Voyager Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, canderson said: GFS and then HRRR ftw. BUT!!! This means anyone who posts ICON maps should get permabanned! So really it’s a win. When I saw the HRRR taking plain rain all the way up to Binghamton, I just kind of knew we were pretty much done, and the big numbers thrown around weren't going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Not over yet guys. Yet to see a flake but on our doorstep here in Palmyra. I am remaining hope for a couple of inches if not more. Any storm coming this far west without a transfer earlier is a problem. But it caused major Mets to keep guessing themselves. And as much as I like Horst why do you go on twitter and promote your forecast and that NWS finally catered to mine. I don’t like that at all. But anyways, it still fun anticipation of it, and it is only mid-January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Yes, it’s actually just getting started! Can we give it a chance ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Snow has picked up. Hope I can get 2” or maybe 3” before it flips. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 35 minutes ago, canderson said: GFS and then HRRR ftw. BUT!!! This means anyone who posts ICON maps should get permabanned! So really it’s a win. The ICON is actually a decent model. It ended up being too cold in runs early this week but it was one of first to signal at least part of this day would be snowy when most other LR guidance was rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes, it’s actually just getting started! Can we give it a chance ? Snow has commenced. Exactly Blizz right or wrong let’s see how it does this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1/2 inch on non road surfaces...roads getting a little white tint to them. 32/29 with SN+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 31/29 mod snow around 1/2” oh and roads have caved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 19, 2019 Author Share Posted January 19, 2019 Yea, the main stuff is just arriving into the LSV. Might want to let to snow arrive and the changeover to happen before claiming this or that on this storm. The storm came NW, and is being observed as being NW. Sliding the low under PA is one thing but you can't run a 992 low into SW PA and then through PA without more significant p-type issues. In the meantime, it's going to snow most everywhere in the LSV for a few to several hours this evening before changing over S to N. A look at LWX radar indicates that mixing line looks to be still down near the I-70 corridor in MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 18 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: The ICON is actually a decent model. It was ended up being too cold in runs early this week but it was one of first to signal at least part of this day would be snowy when most other LR guidance was rain. Yeah I'm not sure why were diggin on it. It was the first to pick up on this. Gotta say that the GFS seemed to sniff out the track best though (even though I liked its evolution the least). Hey, we learn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Yeah I'm not sure why were diggin on it. It was the first to pick up on this. Gotta say that the GFS seemed to sniff out the track best though (even though I liked its evolution the least). Hey, we learn. Yea, its forecast of pushing the low into Erie is going to be more right than wrong if the low does indeed cut through Central PA and over Scranton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Taken at 5:05 before it started comeing down pic with dog is looking at 114 in farview township and the other the road below my house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 19, 2019 Author Share Posted January 19, 2019 Snow rates picked up pretty nicely here with the enhancement of radar as the main shield arrives. At 2" now and 31ºF. Snow's pretty wet and packable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: Yea, its forecast of pushing the low into Erie is going to be more right than wrong if the low does indeed cut through Central PA and over Scranton. I guess i should have clarified by stating it was the farthest NW w/ LP. at least when it shows us a MECS in the next few days, we might really be able to get excited. Still think once we get through this week and get midweek deal outta the way, we should be headed to a more stable and slightly more predictable pattern for our area. in the meantime, good luck N and NE crew. Send pics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, pasnownut said: I guess i should have clarified by stating it was the farthest NW w/ LP. at least when it shows us a MECS in the next few days, we might really be able to get excited. Still think once we get through this week and get midweek deal outta the way, we should be headed to a more stable and slightly more predictable pattern for our area. in the meantime, good luck N and NE crew. Send pics. Just let it play out and yes good luck to the north. We have at least another 2-3 hours of snow or more. Love this forum. But many just give up before it ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 19, 2019 Author Share Posted January 19, 2019 @2001kx you look to have a pretty good shot of heavy snow getting ready to arrive in Clearfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, paweather said: Just let it play out and yes good luck to the north. We have at least another 2-3 hours of snow or more. Love this forum. But many just give up before it ends. We just started snowing pixie dust here. All good bud. You know I'm down w/ every flake i can get, but track now into Pa says were cooked. When it was under us, I was all in. No biggie. I'm really excited for what we have coming up w/ LR guidance, and think that we can/will score. Like I just said in the MA forum, I'll clip my way to climo and be just fine w/ it. Now lets watch it snow. I gotta go crack another Cold Snap. Damn thats good beer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, paweather said: Just let it play out and yes good luck to the north. We have at least another 2-3 hours of snow or more. Love this forum. But many just give up before it ends. I never give up. Easily 1” and still dumping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 8 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: @2001kx you look to have a pretty good shot of heavy snow getting ready to arrive in Clearfield. Sounds good..how long do u think we have up here till the pingers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Finally have good flakes to call it moderate snow. Temp down to 31.5. Just measured 0.2" on the board. Like what I see coming up from my southwest for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 19, 2019 Author Share Posted January 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, 2001kx said: Sounds good..how long do u think we have up here till the pingers? HRRR has been pretty insistent on roughly a 12am-1am changeover here and up there. We should see some good snowfall this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Have about a 75% Snow/25% sleet mix here Coming down very hard. These change over lines really dump snow and it adds up fast. About 2" here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 16 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: I never give up. Easily 1” and still dumping. Yes! That’s the spirit ! Moderate snow in Marysville, all surfaces covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, bubbler86 said: Have about a 75% Snow/25% sleet mix here Coming down very hard. These change over lines really dump snow and it adds up fast. About 2" here now. Didn't MAG just say it looked like the change line was down in MD along I-70? I'd think it would be too soon for you to see any mix yet. (Glad you've reach 2", though). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 4 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: HRRR has been pretty insistent on roughly a 12am-1am changeover here and up there. We should see some good snowfall this evening. thanks MAG. Snow has picked up and i have 1.1" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Didn't MAG just say it looked like the change line was down in MD along I-70? I'd think it would be too soon for you to see any mix yet. (Glad you've reach 2", though). Changeover should be starting just north of Mason-Dixon and east of I-81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, CarlislePaWx said: Didn't MAG just say it looked like the change line was down in MD along I-70? I'd think it would be too soon for you to see any mix yet. (Glad you've reach 2", though). I think that was about an hour or so ago. I am only 1/2 mile from the MD line and only about 15-20 miles north of 70 so it was close to me back then. You have the better spot for this one. Radar makes it appear the sleet line is indeed just to my south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: Great depiction of the line. It is punching up west of South Mountain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, bubbler86 said: Great depiction of the line. It is punching up west of South Mountain. Yep. South wind running the line up the ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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