USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, ineedsnow said: Hmmm seems a bit high Seems most reasonable given current guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 hour ago, moneypitmike said: At 84z, the GFS has the low on top of Kevin's dome. Who knows what is going on with the GFS. With that said, it is an interesting depiction at 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Hmmm seems a bit high Where'd you find that? i'm only seeing maps for tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 That BOX map seems reasonable... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: That BOX map seems reasonable... yup. raise 'em if needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: The box from HubbDave to Hippy/MPM to Mitch to Dendrite...that's your jackpot on all guidance. We act surprised Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Yeah BOX looks reasonable. Lots of SN and IP even to the NH border. Definitely looks like a nasty ZR threat more central and srn CT I think, esp maybe HVN west. Longitude will help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Reasonable map from GYX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterLand Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 It will cool to get a ton of sleet here, instead of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Albany finally gets big snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 FV3 still putting down 2 or more inches across much of MA/RI, and CT. GFS a bit more generous with 2.5" from an ORH/RI points east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Like the storms from yore. ... Rain for the cape, interior thump to IP, then NNE all big time snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: FV3 still putting down 2 or more inches across much of MA/RI, and CT. GFS a bit more generous with 2.5" from an ORH/RI points east. Toss any gfs family. Nam more reliable and it is tamer with qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Thoughts on ZR/ sleet in SNE? On the table for sure, but the ingredients are so mesoscale in nature that we can’t say much beyond there is potential for someone to get a V-day 2007-like scalping, or some bigger ice totals. I’m leaning sleet given the cold air depth, but there will be freezing rain somewhere in there too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: We act surprised Pickles told me it would be up here . We knew how this works out with cold air mass and unphased system. Head south young man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Albany finally gets big snows. I think they've been sneaking some big ones in the past few years. Gone are the 2011-2015 type droughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Aside from the GFS, most of the guidance has been keeping the big icing threat down to southern half of CT...perhaps parts of RI and even western interior SE MA could get it on the ice if the sfc CF stays pinned far enough south there. But that's not gonna be resolved for at least another 36 hours most likely. The Arctic airmass is impressive so I won't be surprised at snow hanging tough for quite a while in areas that eventually get scalped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Aside from the GFS, most of the guidance has been keeping the big icing threat down to southern half of CT...perhaps parts of RI and even western interior SE MA could get it on the ice if the sfc CF stays pinned far enough south there. But that's not gonna be resolved for at least another 36 hours most likely. The Arctic airmass is impressive so I won't be surprised at snow hanging tough for quite a while in areas that eventually get scalped. Steve furiously trying to start his generator while Kevin hustles out to try and get his truck in the garage to protect it's finish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Snowpack will really enhance Mondays cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Deep winter appeal on the freshly fallen snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 I thought gfs st 6Z caved significantly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 58 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: It's actually the shortwave I marked here. You can see a secondary WCB forming just to its east. \ This shortwave is the one that moves downstream and forces the lee cyclone. Yes exactly, thats the one that will force the lee cyclone once east of the Rockies (near Texas I think?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Aside from the GFS, most of the guidance has been keeping the big icing threat down to southern half of CT...perhaps parts of RI and even western interior SE MA could get it on the ice if the sfc CF stays pinned far enough south there. But that's not gonna be resolved for at least another 36 hours most likely. The Arctic airmass is impressive so I won't be surprised at snow hanging tough for quite a while in areas that eventually get scalped. This really does remind me somewhat of some sort of hybrid between Jan 94 and VD 2007 and St Paddy's Day 2007 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 7 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Steve furiously trying to start his generator while Kevin hustles out to try and get his truck in the garage to protect it's finish. Lol cept if he leaves it covered in snow. Thinking scalpers here like Scoots said New Haven area. Deep cold to almost the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Curious as to when the airlines will open up the 'free reschedule your flight' options. Probably after the 12z adds greater confidence that it'll be a disaster Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PineHillsWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 9 hours ago, rnaude241 said: Ditto Double Ditto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 16 minutes ago, weathafella said: I thought gfs st 6Z caved significantly Looks more amped than 0z at h5 to me but it doesn’t matter, trashed, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 45 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah BOX looks reasonable. Lots of SN and IP even to the NH border. Definitely looks like a nasty ZR threat more central and srn CT I think, esp maybe HVN west. Longitude will help. What’ are you thinking for the Duxbury Plymouth area? Trying to figure out whether I’ll miss the game working. Some white then wet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 22 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: Snowpack will really enhance Mondays cold Yeah now the cold can be experienced and enjoyed by all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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