TugHillMatt Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 So now we have the NAM on board with the Icon of a flatter, weaker meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Chuck it, Went South 100 miles, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Just when I was thinking there is no way there could be a dramatic shift...and then the NAM does that. SERIOUSLY?!? Good thing it's the NAM, that just what it does, big dramatic shifts out of nowhere after it's been locked in on a solution for multiple runs in a row. Will have to see how other 00z models look, if the NAM is on its own I wouldn't worry however if other models start trending SE I'll be very nervous. Why can't this just be easy? Erggg! Lol! Gotta catch some early Zzz's and hope this isn't a sudden non event when I wake up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 NAM has little for the North Country, huge shift south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I've seen this psuedo dry slot punching through the system the last few days. The back edge comes fast and is sharp as well so I think things will wind down fast early sunday. 9pm-3am will be the sweet spot for this one. Trying to figure out if I want to stay up driving around or get some good sleep so I can hit Bristol very early Sunday. This will be delicate balance, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Wow that bad you had to post it twice, lol! I wouldn't worry about the NAM seriously a wickedly horrible model outside of 48hrs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, WesterlyWx said: Good thing it's the NAM, that just what it does, big dramatic shifts out of nowhere after it's been locked in on a solution for multiple runs in a row. Will have to see how other 00z models look, if the NAM is on its own I wouldn't worry however if other models start trending SE I'll be very nervous. Why can't this just be easy? Erggg! Lol! Gotta catch some early Zzz's and hope this isn't a sudden non event when I wake up! I waited until today to let myself really get sucked in...thinking things were more locked in... bahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Poor bastards in Canada. The NAM literally dropped its northern snow shield 200 miles south. You can’t make that up! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 13" KBUF; 16.5 KROC; 19.5 KSYR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Only an 1" liq eq for me, damn storm cancel, lol, KBOS will sure love the NAM. We got NAMMED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Are we starting the totals? Buf - 9 Roc - 12 Syr - 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 You jinxed us BW by starting this new damn thread, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 This is the plan: the Icon is gonna be horrible. I’m going to freak out, call the storm off, fall asleep, wake to find out the Euro came in stronger and slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 The event that's overhead or incoming was supposed to drop 3-4" a couple days ago and now its overcast ski's with chance of flurries, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Nams goin to nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Buf 7 Roc 10 Syr. 11 Hope I’m wrong! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Not to worried. Even that crap run still gives roc near a inch of liquid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Thats hat I'm sayin, if a model can take a jump that big and we still manage to get 1.2" of liq eq, who can complain? I certaintly won't, lol not after the yr we've had so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Toggle the precip map from this run to last one huge difference in precip field. It comical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Comical/ heartbreaking. Take your pick. Lol Whats extra weird is the 18z Euro ensembles were absolutely beautiful. Tale of two different worlds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 It looks like ukmet from 2 days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 NAM must be suffering from convective feedback . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 We toss fir sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 NAM. Well that was Interesting. Still providing fun after all these years. I think I'll go to the NYC and NE subs to understand why it can't be wrong. brb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I notice sometimes the nam plays same cha cha as globals from a day or 2 before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gorizer Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Looks like Albany/Schenectady area does well no matter which is right. Further south reduces the taint risk here at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Icon looks better than last run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, Gorizer said: Looks like Albany/Schenectady area does well no matter which is right. Further south reduces the taint risk here at least. One of those rare times a north or south shift hasn't mattered much to us. Most on this subforum are in Western/Central NY, but we're looking good here in Eastern Upstate. I still can't buy the well over a foot totals on a fast moving SWFE type storm however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Wow, you eastern Upstate guys are a patient crew. Haven't seen you guys on here until your first real winter storm. You will be able to show off your snow pics to those of us in the snow belts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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