HeadInTheClouds Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 10 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Lol at the weenie NYC snow hole. Fv3 definitely an uptick at 18z as were the RGEM and HDRPS, granted they went from nothing to not much. This map makes no sense. It gives me 5.5 which would be great but gives places north and west of me less. not going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 14 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: This map makes no sense. It gives me 5.5 which would be great but gives places north and west of me less. not going to happen. The Boston area members in the New England forum, I’m sure, would certainly agree with you. As always ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 I’ll take 2 inches and run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 I expect a dusting at best tomorrow night, but very much looking forward to this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 14 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: I expect a dusting at best tomorrow night, but very much looking forward to this! This should be intense lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 31 minutes ago, Snow88 said: This should be intense lol Looks like the best 30 seconds of the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Gfs shows an inch or 2 for the coast and slightly more inland with snow showers for Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, Snow88 said: Gfs shows an inch or 2 for the coast and slightly more inland with snow showers for Wednesday In other words, it'll be sunny and 70? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 29 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gfs shows an inch or 2 for the coast and slightly more inland with snow showers for Wednesday Watch the system for Friday evening although the bowling ball in Canada may suppress it to our south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 36 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Watch the system for Friday evening although the bowling ball in Canada may suppress it to our south Para gfs shifted slightly northward. Close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Para gfs has 2-4 inches for the coast for tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 7 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Para gfs shifted slightly northward. Close. There’s more room I think for this one to come north for sure than the last event that got suppressed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 5 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Para gfs has 2-4 inches for the coast for tomorrow 88 what does it show just inland IS THAT 2 - 4 ALSO OR MORE LIKE 3 - 6 ? CAN YOU POST IT ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Hope for the downtrodden snowless masses? At least west of the Hudson, although the simulated radar shows the changeover just happening for NYC at 04Z with what looks like a couple of hours of snow after the end of the run, so maybe they'd get a couple of inches in that scenario. And especially after the NWS lowered snowfall totals, especially along the 95 corridor with nada for NYC - and they lowered snowfall amounts for the advisory areas, but didn't drop any of the advisories (odd to have advisories, though, for counties N of 276/195 which have a 3" criterion). https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=phi&wwa=winter weather advisory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 8 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said: Looks like the best 30 seconds of the winter. It would be funny to see a blinding snow squall with clear skies lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 3 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: It would be funny to see a blinding snow squall with clear skies lol A snowbow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 4 minutes ago, RU848789 said: A snowbow? I've never actually seen that! I saw a snow squall in clear sunny blue skies during the passage of an Arctic front a few years ago and something very weird back in the early 90s in December- an intense hour of snow with 2 inches during a clear moonlit night (a full moon actually.) That snow squall stayed parked near JFK for the whole hour lol. The snow flakes were the size of dollar bills! Or seemed like it lol. I've always wanted to see a snowbow, a moonbow and a snownado lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Mesoscale models showing a decent thump of snow western , nw nj & Orange County ny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 58 minutes ago, RU848789 said: Hope for the downtrodden snowless masses? At least west of the Hudson, although the simulated radar shows the changeover just happening for NYC at 04Z with what looks like a couple of hours of snow after the end of the run, so maybe they'd get a couple of inches in that scenario. And especially after the NWS lowered snowfall totals, especially along the 95 corridor with nada for NYC - and they lowered snowfall amounts for the advisory areas, but didn't drop any of the advisories (odd to have advisories, though, for counties N of 276/195 which have a 3" criterion). https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=phi&wwa=winter weather advisory Upton showing 0 here makes no sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 7 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Upton showing 0 here makes no sense They probably believe all the precip will be gone by the time the BL is cold enough although even I would go with "<1" just to cover my behind. You know it's bad when we're talking about the difference between nothing and a dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 29, 2019 Author Share Posted January 29, 2019 Models still going for one of our more impressive snow squalls in a while on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 32 minutes ago, bluewave said: Models still going for one of our more impressive snow squalls in a while on Wednesday. I want to see one of those amazing ones where you get blinding snowfall rates with clear skies and get 2 inches in one hour! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 11 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: I want to see one of those amazing ones where you get blinding snowfall rates with clear skies and get 2 inches in one hour! Maybe an insane hourly rate like that but prob wouldn't last an hour! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Mt Holly bumped up totals in their latest briefing https://www.facebook.com/256261011073971/posts/2325760850790633 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 All the 12z hi-res guidance has a long squall line tomorrow; will be interesting to see whether a meso-low develops nearby as some hi-res and even globals show. The upper jet structure and PVA support it; if so, someone near that low track could see 2-3" but in general I think it's a 1" in <30 min type setup for most. Those lapse rates in excess of 9C/km may drag some of the 50KT+ winds down from aloft. Also note the cloud tops at or colder than -30C on the HRRR below - that may support some lightning within the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 8 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: All the 12z hi-res guidance has a long squall line tomorrow; will be interesting to see whether a meso-low develops nearby as some hi-res and even globals show. The upper jet structure and PVA support it; if so, someone near that low track could see 2-3" but in general I think it's a 1" in <30 min type setup for most. Those lapse rates in excess of 9C/km may drag some of the 50KT+ winds down from aloft. Also note the cloud tops at or colder than -30C on the HRRR below - that may support some lightning within the line. and it's coming through in the middle of the day- so it should be VERY photogenic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, LibertyBell said: and it's coming through in the middle of the day- so it should be VERY photogenic! yep, looks relatively cloud-free ahead of and behind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Models still going for one of our more impressive snow squalls in a while on Wednesday. It'll probably be like a SVR thunderstorm where a few areas get a slammed for 10-15 minutes and most miss out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, SnoSki14 said: It'll probably be like a SVR thunderstorm where a few areas get a slammed for 10-15 minutes and most miss out. no, looks more like a solid squall line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, Stormlover74 said: no, looks more like a solid squall line Even if that's true it'll still only last maybe 10 minutes if not less. Not enough to drop more than a light dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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