SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 euro is a small/moderate hit for the 30th....giddyup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 4-6 on the stormvista snowmaps, and it’s in the medium range. Let’s do this . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Just now, DCTeacherman said: 4-6 on the stormvista snowmaps, and it’s in the medium range. Let’s do this . That is a nice progression on the Euro for the anafront , plunging temps and snow. Lets Go ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 good result, crazy convoluted way it gets there though. Not the kind of thing that will stick on guidance consistently from that range. But it's showing up on enough guidance that it certainly can't be ruled out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Just now, psuhoffman said: good result, crazy convoluted way it gets there though. Not the kind of thing that will stick on guidance consistently from that range. But it's showing up on enough guidance that it certainly can't be ruled out. GEFS had a number of similar solutions. Way more than noise inside the members. Obviously it's a complicated way to get there. Inside of 7 days and things improving is never a bad thing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Reminds me a little of a frontal wave in December 2000 that was a 3-4" type snowfall across the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Need some positive digital fantasy snow to change the negative energy. I present you with this kuchera panel. Enjoy it for 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 LOL LOCK IT UP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Just now, Bob Chill said: Need some positive digital fantasy snow to change the negative energy. I present you with this kuchera panel. Enjoy it for 12 hours. At least in knows the Leesburg, Moco, Hoco death band will park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Just now, LP08 said: At least in knows the Leesburg, Moco, Hoco death band will park. That's what makes it so believable. Might put my shovel in the shop tonight and tune it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: LOL LOCK IT UP 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: LOL LOCK IT UP So has the EURO hinted at this or is this just out of the blue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Need some positive digital fantasy snow to change the negative energy. I present you with this kuchera panel. Enjoy it for 12 hours. You are the best! That’s a digital 10”-12” IMBY. Thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Just now, snowmagnet said: You are the best! That’s a digital 10”-12” IMBY. Thank you! The sweetest part is it basically all falls in 6 hours. Front blows through and we get destroyed for 6 hours. Very unconventional way to get there so extreme caution with believing it. Just enjoy the potential for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: That's what makes it so believable. Might put my shovel in the shop tonight and tune it up. Send it to @Jebman...I'm sure he can have it tuned up in perfect working order, and overnighted to you in time for that!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 We've definitely seen an uptick in potential legit threats since 0z last night. Let's see if it continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2019 Author Share Posted January 24, 2019 11 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Need some positive digital fantasy snow to change the negative energy. I present you with this kuchera panel. Enjoy it for 12 hours. lol is that like a 30:1 ratio? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 11 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Need some positive digital fantasy snow to change the negative energy. I present you with this kuchera panel. Enjoy it for 12 hours. Damn, why did SE PA get shafted? Don't have access to the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2019 Author Share Posted January 24, 2019 the blue ball of death will be alot more bearable with snowcover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 What a pattern! I'd be really excited guys, even if models don't show much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 1 minute ago, Ji said: lol is that like a 30:1 ratio? It's like 20:1. lol. 850s crash to -15C to -20C as the wave runs through it. 2M temps go from the upper 30's - mid 40's into the upper teens. lol. This run is loaded to the gills with red flags but we can have some fun with it for now. This place has been depressing and I don't even understand why. I mean I get it that we're not in a perfect pattern but it's not anything like mid-late Dec or a raging SE ridge or all the other ways things can be a disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 1 minute ago, Ji said: the blue ball of death will be alot more bearable with snowcover Yeah, if by chance this threat works out we could potentially be talking about single digits and maybe below zero readings in places next Thursday/Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Hmmm PNA through ID, 50/50, Davis Straight blocking...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Look at this. Someone said yesterday Minneapolis had it's lowest 850mb temperature on record on the 18z GFS with -42c breaching the USA. This might be top 5 too. (It's duality to todays Feb 21, 2018 ridge lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 6 minutes ago, Ji said: lol is that like a 30:1 ratio? EPS will be along shortly to laugh at us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2019 Author Share Posted January 24, 2019 Just now, Bob Chill said: It's like 20:1. lol. 850s crash to -15C to -20C as the wave runs through it. 2M temps go from the upper 30's - mid 40's into the upper teens. lol. This run is loaded to the gills with red flags but we can have some fun with it for now. This place has been depressing and I don't even understand why. I mean I get it that we're not in a perfect pattern but it's not anything like mid-late Dec or a raging SE ridge or all the other ways things can be a disaster. I think its depressing honestly because of the false alarms of the weeklies. I remember a few weeks ago you said the weekliies were the weeniest you had ever seen in your life. There was so much build up that anything less than epic wasnt good enough. And now that we are here, we arent seeing much to get excited. PSU has one nail in the coffin...etc. We were led astray(our own doing but still) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2019 Author Share Posted January 24, 2019 Just now, stormtracker said: EPS will be along shortly to laugh at us. yikes. You have dr no followed by dr hell no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 10 minutes ago, JMcCaughey42 said: Damn, why did SE PA get shafted? Don't have access to the Euro Trough goes negative and the trailing low tucks into NY. Extreme gradient solution and extremely unlikely to verify. Fun to look at though and it's not like it's day 10 either. My total guess if it works at all is a nice stripe of 2-4" through the mid atlantic and potential for a bigger hit in the interior NE or even SNE. Trailing waves typically never materialize though. This one is interesting with the TPV dropping in creating an extreme gradient with moisture zipping northward from the deep south. I'm intrigued but my expectations are a light event at best or a redux of today at worst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Trough goes negative and the trailing low tucks into NY. Extreme gradient solution and extremely unlikely to verify. Fun to look at though and it's not like it's day 10 either. My total guess if it works at all is a nice stripe of 2-4" through the mid atlantic and potential for a bigger hit in the interior NE or even SNE. Trailing waves typically never materialize though. This one is interesting with the TPV dropping in creating an extreme gradient with moisture zipping northward from the deep south. I'm intrigued but my expectations are a light event at best or a redux of today at worst. Thanks for the reply! Hoping we all get hit in the MA soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2019 Author Share Posted January 24, 2019 the euro takes the crankywx Feb 2-3 and shoves it east towards south florida out to bermuda.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 4 minutes ago, Ji said: I think its depressing honestly because of the false alarms of the weeklies. I remember a few weeks ago you said the weekliies were the weeniest you had ever seen in your life. There was so much build up that anything less than epic wasnt good enough. And now that we are here, we arent seeing much to get excited. PSU has one nail in the coffin...etc. We were led astray(our own doing but still) I think it's way too early to write that off. Global ops/ens have been terrible with every pattern change. Our good event looked like a nightmare when it was in the long range. The pattern change actually sped up and things worked. I really think that a legit pattern can setup inside of 10 days here and not go away for a while. It's just a gut hunch. I'm not saying I think anything is a lock. Just that it wouldn't come as any surprise to me if something similar to the weeklies is in place here inside of 2 weeks. Just gotta let it play out and not worry about anything beyond a week or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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