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Super, Duper SWFE


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5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

 

I'm generally a humble guy but....

The models can tip their cap and call ORH_wxman their daddy on this one. 

Yes -- props where they are due. It's a rare thing but you were steadfast in your assessment despite ALL guidance being unable to get there very close in to what's now happening...

"That's not how this works. That's not how any of this works!"

God, I wish I had my old gif.

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14 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Ah ahaha...

I was just chatting with another group (off -line) 'bout how bad this BL was handled.  Even the consummate cold model types were not scoring better than a C ... C+ because (do correct me if I'm wrong), I don't recall seeing 15/14 not just pocketed but literaly advecting in

Someone else was mentioning this advection yesterday and comparing it to 08 icestorm .Now who was it?

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3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I don’t believe your close to done based on radar or HRRR shows 1.20 after 12z for A bit west of ORH 

On radar the stuff to the south looks like it is moving a bit east, which should lower that.  But you could be right,   This cold will help keep sleet...seems pretty thick

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Glad to hear that low-level cold is over-performing, but it seems like the pingers were well ahead of schedule up this way. The last forecasts/discussions I’d seen didn’t anticipate the surge of upper warmth until around midday. Hoping for some back-end accumulations I guess, but the forecast 12+ seems like a lost cause right now.

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What are others doing about cleanup?  Deciding if i should blow now or wait for it all to fall on top of the snow and clear it later...worried it may be impossible to clear the stuff that falls from here on out on its own.....

Im in the teens here in plaistow, pouring frozen rain/sleet/pellets....probably 5-6" on the ground

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Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I was not the least bit surprise w temps wasn’t buying big snow amounts

Now below freezing into Boston at 13z, show me 1 person that predicted that 

We were saying to watch the meso low. Remember how the SPC HREF showed those temps at 12z? It's close. That's why I said it makes sense to me. right at coast was the question, but I think we also said don't be surprised. 

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