SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 2 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Woke up to find 13.5” here. What in the world?!? Band must have been absolutely ripping here last night after I went to bed. Awesome! You missed it man! Stalled out over us with 4”/hr snowfall rates from like 1030-1230 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 2 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: You missed it man! Stalled out over us with 4”/hr snowfall rates from like 1030-1230 Of course can’t get the band to stay for longer than 15 minutes with 1-2” hr rates while I’m awake then as soon as I go to bed it finally stalls over us with 4”/hr rates. Unreal, but I’ll take it! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 What in the world! Ice Jam in the Niagara River!!! Wonder if the boom broke last night?!?!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 14.4” storm total here! 11.5” on the ground. best storm since nov 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 27 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: 14.4” storm total here! 11.5” on the ground. best storm since nov 2014 Incredible but we just picked up almost 30" at KBUF in the past 2 storms! That probably shoots us above average and if we can eek out 10" more this would be a pretty good month!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 FV3 still seeing lots o snow next week!!! Might as well fit our whole winter into a 2 week stretch! . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Didn't realize we have a shot at LES tomorrow lol Off of Lake Ontario, lake enhanced snow behind the departing cold front and light synoptic snow will start in the early afternoon and transition to lake effect by the mid to late afternoon. Initially a west-southwest flow will start the lake effect over the northern portion of the North Country. Winds shift more to a westerly (260- 280) direction and the longer fetch of the lake allows a better developed lake band to form and focus on the Tug Hill during the late afternoon and into the evening. Guidance is suggesting the potential for a three lake connection with the Lake Ontario band, with the connection extending upstream to Lake Huron and Lake Superior. Winds will continue to shift through the evening to a more northwest direction and then northerly by the middle of the night on Sunday night. This will result in the band shifting south through the early morning, and then dissipating with minimal fetch. Some guidance is holding on to the band over the lake through the morning via a convergence zone over the lake with the much colder airmass over the lake, but winds appear to be a bit to strong to support this. Area east of Lake Ontario, especially over the Tug Hill can expect to receive up to 4 to 8 inches of snow for Sunday into Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 2 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: FV3 still seeing lots o snow next week!!! Might as well fit our whole winter into a 2 week stretch! . Dude unless I'm looking at something else that late Tues to early Thursday timeframe looks really good for LES, I mean the parameters on the BUFKIT are ridiculous lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Meso models starting to pick up the lake effect for tom/tom night..This obviously includes today's event as well, up north.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Euro not as good as previous runs for mon/tues.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 This system could be a nice one for CNY..Almost like a super clipper/CF with some added moisture lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Kbuf not impressed.. They have mixing up to Central Oswego county.. An area of low pressure will cross the eastern Great Lakes Monday night and Tuesday. This system may bring some light snow and mixed precipitation to the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 An extended period of severe winter conditons is expected Tuesday night through Friday. Extremely cold air will build down into the region with dangerously cold wind chills expected during this period. Accumulating, possibly significant lake effect snow is possible east of Lake Ontario during this period. Strong gusty winds will likely cause periods of significant blowing and drifting snow along with poor visibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: An extended period of severe winter conditons is expected Tuesday night through Friday. Extremely cold air will build down into the region with dangerously cold wind chills expected during this period. Accumulating, possibly significant lake effect snow is possible east of Lake Ontario during this period. Strong gusty winds will likely cause periods of significant blowing and drifting snow along with poor visibility. broad brushing from this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Not sure what the "enhanced" precip is about but i'll take it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 I hate this pattern, but its a great pattern for Watertown, Buffalo metro and of course the Tug! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 SW flow out ahead of the clippers downslopes the Finger Lakes and the Rochester Metro area bad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 12 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Great shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 26, 2019 Author Share Posted January 26, 2019 18.2" storm total at KBUF, so close to 20" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 26, 2019 Author Share Posted January 26, 2019 2 hours ago, WesterlyWx said: Of course can’t get the band to stay for longer than 15 minutes with 1-2” hr rates while I’m awake then as soon as I go to bed it finally stalls over us with 4”/hr rates. Unreal, but I’ll take it! Lol I try to text you and wake you up. haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 This is amazing. We’re just three miles west of the airport and had about 6.5”. Sadly, this was not the long overdue Northtowns storm. Pedestrian snow totals for Williamsville and the northern part of Cheektowaga. I’m sure the numbers for North Buffalo, Amherst, Kenmore, and Tonawanda will also be on the low side relative to much of Erie County. Clarence did well by virtue of being far enough east to get the airport band. Disappointing, but we keep waiting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 26, 2019 Author Share Posted January 26, 2019 That band is still kicking in fredonia and not moving much. travel advisory issued there ...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS... SOUTHWESTERN ERIE AND NORTHEASTERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTIES... At 844 AM EST, A band of lake effect snow producing snow fall rates of up to 2 inches per hour was located along a line extending from near Eden to Fredonia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Nothing in the southern Tug. Nada. Shoot! Next time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 44 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: SW flow out ahead of the clippers downslopes the Finger Lakes and the Rochester Metro area bad! Is that what that is all about? I was wondering... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Is that what that is all about? I was wondering... Yep. We get nada on a sw flow or w flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Just now, rochesterdave said: Nothing in the southern Tug. Nada. Shoot! Next time! Brantingham is actually more in the Central Tug, if that. It is so far east...so can easily miss out on events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Just now, rochesterdave said: Yep. We get nada on a sw flow or w flow. Yeah, but this is a system as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 26, 2019 Author Share Posted January 26, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 NWS just lowered totals at the airport for last night by 6”?!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sub_Zero Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/25/2019 at 8:48 AM, wolfie09 said: Those damn Canadians eh.. Really nailed this one eh Even the global had a mostly SW/WSW flow eh Better luck next time eh They probably do better with lake effect because half the lake is theirs lol eh eh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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