NorEastermass128 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: I think the sleet will save the pack. The cutter as currently modeled doesn’t bring 50 dues and it is a short lived warmup. Looks like a FROPA on the GFS. Brief spike to 40s with some showers and then back to a good look. Wrong thread. Feel free to move it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: This is the one reason I believe this could go further southeast over the next 36-48. The Euro/UKMET catching onto that supposed NS interaction and the GFS not doing it to a stronger degree than those two deviates from the GFS tendency in that scenario. If those two models are overdoing that interaction this thing could slide 50-75 miles more SE. That's what many of us are banking on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Bad news. ICON has given up the ghost on the back-end blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 I really like my small 1kw inverter generator.. It's small, quiet, sips gas, and plenty of power for electronics and works to charge up UPS batteries. I have a larger more traditional generator too, but for most outages I only run the little one. Something to think about it you are shopping generators. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Did Tip melt about QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Bad news. ICON has given up the ghost on the back-end blizzard. I'd still take the 14" of frozen it is dishing for my hood, with surface staying below 0°C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 40 minutes ago, ice1972 said: Don't forget the chain and padlock for the genny...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 My gut says the good snow band hits Mitch to Dendrite and then ME always does well...I dont think Worcester will be all snow. And I think there will be rain in a good chunk of SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 13 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Bad news. ICON has given up the ghost on the back-end blizzard. The ICON takes that second storm south of us, still rain, but a lot different then the GFS, what's the EURO doing with that second storm? The ICON led the way with the weekend storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, #NoPoles said: My gut says the good snow band hits Mitch to Dendrite and then ME always does well...I dont think Worcester will be all snow. And I think there will be rain in a good chunk of SNE You’re so scarred.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 24 minutes ago, weathafella said: You’re so scarred.... I never thought i was going to see frozen. I live 1mile from the ocean, 7mi from the Canal. The track needs to be way offshore for me to get demolished. I bet I hit 40 or 50 degrees for a bit during the storm. My gut says this doesnt track as far south as everyone wants. I think this falls more in line with the other storms we have had this winter. CNE to NNE get the snow. We will see how this plays out. I dont know if I will be right, it is my psuedo forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 36 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Did Tip melt about QPF? I’m going to. 2.4 to 1.1 is not gonna really do it for me figured I would see a solid 1.5 + w that gulf connection and 16 hrs of precip with these ratios and some sleet 1.2 QPF would be about 6-8 and a moderate amount of sleet in ASH , I’ll take it but was wanting a little more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: I'm actually buckin' for a NAM like solution myself... I don't really care for either losing power, missing the Patriots party I'm going to... or, 20" of snow ... none of that really matters to me. Far as I'm concerned, lets lop another 1/3 of QPF and make this an official pedestrian open wave quick hitter... 38 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Did Tip melt about QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Doesn't get much more uniform then that....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 So the icing threat still confined to southern half of CT; snow and ping fest Tolland to Worcester and mostly snow NW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’m going to. 2.4 to 1.1 is not gonna really do it for me figured I would see a solid 1.5 + w that gulf connection and 16 hrs of precip with these ratios and some sleet 1.2 QPF would be about 6-8 and a moderate amount of sleet in ASH , I’ll take it but was wanting a little more I'm always skeptical of amounts over 2 for the Merrimack Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 hour ago, codfishsnowman said: how much otg now? 18" average. About 8-10" of hard styrofoam underneath from November and 8-10" of soft snow from last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Jesus many should be delighted we are getting a fun event. Even Diane will get some snow. Pull the CO3 cartridge away from your mouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, wxmanmitch said: 18" average. About 8-10" of hard styrofoam underneath from November and 8-10" of soft snow from last week. Off topic if you don't mind...how are home prices in your area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Jesus many should be delighted we are getting a fun event. Even Diane will get some snow. Pull the CO3 cartridge away from your mouth. Pickles usually isn't happy unless it's 3 feet of pack like the base of Stowe mountain or we are getting 20"+. 10" or 12" is pretty meh. For the rest of us, we'll all just be delighted to get a plowable even and put a meaty pack on the landscape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Looks like Keith went all in out of the gate............................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 9 minutes ago, dryslot said: Doesn't get much more uniform then that....... Ctrl+A, 12-18, enter. Forecast compete. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Jesus many should be delighted we are getting a fun event. Even Diane will get some snow. Pull the CO3 cartridge away from your mouth. Im excited to see how this unfolds. I was invited to one of those tuppware party type g2g, except it is for Swarovski Crystal jewelry on Saturday am, in upton, ma. God, i have no interest but it is my best friend, so gotta take one for the team. Crossing my fingers there will be good snacks??? But ill probably put a secret stash in my car just in case...and then i can get home before the precip starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: Looks like Keith went all in out of the gate............................. Arrows pointing straight out of the.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Jesus many should be delighted we are getting a fun event. Even Diane will get some snow. Pull the CO3 cartridge away from your mouth. Many of us are but when you tell everyone how fast it will melt next week, that’s not being a good leader. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: Im excited to see how this unfolds. I was invited to one of those tuppware party type g2g, except it is for Swarovski Crystal jewelry on Saturday am, in upton, ma. God, i have no interest but it is my best friend, so gotta take one for the team. Crossing my fingers there will be good snacks??? But ill probably put a secret stash in my car just in case...and then i can get home before the precip starts. Bail out early and stop by the GTG...ORH isn't that far from upton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Arrows pointing straight out of the.... Boing,Totals rising, I wish Sam Lilo would come in with one of his maps, It would be a very engorged and uplifting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 hour ago, SnowGoose69 said: It’s very bad on any type of SWFE. We’ve seen that for years. The NAM used to always have south bias problems with them too beyond 48. That doesn’t seem to be an issue with it anymore. A decade ago the only decent model on SWFEs beyond 48-60 was the Euro. The NAM is respectable now at that range It isn't winning any awards with coastal storms either....2/13 among many others Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Many of us are but when you tell everyone how fast it will melt next week, that’s not being a good leader. Always looking ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Pretty much almost time to hand the baton off from the ensembles to op runs but the 18z GEFS were nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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