Hoosier Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 I have noticed that the HRRR tanks temps too much over snowpack sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 LOT already has -14 at ORD Thursday morning. A week away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 13 minutes ago, Hoosier said: LOT already has -14 at ORD Thursday morning. A week away. WUnderground says -21 Thurs morning at my location Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Models weren't spitting out these kind of crazy numbers back in Jan 2014, were they? I know they were showing big time cold, but I don't recall this insanity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 I know it’s crapuweather but Jesus, I’ve never ever seen a windchill of -52 forecasted for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 2 hours ago, Hoosier said: LOT already has -14 at ORD Thursday morning. A week away. DVN has -21 in my point and click. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 taking an early look at records for MSN, some of the more attainable ones are: 1/30 Record Low Max -1F 1/31 Record Low -22 F 1/31 Record Low Max -6F 2/1 Record Low Max -1 F If some of the models pan out then record lows of -26F and -28F on the 29th and 1st seem reachable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MNstorms Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 I normally don't trust Accuweather but still. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Does anybody know where to find maps of snow depth for individual dates? I am trying to see what the snow depths were like across the region during the other notorious arctic outbreaks. That would be more convenient than looking up a bunch of cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MNstorms Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, Hoosier said: Does anybody know where to find maps of snow depth for individual dates? I am trying to see what the snow depths were like across the region during the other notorious arctic outbreaks. That would be more convenient than looking up a bunch of cities. NWS website. Change the date on the left side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, Minnesota_storms said: NWS website. Change the date on the left side. Thanks. Unfortunately that only goes back to 2002. I'd like to find something back into the 1970s/1980s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Will let this speak for itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 58 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Does anybody know where to find maps of snow depth for individual dates? I am trying to see what the snow depths were like across the region during the other notorious arctic outbreaks. That would be more convenient than looking up a bunch of cities. Snow cover during the 2014 outbreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 I'm not ready to go all Chicago Storm and predict the coldest temperature on record for Chicago , but I really like the odds of them getting into the -20s. That has only happened 15 times since records began. It also appears that there may be a shot at back to back lows of -25 or colder, which has never been observed before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 47 minutes ago, Jim Martin said: Will let this speak for itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MNstorms Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 -73F windchill anyone? Love how crazy experimental GFS gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 24 minutes ago, Hoosier said: I'm not ready to go all Chicago Storm and predict the coldest temperature on record for Chicago , but I really like the odds of them getting into the -20s. That has only happened 15 times since records began. It also appears that there may be a shot at back to back lows of -25 or colder, which has never been observed before. Gotta go big or go home. But yea, odds of -20 or colder are getting close to lock status. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Yeah I think this approaches the record for Detroit too. The only saving grace would be if the Lakes produce clouds into the area and/or the upper low goes north of here, though in that 2nd scenario the winds would be much higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 3 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Gotta go big or go home. But yea, odds of -20 or colder are getting close to lock status. I really want to see one of the major climate sites in northern IL tag -30. Aurora has done it before but they radiate like crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 9 minutes ago, Hoosier said: I really want to see one of the major climate sites in northern IL tag -30. Aurora has done it before but they radiate like crazy. My early pick would be RPJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 MEX mos has -20 at ORD on Wednesday. That is 35 degrees below average on a product that biases toward climo in the outer periods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, Chicago Storm said: My early pick would be RPJ. Meh, imo they don't count lol. I'm talking Rockford, Moline, Chicago... the big boys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 5 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Meh, imo they don't count lol. I'm talking Rockford, Moline, Chicago... the big boys. Hahaha, all reporting sites considered, RPJ is going to set the bar. -30 or bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 -4 with a wind chill of -24. HRRR has been showing lows dropping lower than -20, but it goes off the reservation over deep/fresh snow cover. Think -10 to -13 oughta do it. That 55 degree day back on Jan 7th seems like a distant memory now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 In one run of the Euro the -15 for Thursday morning for lake county ohio is now 10 -_- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, WHEATCENT said: In one run of the Euro the -15 for Thursday morning for lake county ohio is now 10 -_- Looks to have moderated the extent of the cold in both magnitude and duration fairly significantly. Heck, it almost looks benign! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 0z ECMWF with a significant step back regarding the cold next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 8 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: 0z ECMWF with a significant step back regarding the cold next week. Ugh, not good. What about 0z Euro ensembles and the 6z Euro op? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Ugh, not good. What about 0z Euro ensembles and the 6z Euro op?6z ECMWF only goes out to 90hrs.The 0z ENS also shifted north and shorter duration as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MNstorms Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 4 days away and GFS has been consistent with -35F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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