Danajames Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I know the GFS gets a lot of grief from a lot of mets but it has been very consistent going back a week regarding this storm. It was an Appalachian cutter right out of the gate and still is. I think they were over reaching yesterday with the CAD element as far as most of the Mid-Atlantic and this is going to be a good old fashioned rainstorm for most. If you're a snow lover like myself, this is not your storm. Never was and the sooner it gets out of here the better. The last thing we need is to get into another relentless pattern of heavy rain every 3-4 days after being inundated in 2018. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucketts Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 8 hours ago, losetoa6 said: Respectively disagree. 1-2 " of qpf will fall ( that's a lot of liquid laying )and Sunday morning at 5-6 am moisture is still in the area ( rain /mix tbd) then the bottom falls out between 8 - 11 am from most guidance NW to SE . That leaves very little time for drying imo. I think this artic front ..could ..catch up with residual moisture and give some areas a back end brief change back to frozen . Pretty exciting setup with this storm imo. I wish I wasn't working tomorrow morning. It will be a great nowcast up this way Are the models still forecasting 1-2" of QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I wonder what was the last time we had heavy (1”+) precip falling on an existing snowpack. Certainly Christmas 2009 counts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Worst storm ever.....what could of been. While is it raining in late January????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I expect whatever is left of my snowpack to be eradicated once this rainstorm is done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 7 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: I wonder what was the last time we had heavy (1”+) precip falling on an existing snowpack. Certainly Christmas 2009 counts. At midnight on Christmas morning I was sledding in a foot of snow with temps in the mid-teens. By late Christmas night it was all gone, washed down the storm drains. What a wasteland in which we live. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 13 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: I wonder what was the last time we had heavy (1”+) precip falling on an existing snowpack. Certainly Christmas 2009 counts. No snow pack here in eastern Baltimore county unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 7 minutes ago, Ji said: Worst storm ever.....what could of been. While is it raining in late January????? #midatlanticwinterssux Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, showmethesnow said: #midatlanticwinterssux Welcome home? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 The snow cover is still pretty expansive out here especially north facing areas. I'm convinced enough will survive for it to still look like winter come Monday. Unlike the models I've never wavered, waffled or bounced around on that assumption. Let's see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, nw baltimore wx said: Welcome home? Nah, waiting to check my bags in. Get in to bwi at 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 35F. Cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, showmethesnow said: Nah, waiting to check my bags in. Get in to bwi at 5. Wanted to check because we might be doing an afternoon snow and brewery chase up your way this afternoon. Safe travels! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fasteddy Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 31The calm before the rain errr snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Nice picture! That almost looks like Annapolis Rocks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fasteddy Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, nw baltimore wx said: Nice picture! That almost looks like Annapolis Rocks. This is from our vacation house in WV (1900').. That's looking towards Winchester.. I couldn't stay in MD for this storm and watch it rain.. At least I'll get a little bit of snow or more than likely, a nice ice storm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Is this storm going to be good for anyone up the coast...NAM sure is ugly for the NE weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 13 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Is this storm going to be good for anyone up the coast...NAM sure is ugly for the NE weenies Some of the worst last-minute trends I can remember. Folks who were expecting a foot yesterday might be getting an inch of rain instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, paxpatriot said: Some of the worst last-minute trends I can remember. Folks who were expecting a foot yesterday might be getting an inch of rain instead. It's a good reminder for all of us along the I95 corridor. The north trend is real this winter it seems. More amped as leads shorten. Whatever you want to call it. We gotta have some wiggle room with the R/S line or someone is more than likely gonna get screwed! Checking some obs in western maryland and temps are 1-2 degrees above the forecasted highs already.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 The NWS advisories and warnings in northern MD don’t even agree with their discussion or snow and ice maps. Maybe the shutdown has got to them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 27 degrees and waiting for the snow/sleet/freezing rain. Wind chills look brutal tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 This could bust hard re snowfall. Especially in PA. The surge of warm air is brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 10 minutes ago, snowfan said: This could bust hard re snowfall. Especially in PA. The surge of warm air is brutal. S&S storm chasers page has DC-Baltimore in 2-4 inches of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Very light snow/flurries 36/32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 HRRR and 3k at 12z both hinted at the same thing - tomorrow am looks really nice. Precip and clouds clear by 7-8am and the main temp drop lags behind by a couple of hours. HRRR has it 55 and mostly sunny at 10am right before the winds really kick up and it comes crashing down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: HRRR and 3k at 12z both hinted at the same thing - tomorrow am looks really nice. Precip and clouds clear by 7-8am and the main temp drop lags behind by a couple of hours. HRRR has it 55 and mostly sunny at 10am right before the winds really kick up and it comes crashing down. Sounds like a good time to wash the Jeep and quickly dry it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Drizzle 36F. One of the worst WSWs ever issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, EastCoast NPZ said: Drizzle 36F. One of the worst WSWs ever issued. The worst part is they aren’t making adjustments to what the conditions are. Not sure what’s going on over there with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 from the nyc thread, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, Mdecoy said: from the nyc thread, lol Chase to Watertown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.