SPC snow MCD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 We’ve held on to snow for a little longer than I thought. Bright banding and Reduced CC a county west suggest it won’t be too much time till sleet/freezing drizzle/drizzle begin. Hopefully we can get above freezing at some point. 10F right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moosey2323 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 If you're an optimistic Southeast Michigander, do yourself a favor and avoid looking at the 0z HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 4 minutes ago, Moosey2323 said: If you're an optimistic Southeast Michigander, do yourself a favor and avoid looking at the 0z HRRR. Furthest north model at this point and still trending south run to run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Just now, Stebo said: Furthest north model at this point and still trending south run to run. Took the words out of my mouth as I was typing them lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 21 minutes ago, n1vek said: Nothing model specific, but locally it is interesting DTX has been riding a 4" call and TWC hasn't budged from their 5-8" call in days. Speaking of TWC - they just upped my totals to 1-3” tonight and 6-10” tomorrow haha. Gotta love TWC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 28, 2019 Author Share Posted January 28, 2019 6 minutes ago, Moosey2323 said: If you're an optimistic Southeast Michigander, do yourself a favor and avoid looking at the 0z HRRR. take em out back and slap the sh7t out of em Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 0z NAM south a bit once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 00z NAM has a weaker surface low so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 It’s nice to have a storm I can weenie out to. Feels like it’s been awhile since I felt good about our chances at double digits. Could be a change but 0z HRRR for one looks like a beaut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAWGNKITTEN Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 10 minutes ago, Moosey2323 said: If you're an optimistic Southeast Michigander, do yourself a favor and avoid looking at the 0z HRRR. I wanna see anyhow! Lapeer County Michigander with a NWS call of 7", so should I be looking at more or less? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Wondering if IWX, DTX and GRR are gonna have to do some upgrades Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: 0z NAM south a bit once again. One of the things that may make tomorrow AM miserable is any type of wind. It will compound the clearing of roads. Makes an “advisory level” snow a hugely impacting event. The timing also just could not be worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 This NAM run will make the Northern Indiana peeps happy, snowing there at HR 18 and 19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: Don’t post that cr*p here... ;-) Debbie downer type map right there for NE IL. Have a feeling people are going to wake up many places surprised (both with more and less snow than expected). Lots of variables here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 NAM really cut the qpf in northern IL. Hopefully a blip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moosey2323 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 1 minute ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Wondering if IWX, DTX and GRR are gonna have to do some upgrades I've been wondering the same, but the models seem all over the place for our area. I think it will really come down to timing. The key player is when that clipper decides to orient itself to travel NE. We saw one GFS run where it did that quite late and southern Michigan got hit well. The other question is if the dry slot will come out to play. The Canadian model has treated us pretty well most runs. The NAM is hit or miss, and the HRRR doesn't like us right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: *High pitched screaming* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Just now, Hoosier said: NAM really cut the qpf in northern IL. Hopefully a blip. Precip currently extends farther south than the NAM has though, so there's that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 1 minute ago, Hoosier said: NAM really cut the qpf in northern IL. Hopefully a blip. Dry slot central Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 3km NAM tracks along I-80 in IA/IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 NAM is totally missing what's happening in southern Iowa so if you're riding the southern end, wouldn't freak yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 And we're off. Light snow has commenced. Temp still at 8 atm. Hard to believe we may kiss the freezing mark in about 9-10hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Light snow here. Several hours ahead of when the HRRR was forecasting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 NAM is totally missing what's happening in southern Iowa so if you're riding the southern end, wouldn't freak yet.NAM has been really struggling with this air mass with dry air issues. If soundings otherwise look as good as previous runs, then should be good to go. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Big pop south on the SREF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Just now, RCNYILWX said: NAM has been really struggling with this air mass with dry air issues. If soundings otherwise look as good as previous runs, then should be good to go. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Ever think of a side career as a counselor/therapist? :-) Forecasts like this have to be hard for your office. People go to bed with one message and wake up with “reality” (either way it’s hard to be right on the nose...) Thanks for your posting, love the actual expert views and insight into thinking... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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