Bostonseminole Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 so are we getting snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: so are we getting snow? it's what you do with it that counts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: That map over the past several runs may have changed 1" over this way and i don't see that changing from here until go time. Yeah it's been ticking up and down (this run ticked a bit north again) but still in the noise category. The one thing the EPS mean did was smooth the QPF a bit more. It increased it up north and decreased it a bit down south, creating a more uniform look, without really altering the track. And if you look at the individual maps, the 50 ensemble members are like all pretty much identical. Very little spread. I think we are narrowing into the final outcome but there's still a solid 48 hours to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Gotta have high confidence in half an inch of ice and I don't think you can say that anywhere...esp at this time lead. Are we still safe from a big freezing rain even here in Worcester area? Sleet is heavy and slippery, but it wont bring down limbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 WPC must have been fooled by the high QPF on models cuz they had 2.0-2.5 for large swath as of this A.M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, J Paul Gordon said: Are we still safe from a big freezing rain even here in Worcester area? Sleet is heavy and slippery, but it wont bring down limbs. I don't see a big ZR event in ORH. It's possible there could be a little bit of ZR. Esp at the warmest point aloft...but it should be a primarily sleet/snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Going with 3-6" most of CT with 1-3 immediate coast and 6-10 NW of BDL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Going with 3-6" most of CT with 1-3 immediate coast and 6-10 NW of BDL. Wow.. So that then would be a crap load of ice? What's your ice accretion forecast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, CTWeatherFreak said: Wow.. So that then would be a crap load of ice? Sleet bitch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 5 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Going with 3-6" most of CT with 1-3 immediate coast and 6-10 NW of BDL. Guess you won’t have to bother with bringing the snow monster down to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Sleet bitch Ah, nothing like the first one of the season! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Sleet bitch Much better. Thx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Told y'all the QPF would be next after the SE fix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 bitch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Here's what I'm going with at 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 LOL, the NAM we all know and love with weird 6 hr changes at H5. Only that model could do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Seems reasonable, it doesnt look like there will be a sharp snowfall gradient over CT. Something like Nov 15 where its a solid front end thump with the mix line rapidly pushing through the state. Biggest problem will be the ice vs. sleet locals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 57 minutes ago, dryslot said: Almost time for a zoinked NGW run, I can sense one coming. Won’t be this run. It’s looking meh like 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 NAM read Jeff’s post and said no I won’t! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Won’t be this run. It’s looking meh like 6z. 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: NAM read Jeff’s post and said no I won’t! Nope, Not this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 It’s trying to phase in the northern stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: It’s trying to phase in the northern stream. Yeah, Late, But it a partial so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 6 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Here's what I'm going with at 4 Let’s tear shit down! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Watches are up for all of CT now including the shore. Interesting, i thought they would leave the southern parts of the 4 southern zones out of it, but guess not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 sleet is going to ruin the chance at a bigger event I could see this thump being 3 or 4 hours of baking soda before 6 hours of sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Kind of shredded qpf look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: Watches are up for all of CT now including the shore. Interesting, i thought they would leave the southern parts of the 4 southern zones out of it, but guess not. I am sure they will say due to impact Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, codfishsnowman said: I am sure they will say due to impact It def is because 3-6" is not warning criteria, but since a) its just a watch and b) combined with ice, they probably felt it was warranted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Nammy being Nammy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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