USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 The northern stream shortwave tries to close off at H5 into an upper-level low, maybe it will help develop another storm on the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Need to see what happens with that backside shortwave and if it develops another wave along the front in later runs, after hour 84 Days and weeks of snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 The NAM would be a pretty significant freezing rain event around New Haven. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Days and weeks of snow? OES could be quite prolific and what the GFS and SREFs show as the additional snows fall on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, CT Rain said: The NAM would be a pretty significant freezing rain event around New Haven. So is your thinking that a ZR threat in CT is confined to Middletown area SW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Except the RGEM.... We don't talk about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Modfan said: So is your thinking that a ZR threat in CT is confined to Middletown area SW? The risk for a full on ice storm - yeah. I think Hartford could get a minor glaze - but it just looks too cold. If the ECMWF verifies, however, then a different story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: The NAM would be a pretty significant freezing rain event around New Haven. I think this is a sleet profile verbatim but it is pretty close, is that correct? The Euro mids with the NAM surface would be nasty I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 hour ago, MaineJayhawk said: Ain't nobody gonna talk about the RGEM in SNE! No snow, No go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 FWIW, for anyone banking on a NAM coup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: No snow, No go. It's also way out of its range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiktock Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 47 minutes ago, dendrite said: Looks like winterwolf is taking a bite out of New England. That pic is a Game of of thrones "winter is coming" reference if I've ever seen one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 ICON looking cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 ICON looks wetter, have not looked at thermals yet.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 11 hours ago, ariof said: It's very interesting how MassPort manages this vs PANYNJ for very big storms. In JFK/EWR/LGA they seem to just let flights keep landing when possible, which gums up the whole airport and snow clearing infrastructure and causes massive delays for pax who do get in and out, missed connections, etc, and then it call cascades for days. Maybe they operate at 40% the day of the storm, but then they're at 60% the next day, and 80% the three days after. Which doesn't make sense. MassPort cancels everything and gets all the plans out of the airport. I remember watching the March storm last year (and January, too, IIRC). Airlines manage it differently. IIRC, DL flew their evening schedule and then deadheaded all the planes out late (maybe even took some pax, but they were non-standard, high-four-digit-numbered flights). UA just canceled everything in after about 6. Not sure what AA/B6/whoever else did. But in any case, it means that the ramps are entirely clear and it's probably a lot easier to clear the airfield when it is devoid of anything moving than when you have to plow snow around active stands, ramps, taxiways and runways. Will be interesting to see what they do Sunday, as with the latest models Sunday AM will be pretty snowy. I have a picture from the flight board that day lit up in red except for 2 flights to Iceland. I tried to upload it here but it’s too big. PM if you’re interested in seeing it as you seem like you have a aviation hobby like myself. Still don’t know what they’re going to do Sunday with the ice/sleet threat at Logan. I also used to deice planes at EWR and any talk of freezing rain or sleet would be worse than heavy snow (freezing rain cannot be deicer properly like if it was snow so if a lot of ZR is in the forecast, they’ll cancel most flights like if it was a 2’ blizzard). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Tiktock said: That pic is a Game of of thrones "winter is coming" reference if I've ever seen one! Ooo. Good point. It's like Ray wrote the script. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 12z RGEM doubling down....going even more amped than the 06z run. Has the sfc low NW of NYC at 12z Sunday. Tossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Greg said: It's also way out of its range. No kidding, But it has sucked all year, I'm still shoveling its snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowlieSnowstormson Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: FWIW, for anyone banking on a NAM coup SBCape of 9 plus that shear... gonna have to watch for some snow-top spinners? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Man the size and scale of the snow removal program going on between my house and the ski resort is impressive. VTRANS is straight pushing the snowbanks into the woods and trucking it out from intersections. They are obviously preparing for RGEM/ECM and not the NAM. Or with huge holiday weekend for ski towns they aren't f*cking around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: 12z RGEM doubling down....going even more amped than the 06z run. Has the sfc low NW of NYC at 12z Sunday. Tossed. So SNE does talk Reggie AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: 12z RGEM doubling down....going even more amped than the 06z run. Has the sfc low NW of NYC at 12z Sunday. Tossed. So I'm not hitting 50F? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: So SNE does talk Reggie AWT We talk Reggie. Then we toss Reggie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 5 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: ICON looks wetter, have not looked at thermals yet.. Love the track, hate the thermals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We talk Reggie. Then we toss Reggie. It had a good run a couple years back but it has slipped on a banana peel since. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We talk Reggie. Then we toss Reggie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: It had a good run a couple years back but it has slipped on a banana peel since. Yeah I still think it has its uses...esp once closer in. It can really shine on low level thermals. It did very well in the Dec 23 ice storm last year inside of 24h showing the ice and cold tuck lasting longer than any of the other guidance including the 3km NAM. But use at own risk outside 30 hours on complex synoptic storms. The differences in guidance right now sound larger than they actually are though....I mean, even the 12z reggie is giving BOS warning crtieria snowfall despite being more amped up than any other model. But on the margins where ice vs sleet vs snow becomes a tedious balance, small changes in the models look quite large. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drstuess Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Man the size and scale of the snow removal program going on between my house and the ski resort is impressive. VTRANS is straight pushing the snowbanks into the woods and trucking it out from intersections. They are obviously preparing for RGEM/ECM and not the NAM. Or with huge holiday weekend for ski towns they aren't f*cking around. Are they usually pretty good at clearing 89 and 100? Hoping to drive up Sunday am from Lebanon area? Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 3 minutes ago, Greg said: Love the track, hate the thermals. Yeah, pretty toasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 9 minutes ago, JC-CT said: So I'm not hitting 50F? James has a better chance of getting 2 feet of snow from this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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