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Upstate/Eastern New York


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3 minutes ago, CNY_WX said:

It will be interesting to see the final ratios. 

I'm going to take a midnight measurement. Last was at 6pm. It was 11.8:1 then, and I'd expect same at midnight. There's enough wind to possibly skew a measurement or what's in the gauge though. We'll see. I'm guessing we'll be near 5" at midnight.

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3 minutes ago, CNY_WX said:

KBGM should be in the middle of the heavier returns and their visibility is only 1/2 mile

KBGM 200353Z 11011KT 1/2SM SN FZFG VV007 M04/M06 A2972 RMK AO2 SLP087 P0005 T10441056

That’s Good news. The better radar returns are working NE and nearing us. 

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Cold air is really pressing in big time from the north:

ITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
WATERTOWN      SNOW      -3  -7  82 NE21      30.04F VSB 1/2 WCI -26
FORT DRUM      NOT AVBL
OGDENSBURG     LGT SNOW  -6 -11  77 NE16G22   30.13F WCI -28
MASSENA        LGT SNOW  -5  -9  83 NE15      30.21F VSB 1   WCI -26
SARANAC LAKE   LGT SNOW  -2  -7  79 E8        29.97F WCI -17
PLATTSBURGH    LGT SNOW  -7 -12  79 N8        30.24F WCI -23
$$
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7 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

3.5" here..

I agree about flake size still small..

Back edge is through about 10/11 am, time is ticking lol

Flakes are better than earlier though. 

Only thing that will generate big numbers is meso banding, I don’t see that actually developing quite yet. We could be looking at a 12:1 ratio for the entire event. ROC may be saved by Lake Ontario ultimately...and it seems they are a couple inches ahead of us already. 

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Although the storm system responsible is tracking well to the south of the Great Lakes, northeast winds off Lake Ontario are picking up extra moisture resulting in higher snowfall totals. Total snowfall amounts are likely to vary considerably across the region. As of 8 pm, 41 cm was measured in Ancaster.                                    This is from environment Canada this is legit. 

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It’s gonna take a strong deformation band and some help from the lake for Rochester to hit the totals tossed around today. It can definitely still happen . The lake band is still oriented NE-SW or more. 

Picking up again. Let’s hope this lasts a few hrs. 

If I was still drinking I’d be about 15 deep so far. It’s enjoyable  either way. 

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17 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said:

Cold air is really pressing in big time from the north:


ITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
WATERTOWN      SNOW      -3  -7  82 NE21      30.04F VSB 1/2 WCI -26
FORT DRUM      NOT AVBL
OGDENSBURG     LGT SNOW  -6 -11  77 NE16G22   30.13F WCI -28
MASSENA        LGT SNOW  -5  -9  83 NE15      30.21F VSB 1   WCI -26
SARANAC LAKE   LGT SNOW  -2  -7  79 E8        29.97F WCI -17
PLATTSBURGH    LGT SNOW  -7 -12  79 N8        30.24F WCI -23
$$

Its currently minus 17 Celsius,  or 1 above Fahrenheit,  in north Toronto, so I can confirm that some serious cold is moving in. Also, Ottawa is experiencing its coldest heavy snowstorm since 1895. Snow and 6 below there currently.

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13 minutes ago, tim123 said:

Low is still in Kentucky fellas. Remember this system slowed down buy about 6 to 12 hours cause it's deeper. Look at Cleveland radar some monster deformation banding going on

Yeah, good call on the Cleveland radar.  Very impressive down that way right now.  Much better flake size in just the last 10 minutes here too as the BUF radar is starting to light up now.  

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9 minutes ago, tim123 said:

Low is still in Kentucky fellas. Remember this system slowed down buy about 6 to 12 hours cause it's deeper. Look at Cleveland radar some monster deformation banding going on

I'm not concerned one bit!  Once the csi starts it'll only take 6-7 hrs of 2-3"/hr and we'll be good!

if flake size doesn't improve totals won't be realized, oh well!

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