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Upstate/Eastern New York


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17 minutes ago, Charlee4615 said:

Nope, thank god! This place is a nightmare when it snows. During the storm in November you could hear cars crashing every half an hour or so!

We used to take food trays from Willard Straight and slide down Libe Slope. I think they banned that when a student got seriously hurt running into a tree.    Good thing we have no admins because I’m getting way off topic. 

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2 minutes ago, vortmax said:

From WPC diag disc:

Preference: Non 12Z NAM blend

Confidence: Slightly Above Average

 

Model clustering continues to slowly tighten with each cycle, such

that confidence is a bit above average for the track and evolution

of the upper trough and surface low moving from the central to

eastern U.S. this weekend.  However, the 12Z NAM stands out the

greatest from the relatively tight model clustering with its

surface low tracking faster/east compared to the remaining

deterministic and ensemble consensus. This is due to a slightly

flatter low-mid level wave in the NAM. The 12Z NAM also differs

with its 700 mb evolution across the Ohio Valley on Saturday with

a less consolidated wave. While the 12Z NAM is not a significant

outlier, there is enough difference to exclude it from the overall

preference across the central and eastern U.S.

RLMAO, poor Americans, lol!

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1 minute ago, wolfie09 said:

Total orientation looks different now..

UKMET 17 km East Coast USA MSLP.gif

I said the intermountain region was causing havoc with last nights 00Z Suite as they all were a bit whacky, not only the NAM!!  Look at the difference now WRT SLP track and intensity,  Thank God this thing is hauling ass cause it would cut if it had more room, lol!

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7 minutes ago, vortmax said:

From WPC diag disc:

Preference: Non 12Z NAM blend

Confidence: Slightly Above Average

 

Model clustering continues to slowly tighten with each cycle, such

that confidence is a bit above average for the track and evolution

of the upper trough and surface low moving from the central to

eastern U.S. this weekend.  However, the 12Z NAM stands out the

greatest from the relatively tight model clustering with its

surface low tracking faster/east compared to the remaining

deterministic and ensemble consensus. This is due to a slightly

flatter low-mid level wave in the NAM. The 12Z NAM also differs

with its 700 mb evolution across the Ohio Valley on Saturday with

a less consolidated wave. While the 12Z NAM is not a significant

outlier, there is enough difference to exclude it from the overall

preference across the central and eastern U.S.

Would have been perfect if they just ended their statement with...    "It's just the NAM being the NAM."

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2 minutes ago, CNY_WX said:

Might be an all nighter for some of us tomorrow night. 

Guaranteed as I'm lookin to verify blizzard and we all do realize, a more wound up mid-lvl system and boom we have closure all least up to H700, cause it just might happen cause what stopping this from gaining strength!  There's not much behind it and if it wants to it can buckle the flow alot more if that HP slows a but more and allows this system to get out in front!

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