Gorizer Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 52 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: How do I like this 1000 times??? Congrats central and western NY. You guys are gonna jackpot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Are there any radar/sat views that can show the lake streamers enhancing the synoptic? Just curious. Heavier bands starting to show up: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: To each their own I suppose, lol, as I can do without constant cover TBH as I am a falling snow guy. I can watch it snow for hours and hours on end, obviously the accumulation aspect of a storm is a huge contributing factor for most, but not for me, but when I snowmobiled, it was important for sure! I want it falling AND covering the ground November through April. Let winter be WINTER! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattny88 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 lets get some more model snow maps going on in this forum shall we....hows the snow spotters and reporters looking out in Rochester guys?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, vortmax said: Are there any radar/sat views that can show the lake streamers enhancing the synoptic? Just curious. Heavier bands starting to show up: Nah, unfortunately, but you'll know as its occurring, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 50% probs for 18+, don't see this often: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Really starting to pick up here now. Probably closer to a steady 3/4" hr rate and better flake size. 2.1" since 7am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, mattny88 said: lets get some more model snow maps going on in this forum shall we....hows the snow spotters and reporters looking out in Rochester guys?? I'm not officially measuring, but we are approaching 3" since 7am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, mattny88 said: lets get some more model snow maps going on in this forum shall we....hows the snow spotters and reporters looking out in Rochester guys?? Its Nowcast time, models will do nothing now just hope you land under one of the CSI bands when they form, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 19, 2019 Author Share Posted January 19, 2019 2-3" here already? Coming down really good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I semi-disagree lol Weather changes by the minute.. Nothing wrong with following trends, that's what the Hrrr is here for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattny88 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 great thanks vortmax..my parents live in ontario right off lincoln road...turn left at light at tractor supply off 104..about 2 miles south of 104 on lincoln..so theyve been giving me updates..yea man wayne county in specific looks to be the absolute jackpot with this storm with the lake enhancement....reminds me of valentines day storm of 2007 even though i wasnt living here at that time but from the locals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattny88 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 puts sodus at 50% of 18+ per NWS.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattny88 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 why isnt NWS upping there snow totals based on the Kuchara w it factoring in the snow ratios as opposed to per qpf?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, mattny88 said: great thanks vortmax..my parents live in ontario right off lincoln road...turn left at light at tractor supply off 104..about 2 miles south of 104 on lincoln..so theyve been giving me updates..yea man wayne county in specific looks to be the absolute jackpot with this storm with the lake enhancement....reminds me of valentines day storm of 2007 even though i wasnt living here at that time but from the locals That's pretty close to me. I'm on Furnace about 2 miles N of 104. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katodog Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, vortmax said: That's pretty close to me. I'm on Furnace about 2 miles N of 104. I am close to you guys too. i am near 250 in webster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 This is a cool loop showing the LE moving with wind veering NE... https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=BUF-N0Q-1-200 You can see the band on radar hitting the west end of the lake...somewhere near Hamilton, Ont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 8 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Really starting to pick up here now. Probably closer to a steady 3/4" hr rate and better flake size. 2.1" since 7am. Same here. Fantastic outside! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, mattny88 said: why isnt NWS upping there snow totals based on the Kuchara w it factoring in the snow ratios as opposed to per qpf?? Perhaps they don't agree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 That's a lot of moisture: \ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2"/hr rates (BUF AFD): Snowfall rates under a half inch an hour through mid afternoon will increase to a half to one inch per hour late this afternoon...esp over the Southern Tier. Rates tonight will further increase to one to as much as 2 inches per hour...especially across the Southern Tier and for the counties lining the south shore of Lake Ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 This event will be ever changing as this strengthens through the afternoon but Im starting to feel confident that somewhere near here Jackpot's so we'll see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Moderate snow the whole way from Williamsville all the way to elma at Sahlens...about 1/2" hour rates dendrites bigger than they have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattny88 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 thats a great radar look vortmax of the n-ne wind component giving way to lake enchanced into the west burbs of rochester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 This is where we wanted it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just south of you guys. I am in walworth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, wolfie09 said: This is where we wanted it.. Man, if that LP ends up in SW PA...ESPECIALLY at 991...RGEM/FV3 was right all along! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattny88 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 per NWS AFD did anyone catch up paragraph " As mentioned...the center of the cyclone was found over the Lower Mississippi Valley at 15z. The system will track to the northeast across Kentucky and West Virginia to about the Mason Dixon Line... which is about 25 to 50 miles further north than most guidance packages were suggesting. This subtle shift is being verified by pressure falls over Ohio and West Virginia. If this trend continues...it should lead to slightly stronger winds and possibly more snow. The reason for the shift is an earlier phasing of the two branches of the jet. This is starting to become apparent in WV imagery." that 25-50 mile difference..do you think thats enough to displace the old snow maps of just se of syracuse getting the jackpot to now the entire i90 corridor including roc, syracuse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 9 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Perhaps they don't agree? NWS already has pretty high totals. Roc at 19 is big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, tim123 said: Just south of you guys. I am in walworth I think you'll end up better as our snow will be blown in your direction! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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