CT Rain Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You missed his last post then It was a joke. You're such a snowflake. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: This is when the humans beat the models . There’s only a few that can look past models There is no spoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, ineedsnow said: SREFS always have to have that one 30 inch member lol. They did up the qpf though for the queens at 21z I think we see an increase in QPF.. we seem to see this often towards the finish line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You and I and Ginx and Will know that.. but Ryan and other melters seem to not get it Ryan? He said that multiple times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 52 minutes ago, dendrite said: I don’t blame you. After getting suplexed into the powder by weatherwiz, in his trapper hat, I wouldn’t like snow anymore either. What is this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Ryan? He said that multiple times. I said, "Rain for Kevin, Ice for Ryan?" after Ginx mentioned the ECMWF torching E CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 The Euro is really really fast kicking this system out of here. Precip bascially over in CT by noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 25 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The next two cycles are when the meltdowns happens as we tickle north...classic 24-48 hour N trend. Then we'll get the "inside 24 hour messenger SE slide" and end up back to where we were before all of that. It's so true... I remember him stealing my snow with the RUC when I was back in ALB like 15 years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: The Euro is really really fast kicking this system out of here. Precip bascially over in CT by noon. The storm is only suppose to be about 12 hours or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Not that anyone cares, but I've convinced myself that 0.75-1.0" of QPF is a good place to start for a forecast...and 15:1 ratios would give that 10-15". I usually don't like banking on ratios and even though there's talk in these parts of 20:1 or even a bit higher, I believe those will be for the mid-level meso-scale band that could form. Most of the time I think 12-15:1 look good for NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Greg said: The storm is only supose to be about 12 hours or so. ? i start snowing around hr 54 and keeps going till about 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 NAM out to 13 definitely flatter to start off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 3 minutes ago, CT Rain said: The Euro is really really fast kicking this system out of here. Precip bascially over in CT by noon. Yeah. That's going to make it tough to hit high totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 20 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: The next 24-36 hours separates the men from the boys . You have the model huggers who think each run is the final outcome.. and then you have the few who understand what can and can’t happen based on this setup . And they end up the victors when the others come back as models come back How are all those ice storm calls coming along? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, Greg said: The storm is only supose to be about 12 hours or so. It's longer than that, but with the caveat that the end will likely be lackluster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: ? i start snowing around hr 54 and keeps going till about 78 I know this storm will not be 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Greg said: I know this storm will not be 24 hours. it won't be 12 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 7 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I said, "Rain for Kevin, Ice for Ryan?" after Ginx mentioned the ECMWF torching E CT. Oh I know. He is a snowflake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Greg said: I know this storm will not be 24 hours. Ya it’s not going 7pm to 7pm. I would be shocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Not that anyone cares, but I've convinced myself that 0.75-1.0" of QPF is a good place to start for a forecast...and 15:1 ratios would give that 10-15". I usually don't like banking on ratios and even though there's talk in these parts of 20:1 or even a bit higher, I believe those will be for the mid-level meso-scale band that could form. Most of the time I think 12-15:1 look good for NNE. Looks good there. At least we hope to look wintry by Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Ya it’s not going 7pm to 7pm. I would be shocked It will be a good 12 to maybe 15 hours at best. This storm is booking it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Greg said: It will be a good 12 to maybe 15 hours at best. This storm is booking it. I agree...perhaps closer to the 15 hour window Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 8 minutes ago, kdxken said: How are all those ice storm calls coming along? As of now. 100% accurate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 16 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I talked with Todd Gross (good 90's Boston Met) about that and he was the first person I ever heard use the term "chamber of commerce forecast". I remember him saying how much he hated long range forecasts and how even the 5 day was a stretch. He sailed off into the sunset in Utah? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: He sailed off into the sunset in Utah? He was catapulted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 0Z NAM is coming in tucking the mechanics Southwest at 24 hours a little bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 6 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I agree...perhaps closer to the 15 hour window 15:20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 NAM will definitely be better looking at hr 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: He sailed off into the sunset in Utah? Yeah, he had a blog for a bit but I always wondered where he disappeared to. He had a great how to video about building a home snow gun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 45 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Wow that 18z EURO is pure filth with the mid level fronto banding up here. Thats how you can rack it up. That band is the key in NNE. Even the basic 3-hr QPF panels pick it out easily. Brian and I sit nicely in that .1 area that runs through Central NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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