Hoosier Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Good model agreement on an active regime with several clipper systems. This starts on Thursday with one moving through the Lakes. Signals for a beefier system Sun-Mon with more action beyond. After such a bad start to met winter, the rally cap is on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 GFS and Euro have been consistently hitting on that stronger clipper this weekend/early next week. Fun times ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Glad we got a thread on this now. At least two clippers this weekend with a potential higher end one early next week. Gfs has been nudging that bigger system south each run but euro is keeping it well north. Should be interesting to see how it unfolds. Model showdown again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Hoosier....why. Let Cyclone start this thread!! :p Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Are we really doing this again GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 The UK has shifted south, joining the GFS and FV3 with a good dump through Iowa. It appears this will be a cold cleanup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Definitely a big return to colder temperatures after this brief thaw, but I'm just not buying into this hype train yet of clippers. I'm thinking the GTA will be lucky to average about 1-2" a week in this cold pattern which is an improvement over the first half of met winter, but half inch clippers every 3 days doesn't do the same justice in February as it does in December. Essentially this looks like a cold boring pattern with not even headline worthy clippers (for the northern non lake effect regions) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2019 Author Share Posted January 23, 2019 The Sun-Mon system is progged as more of a hybrid that taps into the Gulf, at least on some models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just as long as they all dont go south of here. If they do Hoosier is banned from starting threads! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 I guess instead of saying all aboard the hype train it should be all aboard the clipper train! I'll see my self out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Oooh. 00z Euro also south to join the GFS/FV3/UK.... and it's strong, too. This could be pretty fun if it pans out like the latest runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 1 minute ago, hawkeye_wx said: Oooh. 00z Euro also south to join the GFS/FV3/UK.... and it's strong, too. This could be pretty fun if it pans out like the latest runs. Damn you beat me to it! Lol. 0z euro is wagons south! Huge change from where it was. Looks like a good spread the wealth system to. It is even further south with low track than 0z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 woah 1st post but an interesting first post haha the 12z Euro had my area near Cleveland at 20 degrees monday Morning now its at -5! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 If the 00z Euro is remotely correct Hoosier can make every thread for the rest of eternity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just now, Stebo said: If the 00z Euro is remotely correct Hoosier can make every thread for the rest of eternity. You got a QPF map? I dont wanna wait for weather.us. It's a massive, extremely cold, hybrid system. Man, that would be a dream storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 The 0z ECMWF is a mega big dog. ~1.20" QPF and ~24" here and ORD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Lol now that is the clipper to end all clippers, would have Jan 2005 licking its dust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 If the new Euro is correct we'd be looking at potential snow depth records around here, as there's already a good 8-12" (counting tonight's snows) on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Cedar Rapids has had pretty good luck with strong clippers in recent years. I'm counting on that to continue. And the euro follows it with a brutal arctic dump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 5 minutes ago, hlcater said: You got a QPF map? I dont wanna wait for weather.us. It's a massive, extremely cold, hybrid system. Man, that would be a dream storm. It is in the 15-20 range for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 I hate when we see these dream runs several days out. Cue the heartbreak. Lol. But if we even get half that followed by this possible historic arctic dump my God the temperatures and wind chills will be unbelievable over that deep snowpack. Please verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just now, Stebo said: It is in the 15-20 range for you. Sweet mother of god. Of course, can't afford to get terribly excited due to the fact its 5 days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 This map includes tonight's storm plus a few clippers and the big kahuna. That would certainly prime the atmosphere for a massive arctic dump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Oh I am not getting excited just yet, this is maximizing the potential. What is key though is that this system has been on the models now for at least 3 days in this time period. It is definitely something to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 The other models have been in the 0.40-0.50" range for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 1 minute ago, Stebo said: Oh I am not getting excited just yet, this is maximizing the potential. What is key though is that this system has been on the models now for at least 3 days in this time period. It is definitely something to watch Agreed. Both gfs and euro are showing a wound up system with ample moisture as it is a hybrid with some Pacific moisture. Timing remarkably similar as well. Track and strength will be the main things to watch in the coming days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 53 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: This map includes tonight's storm plus a few clippers and the big kahuna. That would certainly prime the atmosphere for a massive arctic dump ...and I end up with 2" ...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 4 hours ago, Stebo said: Oh I am not getting excited just yet, this is maximizing the potential. What is key though is that this system has been on the models now for at least 3 days in this time period. It is definitely something to watch Last weekends system in some shape or form was on the models for well over a week. Obviously track, intensity, degree of phasing, basically all details varied, but the consistency of something being there was unwavering for well over a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 A lot of ensemble support for at least one of these clippers to be something big, but wouldn't want to get caught up in any more details than that for at least a couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Calling it now. 15” for Cyclone, rain for Chicago Chicago storm gets a pity 3” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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